i lost about 100k from us stock.

usarmy

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Ppl earn money post big big as if they are warren buffet…一天三五千,一月十来万。 云顶小天后。
..ppl lose money all diam diam.

More like people win big money claim they themselve sibei kiang, super smart. But when lose money kpkb, call police say others scam them...


Sent from EDMWER!
 

mooseolly

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More like people win big money claim they themselve sibei kiang, super smart. But when lose money kpkb, call police say others scam them...


Sent from EDMWER!
Yea every donkey can make money in bull market. The good ones are those who don’t lose money in downturn and instead take advantage of the situation when others are fearful such as the recent April corrections.
 

soulblader_89

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eiDH84E.png
 

artncraft

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Trump will appoint the next Fed Chair replacement this year to undercut Powell's power.

Hence, the interest rates will drop like a rock soon.
 

cyke69sg

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Trump will appoint the next Fed Chair replacement this year to undercut Powell's power.

Hence, the interest rates will drop like a rock soon.
USD gonna drop more?
Or will it be that cos US debt interest will be lower then Treasuries become more attractive and market more confidence in USD?

Interesting to see.

won't be surprised that if interest rates drop that USD might not really drop that much and maybe rise against other currencies?
 

artncraft

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USD gonna drop more?
Or will it be that cos US debt interest will be lower then Treasuries become more attractive and market more confidence in USD?

Interesting to see.

won't be surprised that if interest rates drop that USD might not really drop that much and maybe rise against other currencies?

USD weakened already. You can see the straight line down against SGD since last week.

SGD strengthened against MYR, so I'm guessing there are some USD switchings into SGD.
 

cyke69sg

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USD weakened already. You can see the straight line down against SGD since last week.

SGD strengthened against MYR, so I'm guessing there are some USD switchings into SGD.
I asked ChatGPT

Great question — and the answer is nuanced because the USD’s value reacts to both short-term interest rate
changes and longer-term confidence in the U.S. economy. Let’s break it down into short-term and long-term effects.

In the Short Term: USD Typically Falls When Rates Are Cut​


Why?​

  1. Lower Yield on USD Assets:
    • When the Fed cuts interest rates, the return on dollar-denominated assets (like U.S. Treasury bonds) falls.
    • Investors looking for higher yields may shift to other currencies offering better returns (e.g., Euro, CAD, AUD), selling USD in the process.
  2. Interest Rate Differentials:
    • Currency traders compare rates across countries. If the Fed cuts rates while others hold steady or hike, the USD becomes less attractive.
    • Result: Downward pressure on the USD.



🔹 In the Longer Term: USD Might Strengthen — Under Certain Conditions​


If the rate cut:


  • Reduces the U.S. government’s interest burden, and
  • Stimulates economic growth (e.g., higher employment, stronger corporate profits), and
  • Restores investor confidence in the U.S. fiscal outlook (especially amid concerns over rising debt),

Then the longer-term impact might be positive for the USD.


Why?​


  1. Stronger Economy = Stronger Currency:
    • If lower rates successfully boost growth, foreign capital may still flow in — especially into U.S. equities or real estate — supporting or even raising the USD.
  2. Improved Debt Sustainability:
    • If markets believe the U.S. can handle its debt better at lower rates, that can lower perceived risk, attracting foreign investors.
  3. Safe Haven Flows:
    • If global markets are unstable, the USD might rise regardless of rates, due to its role as a reserve/safe-haven currency.



🔹 What Actually Happens Depends on the Context​


Key Variables:​


  • Why is the Fed cutting? (Pre-emptive, or due to signs of a slowdown?)
  • What are other central banks doing? (E.g., if ECB and BoC are cutting too, USD may stay strong.)
  • Is inflation under control?
  • Are fiscal conditions stable or worsening?



🔹 Summary​


TimeframeLikely Impact on USDWhy
Short Term📉 Fall in USDLower interest rates → lower capital inflows
Long Term📈 Could rise or stay strongIf growth improves, debt concerns ease
 

mel1888

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To the BBFA who held strong after Trumps repeated tantrums & the wars...well done.
I think many were in a very big hole few months back. Some even calling it the apocalypse of stock market. Good hunting moving forward!
 

Hello_Kitty

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all the people who predicted 2025 is a dangerous year, seem like US market never crash. lol
 

Hyruga

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Ya lo so the stock price should rise up to make up for the same valuation.
 

dereth

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USD from 1.37 at the beginning of the year to 1.27.

I lost about S$60k on paper due to this.
 

mooseolly

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USD is heavily shorted. It can go down some more in the short term, I expect some kind of rebound soon.
 
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