but 4 way fight, won't it dilute oppo votes?Based on my analysis, WP will win Tampines.
Assumptions:
1. The 2 mosquito parties split votes similar to 2013 Punggol East By-election (1.2%, 0.57%)
2. WP/PAP gets vote share similar to GE2020 East Coast GRC (46.61%/53.39%)
3. WP just need 60% of the Malay Muslim votes. I trust my abangs and kakaks in Tampines will be able to do that