Whats your expected or target return for 2015?

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felixleong

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sembcorp results coming out soon..

keeping my fingers crossed :)

ya tonight see SCI results how...

anyway I not planning to add anymore SCI liao due to the weakness in marine segment... I can only hope its utilities business can show good earnings and push SCI a bit to 4.6-4.8 I happy riao
 

felixleong

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btw in regards to M1

analyst say only 80% chance will have 4th telco...

20% chance no competitor is not bad hahahaha

the Oman deal is seen as earnings neutral... M1 the hyped died down pretty fast today and now is red red
 

felixleong

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Overseas adventure – A shift  M1 has surprised us by taking a minority share in a telecom player in Oman  We are not excited by its investment in a new mobile reseller in a saturated market with 4 mobile players and multiple mobile resellers  Maintain HOLD with lower TP of S$3.65 as we assume 80% probability of entry of 4th mobile player in Singapore M1 is taking a minority stake in a telecom player in Oman. M1 has agreed to invest in Integrated Telecommunications Oman SAOC (Teo). TeO is Oman's first private international gateway operator and a mobile services reseller. TeO intends to capitalise on M1’s strengths and aspires to become a full service telecom provider in the Sultanate as it plans to launch its mobile reseller service in Oman. Other transaction details are not disclosed. Oman is a small and saturated market. Oman is a country with 3.2m population. According to BuddeComm, there were over 6.2m phone connections in 2014. This implies over 190% mobile penetration. The networks providing 3G coverage are Oman mobile, Ooredoo (Qatar telecom & partners), Renna and Friendi. Besides, there are a number of mobile re-sellers. Teo, in our view, would be another mobile reseller whose future growth potential does not look very exciting. TP cut to S$3.65 after assuming 80% probability of 4th mobile player entry in Singapore. We believe that SMRT-Consistel joint venture - OMGtel has a strong chance of entering as 4th telco with the auction of 900MHz spectrum which could happen this year. We estimate 9.4% ROI for OMGtel based on 10% revenue share by 2020 and S$1bn capex assumption. M1’s 13-16% topline is at risk in our view. Assuming 80% probability of 4th telco entry, our DCF based (WACC 6.8%, terminal growth 1%) is reduced to S$3.65. Maintain HOLD for 5.7% yield.
 

flyfox

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I also wanna add CCT.

Coz i only wanna add one lot, then haven't transfer money to SCB, got one cheque also haven't deposit...and my FYP presentation next Monday..busy preparing..argh...

I think tonight got time go ion orchard settle all this...

CCT or M1 it is!!!
 

felixleong

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CCT.png


High quality offices in CBD

CCT%2B2.png


after the GFC crash onwards, good track record of growing DPU

CCT%2B3.png


low gearing of 30% nia.. no worries of rights issue


if the fundamentals are solid, don't need to worry about short term market movements

Stay calm and wait for power of CD~!
 

flyfox

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CCT.png


High quality offices in CBD

CCT%2B2.png


after the GFC crash onwards, good track record of growing DPU

CCT%2B3.png


low gearing of 30% nia.. no worries of rights issue



if the fundamentals are solid, don't need to worry about short term market movements

Stay calm and wait for power of CD~!

was there a drop in distribution after the financial crisis? from the photo

Their gearing reasonably low. Consider their quality assets, they have better bond rating and can afford to borrow more at a lower interest than others.
 
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