Georgia, one of the three tiny nations from the Caucasus region isolated from mainland Europe will soon be playing against their bigger & mightier neighbour ranked 35 spots abv them in Fifa ranking.
By carefully examining the ''state of mind'' of European nations that qualify for their first ever major tournament since independence (World Cup/ Euro), there seems to be a bizarre commonality that existed in every group opener for these debutants, particularly those from the Eastern bloc. Opening performances of these debutants are as follows:
Euro80:
Holland 1-0 Greece (L)
Euro96:
Germany 2-0 Czech Republic (L)
Euro 2000:
Yugoslavia 3-3 Slovenia (D)
Euro 2004:
Czech Republic 2-1 Latvia (L)
Euro 2016:
Portugal 1-1 Iceland (D)
Albania 0-1 Suisse (L)
Euro 2020:
Denmark 0-1 Finland (W)
Austria 3-1 North Macedonia (L)
WC2006:
Spain 4-0 Ukraine (L)
Serbia & Montenegro 0-1 Holland (L)
WC2010:
New Zealand 1-1 Slovakia (D)
Serbia 0-1 Ghana (L)
WC2014:
Argentina 2-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina (L)
Based on above findings, probability of Turkiye winning is as high as 69.23% & 81.82% (excluding Scandinavian debutants). Those hoping for Georgian victory, save up your money for more meaningful purpose.
Prediction:
Turkiye -0.75