《Confirmed deaths & excess deaths. Don't freak out》

Joined
Feb 20, 2020
Messages
4,120
Reaction score
1,558
2.png



NEWS TIMELINE​

2019​

‹November›
◆ In China, covid outbreak started in Wuhan

‹December›
◆ In Singapore, 166 more people died in the month of Dec 2019 than in Nov 2019


2020​

‹January›
◆ 244 more people died in the month of Jan 2020 than in Jan 2019

January 3
◆ Travellers arriving at Changi Airport from Wuhan to undergo temperature screening after pneumonia outbreak

January 27
◆ Correction order issued to HWZ for a post that claimed a 66-year-old man died in Singapore from a newly identified virus that caused him to develop severe pneumonia.

January 31
◆ Visitors with recent travel history to China not allowed to enter or transit in Singapore

March 21
◆ First 2 official covid deaths reported in Singapore

‹April›
◆ Circuit breaker started with progressively tighter mearures. Wearing of masks became compulsory

May 8
◆ Kenneth Mak explained why 3 positive cases who died from heart issues were not added to Singapore's official death toll

‹August›
◆ Essential travel permitted & gradual resumption of activities



2021​

‹January›
◆ Phase 3 reopening
◆ Emergence of new COVID-19 variants and deteriorating global situation

January 1
◆ Reciprocal green lane for Indonesia suspended

January 14
◆ Reciprocal green lane for Japan suspended

January 24:
◆ All travellers (including SC & PR) require PCR test on arrival in Singapore.
◆ And those who have traveled from the UK and South Africa required to serve 14-day SHN at dedicated facilities and extra 7-day self-isolation at home

February 1
◆ Reciprocal green lanes for Malaysia, Germany and South Korea suspended

February 10:
◆ India second wave started in Maharashtra

‹March›
◆ Double-mutant virus detected in Maharashtra

March 24:
◆ India's health ministry acknowledged the presence of B.1617, but the Indian government said that there was no evidence that the new variant is more transmissible or lethal.

March 26:
◆ Although the Indian government downplayed the situation, India's TPR (test positivity rate) rose above 5% on March 26

April 8:
◆ Subhash complained that he had paid for 14-day SHN and asked if that could be refunded. (He had previously arrived from India and was quarantined for only 2 days, then spent another 2 days at a hospital before being fully discharged.)

April 11:
◆ Jade Rasif's MDW arrived in Singapore and started her 3-day SHN at a dedicated facility. She tested negative on PCR and positive on serology, and was deemed "non infectious."
◆ NZ banned all flights from India, followed by HK for all flights from Indian & Pakistan on Apr 18, and Canada on Apr 22

April 24:
◆ Singapore stops entry for all ltvp, stvp, and tourists with recent travel history to India. But there were still many arrivals from India because Indians form
▻ 7.5% of citizen population
▻ 19.2% of PR population
▻ 25% of EP population
▻ xx% of S-Pass population
▻ xx% of work permit population

April 27:
◆ TTSH nurse at Ward 9D tested positive for B.1617.2
(From whom did she get infected?)

April 30:
◆ Jade Rasif's MDW was called for a "sudden COVID test", and the results turned out to be positive.

May 2:
◆ LTVP and short-term visitors from Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka barred

May 11:
◆ WHO classified B.1617 as a variant of concern.

May 16:
◆ Singapore enters Phase 2 (Heightened Alert)

June 14:
◆ Singapore returns to Phase 3 (Heightened Alert)
◆ Social gathering increased to 5

June 21:
◆ Dine-in permitted (max 2 pesrons)

July 12:
◆ Dine-in permitted (max 5 pesrons)

July 16:
◆ Nightlife extablishments suspended because of KTV cases
◆ Infected cases at Jurong Fishery Port (possibly AY.23, an Indonesian mutation of the B.1617.2)

July 22:
◆ Singapore reenters Phase 2 (Heightened Alert)

August 10:
◆ Social gatherings limit increased to 5 persons for vaxxed (remained at 2 for unvaxxed)

August 19:
◆ 50% of WFH employees allowed to return to the workplace

September 14:
◆ Quarantine period for close contacts reduced from 14 days to 10 days.

September 24:
◆ All visits to hospital wards suspended

September 30:
◆ Between Sep 24 and Sep 30, MOH reported an average of 3.57 deaths daily (7-day rolling average)

To be continued when excess death numbers after Sep 30 is published ...


(The news timeline was edited on Nov 23. The spoiler shows the original post)

NEWS TIMELINE

2019

‹November›
• In China, covid outbreak started in Wuhan

‹December›
• In Singapore, 166 more people died in the month of Dec 2019 than in Nov 2019



2020

‹January›
• 244 more people died in the month of Jan 2020 than in Jan 2019

January 3
• Travellers arriving at Changi Airport from Wuhan to undergo temperature screening after pneumonia outbreak

January 27
• Correction order issued to HWZ for a post that claimed a 66-year-old man died in Singapore from a newly identified virus that caused him to develop severe pneumonia.

January 31
• Visitors with recent travel history to China not allowed to enter or transit in Singapore

March 21
• First 2 official covid deaths reported in Singapore

‹April›
• Circuit breaker started with progressively tighter mearures. Wearing of masks became compulsory

‹August›
• Essential travel permitted & gradual resumption of activities




2021

‹January›
• Phase 3 reopening
• Emergence of new COVID-19 variants and deteriorating global situation

January 1
• Reciprocal green lane for Indonesia suspended

January 14
• Reciprocal green lane for Japan suspended

January 24:
• All travellers (including SC & PR) require PCR test on arrival in Singapore.
• And those who have traveled from the UK and South Africa required to serve 14-day SHN at dedicated facilities and extra 7-day self-isolation at home

February 1
• Reciprocal green lanes for Malaysia, Germany and South Korea suspended

February 10:
• India second wave started

February 13
• Short-term visitors from Vietnam barred

March 26:
• India TPR (test positivity rate) rises above 5%

April 24:
• Singapore stops entry for all ltvp, stvp, and tourists with recent travel history to India

May 2:
• LTVP and short-term visitors from Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka barred

May 8:
• Travelers from all countries (except Australia, Brunei, China, New Zealand, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau) required to serve a 21-day SHN at dedicated facilities
• Temporarily revert to Phase 2

May 16:
• Singapore enters Phase 2 (Heightened Alert)
• Short-term visitors from all countries barred

June 5:
• All travelers from Guangdong (China) barred

June 14:
• Singapore returns to Phase 3 (Heightened Alert)
• Social gathering increased to 5

June 21:
• Dine-in permitted (max 2 pesrons)

July 12:
• Dine-in permitted (max 5 pesrons)

July 16:
• Nightlife extablishments suspended because of KTV cases
• Infected cases reported at Jurong Fishery Port

July 22:
• Singapore reenters Phase 2 (Heightened Alert)

August 10:
• Social gatherings limit increased to 5 persons for vaxxed (remained at 2 for unvaxxed)

August 19:
• 50% of WFH employees allowed to return to the workplace

September 14:
• Quarantine period for close contacts reduced from 14 days to 10 days.

September 24:
• All visits to hospital wards suspended

September 30:
• Between Sep 24 and Sep 30, MOH reported an average of 3.57 deaths daily (7-day rolling average)


To be continued ...
 
Last edited:
Joined
Feb 20, 2020
Messages
4,120
Reaction score
1,558
5.gif


As of Jan 2, 2022, the total number of covid deaths is officially 829.

But by that date, we may have more than 3,500 excess deaths.
(Notice that the deaths for Jan 2020 is used as baseline for excess deaths rather than 2015-2019


(This post was edited on Jan 13, 2022. The spoiler shows the original post)

1.png



The above charts show cumulative numbers for 12 MONTHS. For example,
1) On Jan 31, 2020, the excess deaths is 227 (= 40 x 5.686 million)
2) This is the total excess deaths for the period between Feb 1, 2019 and Jan 31, 2020.
3) Of which most excess deaths is in Jan 2020.

By the way,
• between Jan 1 & Dec 31, 2020 (12 months) MOH reported only 29 confirmed covid deaths
• between Jan 1 & Sep 30, 2021 (9 months) MOH reported only
66 confirmed covid deaths
 
Last edited:
Joined
Feb 20, 2020
Messages
4,120
Reaction score
1,558
Joined
Feb 20, 2020
Messages
4,120
Reaction score
1,558
Excess deaths go up as vaccination rate goes up?

Yes. These are figures from ICA. Check out the timeline.

NEWS TIMELINE​

2021​

‹January›
• Phase 3 reopening
• Emergence of new COVID-19 variants and deteriorating global situation

January 1
• Reciprocal green lane for Indonesia suspended

January 14
• Reciprocal green lane for Japan suspended

January 24:
• All travellers (including SC & PR) require PCR test on arrival in Singapore.
• And those who have traveled from the UK and South Africa required to serve 14-day SHN at dedicated facilities and extra 7-day self-isolation at home

February 1
• Reciprocal green lanes for Malaysia, Germany and South Korea suspended

February 10:
• India second wave started

February 13
• Short-term visitors from Vietnam barred

March 26:
• India TPR (test positivity rate) rises above 5%

April 24:
• Singapore stops entry for all ltvp, stvp, and tourists with recent travel history to India

May 2:
• LTVP and short-term visitors from Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka barred

May 8:
• Travelers from all countries (except Australia, Brunei, China, New Zealand, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau) required to serve a 21-day SHN at dedicated facilities
• Temporarily revert to Phase 2

May 16:
• Singapore enters Phase 2 (Heightened Alert)
• Short-term visitors from all countries barred

June 5:
• All travelers from Guangdong (China) barred

June 14:
• Singapore returns to Phase 3 (Heightened Alert)
• Social gathering increased to 5

June 21:
• Dine-in permitted (max 2 pesrons)

July 12:
• Dine-in permitted (max 5 pesrons)

July 16:
• Nightlife extablishments suspended because of KTV cases
• Infected cases reported at Jurong Fishery Port

July 22:
• Singapore reenters Phase 2 (Heightened Alert)

August 10:
• Social gatherings limit increased to 5 persons for vaxxed (remained at 2 for unvaxxed)

August 19:
• 50% of WFH employees allowed to return to the workplace

September 14:
• Quarantine period for close contacts reduced from 14 days to 10 days.

September 24:
• All visits to hospital wards suspended

September 30:
• Between Sep 24 and Sep 30, MOH reported an average of 3.57 deaths daily (7-day rolling average)

To be continued ...
 

Mecisteus

Great Supremacy Member
Joined
Jun 16, 2002
Messages
52,588
Reaction score
10,597
Meaningless analysis.

Deaths in other countries went up too.

Just a matter of more or less deaths as comparison.

Bottomline is there are more deaths GLOBALLY this year.
 

swageat

Banned
Joined
Jul 4, 2020
Messages
23,896
Reaction score
5,367
2.png

NEWS TIMELINE​

2019​

‹November›
• In China, covid outbreak started in Wuhan

‹December›
• In Singapore, 166 more people died in the month of Dec 2019 than in Nov 2019


2020​

‹January›
• 244 more people died in the month of Jan 2020 than in Jan 2019

January 3
• Travellers arriving at Changi Airport from Wuhan to undergo temperature screening after pneumonia outbreak

January 27
• Correction order issued to HWZ for a post that claimed a 66-year-old man died in Singapore from a newly identified virus that caused him to develop severe pneumonia.

January 31
• Visitors with recent travel history to China not allowed to enter or transit in Singapore

March 21
• First 2 official covid deaths reported in Singapore

‹April›
• Circuit breaker started with progressively tighter mearures. Wearing of masks became compulsory

‹August›
• Essential travel permitted & gradual resumption of activities



2021​

‹January›
• Phase 3 reopening
• Emergence of new COVID-19 variants and deteriorating global situation

January 1
• Reciprocal green lane for Indonesia suspended

January 14
• Reciprocal green lane for Japan suspended

January 24:
• All travellers (including SC & PR) require PCR test on arrival in Singapore.
• And those who have traveled from the UK and South Africa required to serve 14-day SHN at dedicated facilities and extra 7-day self-isolation at home

February 1
• Reciprocal green lanes for Malaysia, Germany and South Korea suspended

February 10:
• India second wave started

February 13
• Short-term visitors from Vietnam barred

March 26:
• India TPR (test positivity rate) rises above 5%

April 24:
• Singapore stops entry for all ltvp, stvp, and tourists with recent travel history to India

May 2:
• LTVP and short-term visitors from Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka barred

May 8:
• Travelers from all countries (except Australia, Brunei, China, New Zealand, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau) required to serve a 21-day SHN at dedicated facilities
• Temporarily revert to Phase 2

May 16:
• Singapore enters Phase 2 (Heightened Alert)
• Short-term visitors from all countries barred

June 5:
• All travelers from Guangdong (China) barred

June 14:
• Singapore returns to Phase 3 (Heightened Alert)
• Social gathering increased to 5

June 21:
• Dine-in permitted (max 2 pesrons)

July 12:
• Dine-in permitted (max 5 pesrons)

July 16:
• Nightlife extablishments suspended because of KTV cases
• Infected cases reported at Jurong Fishery Port

July 22:
• Singapore reenters Phase 2 (Heightened Alert)

August 10:
• Social gatherings limit increased to 5 persons for vaxxed (remained at 2 for unvaxxed)

August 19:
• 50% of WFH employees allowed to return to the workplace

September 14:
• Quarantine period for close contacts reduced from 14 days to 10 days.

September 24:
• All visits to hospital wards suspended

September 30:
• Between Sep 24 and Sep 30, MOH reported an average of 3.57 deaths daily (7-day rolling average)

To be continued ...

Join thread for discussion of 2020 excess deaths


Up for summary
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2020
Messages
4,120
Reaction score
1,558
excess death can come from people with non-covid disease not getting timely treatment too

in fact it will be higher because chronic patients not getting their check-ups and late diagnosis of cancer etc
You are right.

These were the deaths last year. There is a significant increase in sucides. Less accidents and flu because of the circuit breaker.

image-2021-10-29-224342.jpg
 
Important Forum Advisory Note
This forum is moderated by volunteer moderators who will react only to members' feedback on posts. Moderators are not employees or representatives of HWZ. Forum members and moderators are responsible for their own posts.

Please refer to our Community Guidelines and Standards, Terms of Service and Member T&Cs for more information.
Top