【敢敢预言】Perisher is Guessing Covid situation in Sg will fall by Mid Nov, before Nov 20, 2021.

Perisher

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As can be seen below, barring the 5300+ case oddity, the peak seems to be on 29 Oct with 4243 cases, and has since plateau.
With cases after Nov 16 marking a significant slow down in spread numbers.
In other words, the peak came nearly 2 weeks earlier than what i guessed, just 1 day before I started this thread.
Now, the test is 2 month later, will we see a resurgence. If using 29 Oct, 2 month later will be end December.
Hopefully we won't see any resurgence.

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Source:
 

twinkle07

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lol 2 months cycle..
ish booster cycle more like it...vax ppl riao, cases go up...
we just started boosting again so expect rise...
 

XiaoWangZi85

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I'm guessing Mid Nov... or before Nov 20 to be more exact.
Most covid situation, even in the worst case shows there is a 2 month thing going with covid.
Source: https://forums.hardwarezone.com.sg/...e-of-covids-mysterious-2-month-cycle.6615019/

"These declines are consistent with a pattern that readers will recognize: COVID’s mysterious two-month cycle. Since the COVID virus began spreading in late 2019, cases have often surged for about two months — sometimes because of a variant, such as delta — and then declined for about two months."

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So put it out here now, can come back by Nov 20 to see if the Covid 2 month cycle will repeat itself in SG.
Sorry. Based on my understanding, towards the end of the lunar year 2021, the pandemic may worsen. Next year lunar new year onwards then will turn for the better.
 

MegatonNev

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I'm slight different towards the outlook...
I expect cases to increase with more VTL travel happening and more holidays happening during the year end and first quarter of the year....
 
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