USA Stocks discussion - Part 3

peachmouse

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Interesting views from Vincent Deluard on US
At around 32.00: If you look at the past 5 years, the average inflation is 4%. We grew at 3% real GDP. So 3% real plus 4% inflation rate gets you 7%. You can live in a 7% deficit to GDP ratio world. And many emerging markets live like that. ... India had a high inflation and high nominal growth.

 

DevilPlate

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Interesting views from Vincent Deluard on US
At around 32.00: If you look at the past 5 years, the average inflation is 4%. We grew at 3% real GDP. So 3% real plus 4% inflation rate gets you 7%. You can live in a 7% deficit to GDP ratio world. And many emerging markets live like that. ... India had a high inflation and high nominal growth.


And some say our fiat purchasing power actually diminish at a rate of 7%+ based on M2 global money supply
 

DevilPlate

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Usually, the beneficiary is stocks. Especially mega-monopolies.
For now, gold, BTC, non-USD currencies are rising (Strongest CHF, EUR)

BTC kinda like the bestest asset to hold rn.

When stock market up, btc hold/up, gold drop

When stock market down, btc hold/up, gold up
 

d9lives

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Wow! It just fell off the cliff!
Who's still buying and what're you buying?
I still have >60% cash to deploy.
 

limster

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Wow! It just fell off the cliff!
Who's still buying and what're you buying?
I still have >60% cash to deploy.

I'm deploying some of my funds cautiously. A $30k T-bill just matured last week and I put all the funds into LionGlobal All Seasons (standard), its a 70% fixed income with a short-term S$ bias and 30% equity balanced fund.

Long term treasury holders (aka TLT) are getting tilted (haha), though I presume most people won't be holding long term treasuries because the interest rate is bad in the first place.

My spare US$ is parked in IBTU and the 0-1 years are largely unscathed.
 

limster

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i am actually getting more interestedin China/HK market.
short-term trading I think still can use ADRs, trading comms only cheaper.
HSI +10% from current levels this year seems pretty achievable.
 

elvintay07

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Sifu Leong give us warning



I think he is like Michael Burry. 1 day the rich and poor reverse and we see sifu driving rolls Royce and those who have millions today all begging on the streets?
 

limster

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Sifu Leong give us warning


I think he is like Michael Burry. 1 day the rich and poor reverse and we see sifu driving rolls Royce and those who have millions today all begging on the streets?
after the 30 year hit 5% then he issue warning. why he never issue warning earlier before the 30 year hit 5%?

what next? after S&P500 fall then he will warn of S&P crash?

more importantly, ETHA and IBIT nice rally, guess that's where the money is going
:LOL:
 

DevilPlate

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after the 30 year hit 5% then he issue warning. why he never issue warning earlier before the 30 year hit 5%?

what next? after S&P500 fall then he will warn of S&P crash?

more importantly, ETHA and IBIT nice rally, guess that's where the money is going
:LOL:
Good thing i sold all my TLT and use half of it to buy IBIT/FBTC liao.
Hindsight, should have all in….duno why i keep half in IB01 :cautious:


*that suay kia ML against Bitcoin……and promoting Sreits
Inverse Suay kia easy money :s13:
 

sumako

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Sifu Leong give us warning



I think he is like Michael Burry. 1 day the rich and poor reverse and we see sifu driving rolls Royce and those who have millions today all begging on the streets?

his face really taiko. rusty face
 
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