GE2020’s result - PAP had 61.24% win.

[rodimus_prime]

My prediction
- Aljunied, Hougang and Sengkang, WP wins
- West Coast, Sembawang West, Bukit Panjang, close fight
- East Coast, Punggol, Jalan Kayu, outside chance
- The rest, PAP bao jiak..
PAP still form the government.. no worries STI will collapsed..

What kind of prediction is this ? Copy paste fm bookie odds ?

 

[virtualape]

Redrawing boundaries isn't really a factor in overall vote shares. Redrawing boundaries aims to safeguard some constituencies or flip some.

Vote shares are primarily affected by hot bread and butter issues and the conviction of the voters.

I don't understand your explanation or maybe you got a PhD in quantum statistics that it's too deep for me to understand?

 

[Heriophant]

I don't understand your explanation or maybe you got a PhD in quantum statistics that it's too deep for me to understand?

 

[Spike]

Fingers crossed brother. Any predictions which 3 GRC/SMC

If say out loud liao, no way to hedge my bet.

I do believe that there is a good chance of that happening. Economy is not doing well, Gen Z is up and coming, our current PM and his team are also irritating voters.

 

[virtualape]

What is the red and blue wins % ? Smc yes probably this will apply. Grc, the strong ones will help the weaker ones.

 

[q(Oo.oO)p]

I don't understand your explanation or maybe you got a PhD in quantum statistics that it's too deep for me to understand?

The above post by Herioplant should explain it clearer

 

[virtualape]

The above post by Herioplant should explain it clearer

Yeah I saw. Whatever it is, you want oppo or pap to win??

 

[q(Oo.oO)p]

Yeah I saw. Whatever it is, you want oppo or pap to win??

Credible oppies deserved to be given a chance

 

[GenXYZ]

at the very least one; the one that uncle leong is contesting in. Hes getting pittance for his work in/out of parliament. Tcb said they donated their allowance.

Dude is a hero. Even though he gave it away to his party, he really earned every cent of it after seeing him in action in parliament. I really pray he gets in even though the odds are so stacked against his team. Please, Lord Almighty.

 

[hippoheyhey]

Nobody predicts Aljunied lose, Seng Kang lose

 

[virtualape]

Nobody predicts Aljunied lose, Seng Kang lose

Sk treading on thin ice I feel. Aljunied should be ok. Vote share might increase too

 

[TickTechToe]

What kind of prediction is this ? Copy paste fm bookie odds ?

No 大胆预测，No bold prediction, No chop KKJ... just a loose prediction for reference... now I move Punggol to close fight and Tampines to outside chance...

My prediction
- Aljunied, Hougang and Sengkang, WP wins
- West Coast, Sembawang West, Bukit Panjang, Punggol close fight
- East Coast, Jalan Kayu, Tampines outside chance
- The rest, PAP bao jiak..
PAP still form the government.. no worries STI will collapsed..

 

[curahee]

no just ah gong pass away, after 2011 when they lost aljunied, the PAP became truly humble and they listened to the people attentively

after 2015, i felt that it was all just an act, they went back to their ivory towers

2020 lost another grc, I tot they will change, end up it gets worst and more ridiculous.

 

[3G SAINT]

Got chance, heard people there wants to vote for opposition.

I think 50% by 50%

 

[rodimus_prime]

不见棺材不落泪…..

 

[icebleue]

Maybe 5-6am also no results for some places... too close a margin to call.

 

[CaiPuDan]

this round will go up. hard to see them drop to 50ish. last round ppl buay song the covid handling. sengkang flip cus lampard's PMD ban? lol

 

[jeffprobst]

No 大胆预测，No bold prediction, No chop KKJ... just a loose prediction for reference... now I move Punggol to close fight and Tampines to outside chance...

My prediction
- Aljunied, Hougang and Sengkang, WP wins
- West Coast, Sembawang West, Bukit Panjang, Punggol close fight
- East Coast, Jalan Kayu, Tampines outside chance
- The rest, PAP bao jiak..
PAP still form the government.. no worries STI will collapsed..

Outside chance is what?

 

[Staid4]

Got chance, heard people there wants to vote for opposition.

Nah... tampines historically is pap stronghold

 

[Staid4]

Well i don't want to jinx this election but...

1. I think it is already good enough if WP keeps their Aljunied, Hougang and Seng Kang. Frankly, except for Hougang, the winning % isn't sky high too. Anything can happen. Even for Hougang, don't take for granted it will always be WP's. 5 years is a long time, new people could have moved into Hougang and they can be PAP supporters.

2. There's a real chance Aljunied and Sengkang might lose. Really. Just like in PE... the voices of supporters for the other two candidates is loud too. But who knows the PAP man won landslide?

3. Maybe there's a fight in the ward for Paul Tambayal. CSJ... was doing great until that aunty jinxed it for him.

4. I really don't think WP will take both Tampines (grc and smc). They are traditionally PAP's stronghold.

5. Also don't underestimate NCM in Jalan Kayu.. hearsay that's a PAP stronghold.

6. West Coast i feel will be a big win for PAP... after knowing the thin margin last run... i'm sure the redrawn of boundaries will have some effect. THEY are not stupid to sit around 5 years for the same voters to vote the same result 5 years ago which they might lose.

7. East Coast also PAP will win. Cause of the redrawn bounderies. If it's the same as 5 years ago then i say might have a chance. But obviously now it's so heavily redrawn.

8. Other areas also generally PAP large win. Well, as much as i support oppositions... we all know the louder oppositions supporters' voice is the more PAP will win. It's always like this. And we thought the GST issue or whatever issue will stroke heat in most Singaporean's heart? Nope... alot of singaporeans doesn't read it this way. To them these issues is just a minor inconvenience. Alot of singaporeans are too smart for themselves, they rather keep the tooth tiger in the same cage with them than a "useless" house cat. A friend of mine in PSP vs PAP ward.. tells me he thinks LMW talks sheet... i was stunned. I didn't bother to carry on because it'd end up as arguement. To me and alot of people we know LMW has done very well. But well.. some people just read things differently. Like my friend... he reads people by the way they speak and the way they behave instead of the actual content of his speech. Everyone is different. Like some people like surface things like good clothes good car good food while some people prefer inner beauty.

And remember... majority of the population does not consume the same social media as us. A large form of voters does not use tick toks, youtube or internet. They watch TV and newspapers. All these are heavily manipulated by who we all know.

Seriously, the best weapon of theirs is gerrymandering. With only 60% of mandate they could still have over 90% of seats in parliament. How powerful their manipulation is?