as long as there's no Zhuge Liang in oppo's side, oppo can forget about winning.
a Zhuge Liang in our context would be an extremely shrewd guy (on par with LKY or better) who can find a way to counter and shut-down MIW's MSM, new citizen, carrots package and GRC strategy for good.
once 3 out of these 4 are shut down, MIW will be shatting in their panties.
it is obvious the current oppo's strategies will not work now or in the future, and winning the votes of the new citizens will be where the next battle will be. merging sdp + wp will not have a difference in vote count if they've no effective counters against MIW's big 4.