Capitaland Retail China Trust *Official* (SGX:AU8U)

sohguanh

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Counter is under $1 again

with the looming deflation in China, i think this counter may GG
Actually not only this counter anything China even ETF, mutual fund all are going down. I got quite a few China ETF, mutual fund all going down together. I guess China REIT not spared either.
 

zeroX26

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Actually not only this counter anything China even ETF, mutual fund all are going down. I got quite a few China ETF, mutual fund all going down together. I guess China REIT not spared either.
As long the dpu don't drop significantly, still not so bad, isn't it.
 

sohguanh

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As long the dpu don't drop significantly, still not so bad, isn't it.
That is correct. What I like about REIT is the mandate to give out dividends up to 90% of their takings. However it also depend wait you kena distressed like LippoMall Trust you will cry. 2cents? And it is still trading not delisted. Hahahaha
 

zeroX26

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That is correct. What I like about REIT is the mandate to give out dividends up to 90% of their takings. However it also depend wait you kena distressed like LippoMall Trust you will cry. 2cents? And it is still trading not delisted. Hahahaha
Thats y must buy branded companies mah. Capital is branded.
 

lzydata

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The Distribution comprises the two components of: (a) capital distribution of 1.27 cents; and (b) tax exempt income distribution of 1.73 cents.

https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/2024... Date_DRP.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=785199

CapitaLand China Trust Management Limited (the “Manager”), as manager of CapitaLand China Trust (“CLCT”), wishes to announce that further to the announcement dated 30 January 2024, in relation to the application of a distribution reinvestment plan (“DRP”) to the distribution of 3.0 cents per unit in CLCT (“Unit”) for the period from 1 July 2023 to 31 December 2023 (the “Distribution”), the issue price of the new Units to be issued under the DRP in respect of the Distribution is S$0.806 per Unit.

https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/2024...sue_Price.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=786384
 

ctan84

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The Distribution comprises the two components of: (a) capital distribution of 1.27 cents; and (b) tax exempt income distribution of 1.73 cents.

https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/20240130_CLCT_Annc_Notice of Record Date_DRP.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=785199

CapitaLand China Trust Management Limited (the “Manager”), as manager of CapitaLand China Trust (“CLCT”), wishes to announce that further to the announcement dated 30 January 2024, in relation to the application of a distribution reinvestment plan (“DRP”) to the distribution of 3.0 cents per unit in CLCT (“Unit”) for the period from 1 July 2023 to 31 December 2023 (the “Distribution”), the issue price of the new Units to be issued under the DRP in respect of the Distribution is S$0.806 per Unit.

https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/2024...sue_Price.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=786384
Don't think anyone will opt for this when the open market price is already almost 5% lower.
 

dontwastetime

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Nobody using this reit as a china proxy ?

China Sat announcing some stimulus & also monday will have more news.

China investors expect US$283 billion of new stimulus this weekend​

Investors and analysts are expecting China to deploy as much as 2 trillion yuan ($369 billion) in fresh fiscal stimulus as Beijing seeks to shore up the world’s second-biggest economy and boost confidence.
That’s what they hope the country’s finance minister will announce at a highly anticipated briefing on Saturday, according to a majority of 23 market participants surveyed by Bloomberg. Most of the respondents expect the funding to come in the form of government bonds.
Beyond the amount of any fiscal package, the target of support will indicate where the government looks to steer its economy after years of debt-fueled expansion through investment, particularly in real estate and infrastructure.

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“The stimulus should be multi-year and targeted to households and not restarting the real estate investment-led growth story,” said Pushan Dutt, professor of economics at INSEAD. “It is the focus of the stimulus rather than the size that is important.”
The weekend press conference, which the government said would introduce measures to strengthen fiscal policy, comes as investors assess how far the authorities plan to go with stimulus efforts that prompted a world-beating stock rally. Officials are also planning a briefing Monday on boosting support for enterprises.
See also: The global implications of China’s stimulus package

China has already cut interest rates and ramped up support for property and stock markets in a barrage of steps announced late September. But investors have clamored for fiscal interventions economists believe are crucial to lifting confidence.
Onshore Chinese shares remained volatile throughout the week after ending a 10-day rally on Wednesday, as officials disappointed by announcing no major new stimulus following a weeklong holiday. The benchmark CSI 300 Index closed 2.8% lower on Friday, capping its worst week since late July.
“Government agencies are now expected to feel the pulse of the market before publishing policies,” said Ding Shuang, chief economist for Greater China and North Asia at Standard Chartered. “They should avoid letting expectations climb and crash to deal a blow to market sentiment.”
See also: Tapping into China's confidence

Most of the respondents, including economists, strategists and fund managers, expect new fiscal stimulus in the next six months if Finance Minister Lan Fo’an doesn’t announce it Saturday.
They forecast China will sell more government debt to expand public spending through the end of next year, with special bonds being the most likely option. Four respondents anticipate a package exceeding 3 trillion yuan.

image


A portion of the stimulus is expected to target consumption, which has been a weak spot in China’s post-pandemic recovery. Respondents said the measures may include:

  • More subsidies for targeted groups, such as the elderly and the poor
  • Consumption vouchers
  • More support for families with children
  • Greater social safety net
  • More subsidies for buying consumer goods and cars

Boosting consumption would help rebalance the economy and reduce its reliance on exports to drive growth amid rising trade tensions, although Beijing has refrained from direct handouts on a massive scale due to concerns over what it calls “welfarism.”
China typically relied on infrastructure investment to lift the economy out of past downturns. But a saturation of infrastructure after decades of urbanization means throwing money at the sector may be less effective in spurring growth this time around.
To stay ahead of Singapore and the region’s corporate and economic trends, click here for Latest Section

image

Given the growing challenge of finding quality projects to invest in, some respondents expect the finance minister to relax curbs on the use of special local bonds and allow the funds to be used for purposes such as buying back land or buildings from developers.
China’s gross domestic product expanded at the weakest pace in five quarters in April-June. Data since then has suggested domestic demand remained subdued, with deflation showing signs of spiraling amid sluggish consumer and business confidence.
Economists have for months called on the government to ramp up public spending to pick up the slack, but mounting local debt risks and slumping revenue from land sales have been holding the authorities back.
Fiscal policy so far in 2024 has been a drag on the economy, with broad budget spending shrinking nearly 3% in the first eight months from a year earlier, falling far behind a planned increase in the government’s budget report in March.
Some respondents suggest the central government will borrow more to ease fiscal strains at local levels, such as by swapping so-called “hidden” debt of China’s regions for bonds carrying lower interest costs. Beijing could also increase transfer payments to help localities meet daily spending needs such as paying civil servants.
China already planned to sell nearly 9 trillion yuan in new government bonds this year to help plug a broad government spending shortfall, according to the annual budget. Any new quota on top of that will have to be approved by the National People’s Congress or its executive body, the Standing Committee.
Tapping unused bond allowance saved from previous years generally won’t need to go through the national legislature. The central and provincial governments have a total of about 2 trillion yuan in such unspent quotas left to use as of the end of 2023, according to official data.
Charts: Bloomberg
 

dontwastetime

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At 0.755, it is currently below the China stimulus rally. Market is behaving like the stimulus didn’t happen.

Attractive dividend yield of 8% at current price level.
 

ctan84

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At 0.755, it is currently below the China stimulus rally. Market is behaving like the stimulus didn’t happen.

Attractive dividend yield of 8% at current price level.
It already surged from a low of 62 cents, like tat still not enough? Anyway, I collected quite a fair bit <65 cents liao.
 

ctan84

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From 62 its the fed stimulus. From 75 its China stimulus

High used to be 1.30 even
You have to be really naive to think it will even surge to be near $1. When it was at $1.30 what was the climate like in China? Did u consider that? Further fed rate cuts (NOT stimulus) probably won't move it much coz Cap China's borrowing is purely in RMB and China's lending rate is already low. Until Cap China Trust settles the low occupancy rate issue of their business parks or divest it at a reasonable profit (which I doubt they are able to do so for now), I reckon it will just move sideways in the mid 60s to mid 70s cents range. Of course, if your entry price is above $1, then good luck to you. Just hold and regard the dividends as panadol to lessen your pain.
 
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