2020 market expectations and positioning

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revhappy

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Creating thread to discuss, market expectations and positioning going into 2020.
 

revhappy

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My own positioning is 25% equities and entirely to Asia, if markets plunge increase allocation. I think US and Europe are very overvalued and won't touch it.
 
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DukeCS33

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My own positioning is 25% equities and entirely to Asia, if markets plunge increase allocation. I think US and Europe are very overvalued and won't touch it.

If US and Europe plunges, Asia would not be spared.
 

d9_lives

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Stay the course, monthly to IWDA n EIMI.
Keep +/-100k on JD, Tencent, Baozun, Nio and RMG.
And "try" not to peek until the next top up...(always fail anyway).
 

kkcheng77

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Thinking of Hong Kong ETFs. Political wind should be calming down mid this year.
 

NewInvestor

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I was thinking that being mostly in REITs might be a good idea. I think interest rates will remain low for some time. REITs can buy more and more properties with low interest loans, hopefully leading to higher and higher DPUs.
 

Kapish

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i am 40% US/UK equities. EM, singapore and china will likely continue to underperform as long as tariffs remain in place which will be for a long time. trump already said phase 2 after elections.
 

d5dude

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My own positioning is 25% equities and entirely to Asia, if markets plunge increase allocation. I think US and Europe are very overvalued and won't touch it.

Your positioning is for how long? I bet you will once again liquidate your entire portfolio if it goes up like 5-10% a few months later.
 

revhappy

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I noticed xle etf is still quite cheap with 6% dividend yield. If global reflation trade is true, we will have bounce back in oil, rite?
 

NewInvestor

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US markets went up so much last night but STI is down today. STI looks cheap but for some reason, is not performing. I would only buy REITs in Singapore, not the STI ETF.
 

highsulphur

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US markets went up so much last night but STI is down today. STI looks cheap but for some reason, is not performing. I would only buy REITs in Singapore, not the STI ETF.

To be fair, other Asian markets are quite muted today too. HSI and Shanghai are flat while nikkei is up 0.5%
 

revhappy

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Would there be a level where you would bite the bullet and buy in again albeit at a higher level than where you sold?

It is a mental block to buy back at a price higher than what I sold, so looks difficult to buy back again. I would instead look at other markets that didn't go up so much, it is okay if they don't go back up in a hurry. Dividend yield, higher than bonds helps.
 
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