If turnout is 95%
Optimistic result for PAP at 70%
If the result is similar to GE2020 - take BB, HKN, Yuhua last GE result + Jurong GRC (Avg per ward)
If each ward (previous SMCS) increases its vote share, esp (Hong Kah North & BB)
Optimistic result for PAP at 70%
| Turnout | 95% | 142510 |
135,385 | ||
| PAP | 70% | 94769 |
| RDU | 30% | 40615 |
If the result is similar to GE2020 - take BB, HKN, Yuhua last GE result + Jurong GRC (Avg per ward)
| Turnout | 95% | 142510 |
135,385 | ||
| PAP | 61% | 82585 |
| RDU | 39% | 52800 |
If each ward (previous SMCS) increases its vote share, esp (Hong Kah North & BB)
| Turnout | 95% | 142510 |
135,385 | ||
| PAP | 62.10% | 84074 |
| RDU | 37.90% | 51311 |