sti collapse towards 1,444 has begun

uncle168

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have you sold all your stocks especially reits with high dividend yield?

most of them will be worthless when the fed upz interest rate

keekeekee :s22:
 

naro

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drop drop drop... like grapes!!!

buy buy buy.. like free!!
 

trento

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2008 US subprime.

2014 Interest rates.

March 1929, Dow had a mini crash. Then recovered.

October 1929, Dow crashed big.

July 2014, Dow -317.

October 2014, ?

U've been warned. Shorts enjoy.
 

guowei

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have you sold all your stocks especially reits with high dividend yield?

most of them will be worthless when the fed upz interest rate

keekeekee :s22:

dunno what u talking sia, just keep stacking la. true investor buy to hold forever. who care what is the current value. drop buy more, up just rebalance. u know how to invest or not?

drop drop drop drop! :s12:
 

trento

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dunno what u talking sia, just keep stacking la. true investor buy to hold forever. who care what is the current value. drop buy more, up just rebalance. u know how to invest or not?

drop drop drop drop! :s12:

"How often have you heard an investor say: 'I don't have to worry about fluctuations or margin calls? I never speculate. When I buy stocks, I buy them for an investment, and if they go down, eventually they will come back.'"

Livermore liked to remind people that there is nothing new in Wall Street. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again. A large number of modern-day investors will certainly nod their heads ruefully when reading his thoughts from the 1920s on great investments tumbling.

In Livermore's opinion, investing using a buy and hold strategy was a bigger gamble than trading.

Buy and hold investors, he said, "make a bet, stay with it, and if it goes wrong, they lose it all."


Trading vs Investing

Jesse Livermore was considered the greatest trader of all time. Earning 100mil from shorting the market in 1929.
 

holysmokes

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Past 20 years DJIA.

Roughly 2 out of 11 times (green arrows), closing off positions whenever there's a biggish month long selldown avoids a prolonged multi-year downtrend and heavy losses.

In the other 9 times (red arrows), such a strategy would have missed some great rallies.

As a shorting strategy, there's maybe 4 shorts that has at least 1:2 risk reward ratio. These wins may cover the 7 cut losses. But it doesn't jump out at me as a strong, clear edge.

No numerical backtesting was done. This is based on a 5 minute visual survey.

qlns0h9.png
 

guowei

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"How often have you heard an investor say: 'I don't have to worry about fluctuations or margin calls? I never speculate. When I buy stocks, I buy them for an investment, and if they go down, eventually they will come back.'"

Livermore liked to remind people that there is nothing new in Wall Street. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again. A large number of modern-day investors will certainly nod their heads ruefully when reading his thoughts from the 1920s on great investments tumbling.

In Livermore's opinion, investing using a buy and hold strategy was a bigger gamble than trading.

Buy and hold investors, he said, "make a bet, stay with it, and if it goes wrong, they lose it all."


Trading vs Investing

Jesse Livermore was considered the greatest trader of all time. Earning 100mil from shorting the market in 1929.

Tell that to warran buffett!
 

frenchbriefs

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1,444 is only the beggining of the buying point!!!!waiting for it to crash to 666 huat ah!!!!!!!
 

highsulphur

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Uncle ah.. Stop sounding like a broken record...
 

limster

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with this new thread, seems like uncle is just a troll.
 

trento

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Tell that to warran buffett!

that's if u buy the same kind of holdings as Buffett. There are stocks Buffett absolutely won't touch cos essentially, Buffett is a long term holder.
 

alexchia01

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with this new thread, seems like uncle is just a troll.

The way he writes remind me of a troll from the past, who was banned.

Can't remember his old username.

Highly likely just the same person. Writing style very similar.

This is why I don't reply his posts. No time for trolls.
 

uncle168

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Singapore’s Great Sale That Wasn’t: China Tourists Stay Away

“If we change our renminbi to Hong Kong dollar, it seems like we have a huge amount of money. With Singapore dollar, you just feel like it is little money,” Zhu said last week as he walked empty handed out of the Paragon mall on Orchard Road with his family. Singapore retail goods are generally about 10 percent more expensive than in Hong Kong, he said.

high cost of:
1. rental
2. manpower
3. transport

triple whammy ensure gradual and smooth decline to 1444

not a one day crash but can be spread out in 2 years as many reits are busy finding ways to refinance about S$100 billions of expiring debt

if suddenly yellen jie jie upz the fed fund rate by 25bpt

the window of refinancing will suddenly close

only reits linked to the government can refinance via rights issue

others will have problem as the over-supply of commercial property is huge, many empty football fields waiting for people to rent

the next is private residential, as foreign investor withdrawn capital to invest in US property market in anticipation of US rate hike

the next is retail property, as unemployment rise to 5-8% due to the government persistent effort to upz productivity meaning some industry will disappear in Singapore like electronics and the manpower will take some time to retrain in industry like healthcare which have great demand in future as stinkies ageing population spikes in 2020-2030
 
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uncle168

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3300 MA50 is going to be gone by the end of this week as

sembcorp marine
capitaland
ocbc
glp
starhub
wilmar
noble

could report lower profits due to declining consumer demand as fear of retrenchment spreads as unemployment held at 3% for 2 quarter for stinkies, those who lost their jobs cannot find new ones

be warned :vijayadmin:
 

uncle168

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like cosco, sembmar and kepfel could be hit by massive default of rig buyers

sembmar like to report lower profits today and may surprise with rig buyers default in the near future as credit runs dry with the end of qe3 in oct 2014
 

uncle168

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dw if you don't sell your reits now, you may lose more than S$50K or all the accumulated dividend you have received may evaporate into thin air :s22:
 
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