Forward from DI Telegram
The Financial Cost of FIRE-ing at 45
Retiring early sounds like a dream—but what does it really cost? Today I "kaypoh" did a simplistic case study on the financial cost to AK for retiring at 45.
AK ever shared that he was earning average pay, so let’s say he was earning $150K annually and have built up $200K in passive income. At 45 in 2016, he FIREd.
Case 1: Retire Early
He walked away from the $150K salary and live off his $200K passive income. He said his expenses were roughly $40K pa and he gave his parents another $40K, leaving $120K for reinvestment.
Case 2: Keep Working
If he had continued earning $150K a year plus the $200K passive income—totaling $350K annually, he would have saved $270K of it each year.
The Cost of FIRE:
Each year in retirement, he is potentially giving up $150K in active income. Over 10 years, that’s $1.5 million in foregone earnings—not including raises, bonuses, or compounding investments from that extra income.
If he had not FIREd, his net worth would have grown by at least $2.7M (from the salary and passive income saved) over the 10 years that he has retired.
As a comparison, my net worth grew by about $5M in the same 10 year period (2016 till today), because I didnt FIRE. Like AK, I achieved FI in 2016, but I realised that at FI,
I was able to save 100% and more of my salary income.
FIRE offers time freedom, but it comes at a steep financial opportunity cost.
The Tradeoff: Time vs. Money
This isn’t to say early retirement is a bad decision. For AK, the value of time, freedom, and well-being probably far outweighs the monetary cost. But understanding the financial opportunity cost—especially when you have strong earning power and passive income—is essential for making a well-informed decision.
So before you hand in that resignation letter at 45, ask yourself:
• Can I afford the long-term impact of walking away from $1.5M+ in income?
• What would I do with the extra time—and is that worth the financial tradeoff?
• How secure and sustainable is my passive income in the long run?
Early retirement is a powerful goal. Just make sure you’ve run the numbers and are ready for what you’re trading in return.