My take on the eventual of trade war as of today - 75%. So AUDJPY still got room to move up to 81.XXX.
These optimistic headlines are flooding the market -
United States and China are set to begin negotiations on trade, easing fears about a trade war between the world’s two largest economies.
World Stocks Bounce On Report Of US-China Trade Talks.
Risk appetite made quite a comeback on speculations that the U.S. could ease its protectionist moves against China, thereby lowering the risk of a full-blown trade war.
Look like all countries play into Trump's card. Trump won, hence eventual of trade war as of today - 35%. Trump might still rear his ugly head and demand more and price will wobble again.
Outlook changes so does road map - look for BUY.