Official *Pan Hong* P36 Thread - Undervalued HK Property Counter

king2penn

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Anyone vested? Price action seems good so far:

Current Share Price: S$0.20
Cash/Share: S$0.30
Super Low P/B: 0.23~0.31
Super Low P/S: 0.37
Market Cap: 105m
Low P/E: 5.02

Positives: Undervalued, Good/Growing/Sustainable Dividends, Consolidation Stock (5 years), Improving Outlook, Property Stocks Upswing, Share Buybacks, Consistent TA Retracement (0.100, 0.150, 0.200)

Negatives: Illiquid, Irregular Dividend Payouts in earlier years


Is Dividend Sustainable?

Dividend Cost 2017 = 15,565,800 (15%) = 0.03
Dividend Cost 2016 = 7,782,900 (10%) = 0.015

YUP

One of the last bargains in the market that may be poised to ride the property counter upswing. Pan Hong is a Hong Kong Property Developer

*Total Loans has been dropping for the past 3 years and NAV/share has been growing
*NAV is @ 0.87 and gearing has declined as well from 47.9% in 2015 to 33.6% in 2016 and 30.4% in 2017
*Revenue more than doubled from FY2016 to FY2017 (123m SGD to 284m SGD)
*Sustainable (and possibly growing) Dividend. Even if they pay the same 15% next year it will cost them just 15m SGD (Their cash balance was 156m SGD In FY2017 and they had operating cash flow of +94 SGDm
*Counter seems to have turned a corner in the past 1 or 2 years but not appreciated by the market

Am vested and am queueing patiently for the upswing in this counter once the market has discovered and appreciated this gem. Minimum TP $0.30
Get dividends every year while waiting for the counter to appreciate
 

Perisher

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HK kee like no tomorrow... You got any HK counter?
 
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king2penn

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good closing today @ 0.235 (Up 17.5%)
dividend ex date approaching next week would be a good idea to load up near 20 cents on this undervalued counter :s12:
 

Milo-Dino

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gxgx

many years ago i bought this at 21-22c.. end up drop down all the way to 14c and they stopped dividends. Even though valuations were rich, no interest also cannot go up..

but lucky for u, today like got interest in the counter
 

king2penn

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gxgx

many years ago i bought this at 21-22c.. end up drop down all the way to 14c and they stopped dividends. Even though valuations were rich, no interest also cannot go up..

but lucky for u, today like got interest in the counter

Think this kind have to slowly accumulate. Valuations now are pretty cheap but still not very liquid
Cash-wise they got enough to raise dividends and give for the next few years :)
(if they choose to)

Hope this counter will be brought back to life soon
 

king2penn

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The stock sideways for like few years. Take alot of mental discipline to be vested throughout all these years.

Agree an undervalued stock. On my radar long long time but never board. 10% div yield btw.

Sent from Samsung SM-G920I using GAGT

usually the longer a spring is coiled the more explosive the jump. I'm gonna accumulate at this level until market 'rediscovers' the stock. all numbers seem good and company not run by conman :s13:
 

king2penn

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Revenue Uptrend: :zonia:
284m in 2017, 123m in 2016, 102m in 2015, 108m in 2014

Income Uptrend: :zonia:
27m in 2017, 20m in 2016, 14m in 2015, 28m in 2014

NAV/Share Uptrend: :zonia: (Company now trades at below S$0.30)
$0.87 in 2017, $0.85 in 2016, $0.80 in 2015, $0.77 in 2014

Strong Cash Balance of 156 million. Dividend cost in 2017 was just 15m and in 2016 was 7.7m. Operating Cash flow for FY2017 is a massive 94m inflow thats why dividends can probably be maintained or grown in the coming years

Gearing has also been reduced to 30.4% in 2017 from 33.6% in 2016 and 2015 47.9%

Total Loans has also been dropping (187m in 2017, 216m in 2016, 303m in 2015, 231m in 2014)

Wanted to post a nice figures table picture but cannot :s22:
 

king2penn

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haha people wanna buy cheap not willing to chase price for illiuqid stocks. good thing is this counter finally starting to show some life from its deep slumber

also see some sellers starting to come out which is good. previously lack of sellers so price quite volatile
 

king2penn

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Results for most recent quarter

Revenue jumped up about 50% from previous quarter
395,047,000 RMB vs 277,228,000 RMB


Profit for period however went down due to higher income tax expenses and cost of sales


Cash & Bank balances also registered a large increase
424,522,000 RMB vs 288,122,000 RMB


Bank loans (non-current) ones also increased marginally and NAV continued its slow upward march to 440.36 RMB cents from 433.32 RMB cents previous quarter (New NAV close to 90 cents= Current share price is 23.5 cents only)

Another stellar quarter for this undervalued gem! :s13::s13:
 
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