Milo's TA discussion and sharing thread

Sinkie

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with so many good news for nam cheong... hows will e graph look like,

QExetC1.png


watch the 23c and 24c support, if chiu think is good, can load at 23c/24c channel.

26c looks a very good support as well.

assuming market sentiment remains bearish in sgx, a break of 23/24c support means it will go 19c, a good stock not scare of fire but if good news cant move it, then probably something is wrong or it has been factoered in

25.5 was the placement price, so it should be good support at the moment then

http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/VwAttachments/Att_4D66AEAEFC7F36F648257AEF007DD97B/$file/Nam_Cheong_Proposed_Placement_11012013.pdf?openelement

To facilitate the delivery of the Placement Shares to the investors, the Company has requested the Lenders, and the Lenders have agreed to lend to the Company up to an aggregate of 190,000,000 existing issued shares which they hold in the Company prior to the Placement (“Share Lending”), comprising the 140,000,000 shares borrowed from the Lenders, and an additional 50,000,000 shares borrowed from the Lenders upon the exercise of the additional share borrow option by the Placement Agent, for sale to the investors procured by the Placement Agent on a best efforts basis.
The Placement Shares will be placed out at a price of S$0.255 per Placement Share (the “Placement Price”). The Placement Price represents a discount of approximately 9.70 % to the weighted average price of S$0.2824 for trades done in respect of the shares in the capital of the Company (the “Shares”) on the SGX-ST for the full market day of 10 January 2013 (the Placement Agreement was signed after the close of the market).
 
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Sinkie

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what news?

should be pretty much factored in already i think

Nam Cheong Limited (NCL SP) BUY

Price/Tgt: S$0.265/S$0.34 Mkt Cap: US$451.0m 3-mth daily volume: US$3.4m 1-Yr Hi/Lo: S$0.285/0.162

Seals US$130m Bumi Armada Deal For 4 MPSVs; But Priced-In

Analysts: Tan Jun Da / Nancy Wei Tel: (65) 6590 6616/6628

What’s New?
• Seals Bumi Armada Deal. Nam Cheong has entered into sale contracts for four multi-purpose platform supply vessels (MPSVs) with Bumi Armada, with an option to build four additional units. Bumi Armada had previously awarded a Letter of Intent (LOI) for the contracts to Nam Cheong on 20 Jun 12.
• Revenue contribution. The sale value is approximately US$130m (RM390m), and is expected to contribute positively to Nam Cheong’s earnings for FY13-15.
• Vessels to be built in China. The MPSVs will be built as part of the group’s built-to-order series in one of Nam Cheong’s subcontracted yards in China.

Our Take
• No impact to forecast. We have already factored in earnings contribution from these four MPSVs.
• Catalysts from more vessel sales. We expect share price catalysts to come from more vessel sales arising from a larger ship delivery programme in 2014. Nam Cheong is scheduled to deliver 25 build-to-stock (BTS) vessels in 2014, worth a total of US$520m, 33% higher than in 2013 (US$390m).

Valuation/ Recommendation
• Maintain BUY. Our target price of S$0.34 is based on 9.7x FY14F PE (2014F EPS: 8.8 sen or 3.5 S cents). Our target PE is 1.3SD above peers’ long-term PE mean of 7.0x, which we think is justified given Nam Cheong’s dominant 50-75% market share in a high barrier-to-entry market.


Tan Jun Da
Research Analyst
UOB Kay Hian Research
 

n1ef5ng

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Milooooo

Can do a TA on midas? Seems not a good sign, not sure when I should cut lost. Bought back at 0.515
 

staedtler_07

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Think Midas is still waiting for news from China. Without any substantial contracts, it might maintain around this level.

Just my $0.02
 

Milo-Dino

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Milooooo

Can do a TA on midas? Seems not a good sign, not sure when I should cut lost. Bought back at 0.515
Erm... paiseh.. didn't see your post until now....

I remember Midas got a downward sloping mini channel....
So far it has been sell on news for those contracts...

I'll post chart again tonight....

My gf also trap at 56c.. since she believes in the company... she abit angry i cut my lots at 56c before cny :p
 

Bishio

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another chui day. pennies take a beating again. end of the rd?
 

n1ef5ng

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Thanks alot. I think the support is at 0.49. Need to confirm with your TA, might cut at that price haha.
Ur gf diden consult you before she hoot midas?

Erm... paiseh.. didn't see your post until now....

I remember Midas got a downward sloping mini channel....
So far it has been sell on news for those contracts...

I'll post chart again tonight....

My gf also trap at 56c.. since she believes in the company... she abit angry i cut my lots at 56c before cny :p
 

Sinkie

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Thanks alot. I think the support is at 0.49. Need to confirm with your TA, might cut at that price haha.
Ur gf diden consult you before she hoot midas?

support is about 48c ba

s7ispD4.png
 
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Sinkie

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Then again it's the start of the month, so BB might be buying on the cheap?

then must ask is the price now still cheap?

at the moment, i only see selling ar, the more selling, the more contra throw, the more margin call, the lower the price will go, cant see any buying at the moment
 

SpinFire

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Erm... paiseh.. didn't see your post until now....

I remember Midas got a downward sloping mini channel....
So far it has been sell on news for those contracts...

I'll post chart again tonight....

My gf also trap at 56c.. since she believes in the company... she abit angry i cut my lots at 56c before cny :p

Waiting to enter Midas too :D Maybe a test of the IHS neckline

China should resume their railway building, Midas will benefit.


Anyone looking at CapitaLand? Starting to retrace liao, can look for entry
 
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staedtler_07

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then must ask is the price now still cheap?

at the moment, i only see selling ar, the more selling, the more contra throw, the more margin call, the lower the price will go, cant see any buying at the moment

Good take, Seems like we are quite affected by the Europe side of things although the US closed in the green on Friday.
 

wys52

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err. what does this mean actually? ;-p
btw, my average cost for ipco is .028 and cedar is .11
base on the TA, should i run or juz hold on?
 
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