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2020 market expectations and positioning

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Old 13-02-2020, 10:25 AM   #811
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MSFT vestors, 请问got any news ar?
How come the stock price retreating the past 2 days after touching 一发发?
Is it just a TA thing or got underlying news that mayb we dun know yet? :look?:
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Old 13-02-2020, 10:51 AM   #812
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I wanted to buy Sembcorp

Only if it hits 1.95

I wanted to buy DBS

Only if it hits 24.5

I wanted to buy STI ETF

Only if it goes below 3050

If only lol
wait for -5% but might miss >+5% gain?
I don't understand this logic but I wish you good luck.
Btw I remember you said you're waiting for -20%.
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Old 13-02-2020, 10:54 AM   #813
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Time in market vs timing the market
Highlander should also read up on anchoring. Those prices that he quoted - my guess is that they are not based on his fundamental analysis but rather just him anchoring to some price at some point in time, and then applying a discount to that price.
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Old 13-02-2020, 10:59 AM   #814
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MSFT vestors, 请问got any news ar?
How come the stock price retreating the past 2 days after touching 一发发?
Is it just a TA thing or got underlying news that mayb we dun know yet? :look?:
Last night 0.15% up. Are you trading off hours?
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Old 13-02-2020, 11:04 AM   #815
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MSFT vestors, 请问got any news ar?
How come the stock price retreating the past 2 days after touching 一发发?
Is it just a TA thing or got underlying news that mayb we dun know yet? :look?:
Don't see any news leh. I think traders taking profit. There's a drop in momentum

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Old 13-02-2020, 11:27 AM   #816
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Companies have been spending money on either helping the virus situation or maintaining stock price. Eventually might affect their cash flow.

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Old 13-02-2020, 02:22 PM   #817
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The reality is hitting the market. The Wuhan virus is getting worse and not improving
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Old 13-02-2020, 03:37 PM   #818
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The reality is hitting the market. The Wuhan virus is getting worse and not improving


dun worry, repo liquidity will lift the market.

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Old 13-02-2020, 06:59 PM   #819
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dun worry, repo liquidity will lift the market.

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I do not share your confidence. Liquidity can only do so much but when the rising virus infections grab attention, everyone would stampede out. Somehow, I do not share the optimism that when the virus dies down come summer, everything would be ok again. And I guess that's the main reason for the dip buyers. I think the corporate warnings of supply disruption may be a factor for a deeper and more prolonged correction.
The tricky part is that when a liquidity fueled dip buyers ignore the rising infections, it gets harder to pick a turning point especially when the US is not the epic centre.
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Old 13-02-2020, 07:01 PM   #820
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That’s why I refrain from buying the one-day dip

I don’t get it

The reality is hitting the market. The Wuhan virus is getting worse and not improving
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Old 13-02-2020, 08:35 PM   #821
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* is your time horizon at least 3 years?
* do you believe that the stock market will be at a higher level in 3 yrs compared to now?

my answer to both is yes, so I don't mind buying some shares now, while keeping a warchest just in case.

If your answer to both is no, then cash in milo tin is the safest.
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Old 13-02-2020, 08:38 PM   #822
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* is your time horizon at least 3 years?
* do you believe that the stock market will be at a higher level in 3 yrs compared to now?

my answer to both is yes, so I don't mind buying some shares now, while keeping a warchest just in case.

If your answer to both is no, then cash in milo tin is the safest.
How big is your warchest now?
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Old 13-02-2020, 08:52 PM   #823
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How big is your warchest now?
if i count my CPF-OA as part of warchest because I can use it to buy STI ETF and unit trusts, I think the warchest is a decent size.

Thats also why I also don't mind refunding my housing loan to CPF (only just starting doing this after being inspired by all those who keep large CPF-OA as part of their bond holdings), even if its inside CPF, I can still use it to buy ETF/ unit trusts during a crash
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Old 13-02-2020, 08:53 PM   #824
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* is your time horizon at least 3 years?
* do you believe that the stock market will be at a higher level in 3 yrs compared to now?

my answer to both is yes, so I don't mind buying some shares now, while keeping a warchest just in case.

If your answer to both is no, then cash in milo tin is the safest.
Pls share why u think it will be higher
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Old 13-02-2020, 09:19 PM   #825
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Pls share why u think it will be higher
do you mean why it will be higher in over the long term in general or why he thinks it will be higher in 3 years?
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