2016 - A tough year?

OngHuatHuat

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Don't think so.
If 2015 is a tough year, 2016 will be better. Normally stock market is derivative, means it tries to predict future.
2015 second half very bad means they predicted first half of 2016, economy data will be quite bad.

Believe the government will do whatever it takes to prop up the economy.
 

mrwonderful

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Continue to short energy stocks next year. Got good chance several SG O&G companies going to go bust if oil stays <$35.
 

pcuser123

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This chart clearly shows we will have a bad year in 2016. It is not only time but also, it makes lower lows and lower highs plus going beyond last year's low

http://www.terraseeds.com/blog/2015/11/djia-chart-signals-bad-year-stock-markets-2016/

DJIA-52-week-highs-lows1.png
 

Genosis

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IMO, every year is a tough year. Just that 2016 will be tougher than usual...
 

pcuser123

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This chart clearly shows we will have a bad year in 2016. It is not only time but also, it makes lower lows and lower highs plus going beyond last year's low

Here, a clearer chart, showing all of last years' low

2prcnid.jpg
[/IMG]
 

Perisher

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IronMac

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This chart clearly shows we will have a bad year in 2016. It is not only time but also, it makes lower lows and lower highs plus going beyond last year's low

A. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. I'd rather not depend on a chart.
B. "Bad years comes in 2,3s"? You think? Talk about Mr. Obvious.
C. Recession? Not for the US economy for the first half of 2016. May slow down but not recession in second half.
 

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pcuser123

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U all nv click the link ah? It's on el nino literally. Dats why i thot is wrong forum. Dk why u all started to discuss stocks...

El-Nino will bring hardship everywhere. It will also hit the stock market and might be the trigger to start the market armageddon. Commodity stocks and oil stocks are weather related. Poor weather poor havest. Hotter winters, lesser oil consumption.
 
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pcuser123

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A. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. I'd rather not depend on a chart.
B. "Bad years comes in 2,3s"? You think? Talk about Mr. Obvious.
C. Recession? Not for the US economy for the first half of 2016. May slow down but not recession in second half.

May be this chart will drive the market. Shanghai market crashed recently due to margin debt. NYSE's margin debt is at peak and about to make a turn.. once the turn started, it will be quick like the previous ones in 2000 and 2008. Everyone panic and the banks/brokers will start making margin calls

s1mb6e.jpg
 
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IronMac

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El-Nino will bring hardship everywhere. It will also hit the stock market and might be the trigger to start the market armageddon. Commodity stocks and oil stocks are weather related. Poor weather poor havest. Hotter winters, lesser oil consumption.

El Nino will bring hardship but it's hardly likely to trigger a market meltdown. I don't recall any years where there has been a strong El Nino and an accompanying market rout.

The contention that commodity stocks and oil stocks are weather related is VERY weak. If you're talking about food there might be an argument made that poor weather may force farmers to use more fertilizers which is derived to a great extent from petroleum. So, poor weather leads to increased use of oil.
 

IronMac

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May be this chart will drive the market. Shanghai market crashed recently due to margin debt. NYSE's margin debt is at peak and about to make a turn.. once the turn started, it will be quick like the previous ones in 2000 and 2008. Everyone panic and the banks/brokers will start making margin calls

Are you saying that the crashes in 2000 and 2008 are due to margin debt and margin calls?
 
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