my thoughts on the recent china correction.
1.1. have you heard about the ghost cities in china?
1.2. have you come across news of the manufacturing industries who are sponsored SOEs producing at a mega loss, because it needs to retain employment of its labour?
all these are real & it comes bundled with another fact.
2.1. the ghost cities in china aren't purchased with heavy mortgages.
2.2. there isn't much / significant foreign direct investment in china.
2.3. for whatever wildly-welcomed international brand, there's almost a domestic equivalent in china, as they probably don't want to lose their huge domestic market share to a foreign company, which makes alot of sense in their perspective.
There are 2 movements going on in China right now.
3.1. The export-centric economy is going through a transition, thus, the current deep correction.
3.2. There is a strong undercurrent of a domestic consumption economy, as evident in their online food delivery system, online cab services, etc.
This is the future of China, where over time, as they continue to develop, they are going to experienced higher buying power as their workforce get better educated over time, transforming it into the world's largest middle class that we have never witness before.
BUT what do I think is the problem, from this current Jan 2016 market correction?
The problem is a US problem.
The economic data coming out from U.S. does not support a higher dollar, but look at where it has brought us?
If anything, China's not the problem that we should worry about.
The worrying sentiment is if FED will go ahead of their interest rate hikes, despite a poor quality economic climate in their economy.
ok, come on, folks.
let's discuss.
