GE2020’s result - PAP had 61.24% win.

[Heriophant]

I predict a 56-58% win rate for PAP. Likely will lose two GRCs, and one SMC.

Youre really optimistic sia.. Apart from Jalan Kayu, I am not confident of any.

The PAP has gone all out this GE to safeguard....

The gerrymandering + CDC + goodies (icecream, toothbrush etc) may suffice for voters

 

[Heriophant]

Life is it better now or 2020 is better??

From the crowd + queues in shopping malls + COE prices, I dont think many Sinkies affected by GST hike/ cost of living le

 

[virtualape]

Vote share will be around 57%. No changes to grc. Just vote share drop. Or if fall to 55%, lose a grc.

After redraw boundary if still fall in vote share, whoever do the math calculation should go bedok reservoir.

 

[grevq80o]

If below 61.24% is it considered strong mandate? I was just reading through the below news, the GRC fight very intense leh. All in the 50%-ish range. That 2-3% range is really “every vote counts”

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/ge2020-general-election-final-result-pap-wp-952471

Close percentages from 2020:
Seng Kang GRC - WP (52.13% win)
East Coast GRC - PAP (53.41% win)
West Coast GRC - PAP (51.69% win)
Bukit Panjang SMC - PAP (53.74% win)
Bukit Batok SMC - PAP (54.8% win)

May the odds be ever in our favour 🫰

U only type the winner %, must also type the loser % mah, then we know whether the margin is razor thin.

51% looks low but if loser is 48%, this is large margin, if loser is 49%, this is razor thin.

 

[Can Or Not]

Tampines GRC will fall.

Got chance, heard people there wants to vote for opposition.

 

[Can Or Not]

Vote share will be around 57%. No changes to grc. Just vote share drop. Or if fall to 55%, lose a grc.

After redraw boundary if still fall in vote share, whoever do the math calculation should go bedok reservoir.

Don’t pollute reservoir leh…

 

[runny yolk]

what happened in 2015?

Somebody cry on tv

 

[icebleue]

The 2015 one was the one made me lose faith in sinkies

Not the 2023 pe results?
a resounding 70% for ex pap mp presidential candidate.

 

[virtualape]

Don’t pollute reservoir leh…

Just burn his/her statistics degree certificate and upskill thru skillsfuture

 

[grevq80o]

what happened in 2015?

LKY acted out his father "I spent my whole life building this, no one is going to take it away" speech at Lunch Time rally. Father died already and the Oxley saga pawn his own father, still need to use him for election. Shameless.

 

[Can Or Not]

Just burn his/her statistics degree certificate and upskill thru skillsfuture

Actually I watched podcast discussing election with Tan Kin Lian by Master Leong, he quote a fair point, if you want to change the boundary, shouldn’t change it last minute.

Actually last time PAP fear charismatic politicians with bad intention and poor foresight became the government and squander our hard earned reserves, so they use whatever ways to prevent some politicians from coming into parliament.

What do you think?

 

[Spike]

Youre really optimistic sia.. Apart from Jalan Kayu, I am not confident of any.

The PAP has gone all out this GE to safeguard....

The gerrymandering + CDC + goodies (icecream, toothbrush etc) may suffice for voters

Will know this Saturday..

 

[Heriophant]

Will know this Saturday..

Fingers crossed brother. Any predictions which 3 GRC/SMC

 

[rodimus_prime]

Hope they don't get anything more than 55% this time

 

[virtualape]

Actually I watched podcast discussing election with Tan Kin Lian by Master Leong, he quote a fair point, if you want to change the boundary, shouldn’t change it last minute.

Actually last time PAP fear charismatic politicians with bad intention and poor foresight became the government and squander our hard earned reserves, so they use whatever ways to prevent some politicians from coming into parliament.

What do you think?

The boundary has to be redrawn only closer to election time because of new citizens joining and new flats/ condos being completed. Think this how the official narrative is iirc which makes some sense.

If you redraw it early and the boundaries are known, oppos will have advantage to do more ground work for the next 5 years. Why would I want my opponent to have advantage in any form?

 

[q(Oo.oO)p]

The 2015 one was the one made me lose faith in sinkies

what happened in 2015?

Ah Gong passed away in Mar 2015, a lot of sympathy votes which the incumbent capitalised on

 

[virtualape]

Fingers crossed brother. Any predictions which 3 GRC/SMC

at the very least one; the one that uncle leong is contesting in. Hes getting pittance for his work in/out of parliament. Tcb said they donated their allowance.

 

[Can Or Not]

The boundary has to be redrawn only closer to election time because of new citizens joining and new flats/ condos being completed. Think this how the official narrative is iirc which makes some sense.

If you redraw it early and the boundaries are known, oppos will have advantage to do more ground work for the next 5 years. Why would I want my opponent to have advantage in any form?

By right that’s a fair game… but what Old Lee says is right, it’s not just politics but my life and your life…

 

[Zilaiya]

I predict a 56-58% win rate for PAP. Likely will lose two GRCs, and one SMC.

U meant to say likely will lose TWO MORE GRC

 

[q(Oo.oO)p]

Vote share will be around 57%. No changes to grc. Just vote share drop. Or if fall to 55%, lose a grc.

After redraw boundary if still fall in vote share, whoever do the math calculation should go bedok reservoir.

Redrawing boundaries isn't really a factor in overall vote shares. Redrawing boundaries aims to safeguard some constituencies or flip some.

Vote shares are primarily affected by hot bread and butter issues and the conviction of the voters.