cal127
High Supremacy Member
- Joined
- Feb 26, 2002
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we dunno how this pans out
2022 is primed for an exciting year at least
2022? This was supposed to be China’s century according to Chicoms here. It'd be both interesting and amazing how a few short years can change everything. The demographic challenge demonstrated with the record low birth rate seems worthy of mentioning. CCP are trying to do something about it, so in 20+ years we should see the fruits of that. (It's by no means a China only issue, but there are some uniquely CCP policies that exacerbated it.)
At bare minimum you can expect the economy of Communist China to keep slowing down. Per the urbanization rate in Communist China as of 2020 was 64%. Probably that increased in 2021. Not too far to go to reach 80% urbanization which probably an end point. Communist China is building new housing at a rate of 1.5% per year so it would have 10 year of construction left at that rate. Then 30% of its GDP disappears. But it is worse than that. Communist China has empty housing representing about 7% urbanization. Thus they may have only 5 more years of housing construction at the present rate. They are going to need a much bigger propaganda department.
