wah 10km timing to sub 38mins, sub 42mins I also don't dare to dream. Thanks for the advice and encouragement. Hopefully these last 2 weeks, I do enough to hit below 4hrsBTW, i just did the VDOT running/race time predicting calculators, from the original Jack Daniels to some other predicting calculators. With 21:36, it ranges from 3:26 to 3:45.
And rightly so, coz we also have a recent data point of 2h 22mins for your 27k training long run, so that'd be converted to be like 3:47 or so for FM.
ie quite a decent buffer to 4h. You will surely run better in your race than your recent 27k long run one, 100%.
Of coz, it does not mean that kind of timing is capable by all folks who can run 21:36 for 5k. But you are different, you have trained quite ok for longer distances and specifically for the FM for the past few months, and now you are attempting a 5k.
While for me, you know my 5k timing. But my 10k i couldnt even break 38 mins that time when i was training 3k/5k and did around 17:40 lowest a few years ago, but also attempted 10k coz i did long runs up to 12-13k range but i never focussed on 10k specific speed workouts (eg 1-2k repeats) and my 800m interval reps also not exactly enough/optimal at around 5-6 reps coz i focussed more for 5k , so probably isnt surprising that i'd suck in distance as i focussed on shorter distances. While 3k i am even "faster" coz i trained around the 3-5k range. Im not sure tho, if i can include 1k into this, which i can run even faster than predicted based on my 3k/5k timings...but 1k is probably not a good basis as an indicator coz it is very anaerobic and quite neuromuscular as well.
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