MPader or East Coast GRC, WP

nyvrem

nyvrem

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East coast la. They more guai lan

Mp still got alot of old folks follow woody

:(
 
derazor

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http://www.straitstimes.com/politics/key-grc-battles-pit-pap-against-wp

EAST COAST GRC

Could this be the Aljunied GRC in this general election (GE), changing its hue from white to blue?

What is certain is that the fight in East Coast GRC will be the most closely watched, as the Workers' Party (WP) is likely to send its second "A" team - next in line to the "A" team that party chief Low Thia Khiang successfully led to victory in Aljunied GRC in 2011 - to the constituency.






In the last election, East Coast GRC saw the narrowest win for a GRC for the People's Action Party (PAP), with 54.8 per cent of the vote.

WP's Gerald Giam is expected to return and lead the team again, this time with an elevated profile after four years as a Non-Constituency MP. The three others are likely to be selected from among these four: sociologist Daniel Goh, law firm partner Dennis Tan, research and consultancy firm chief executive Leon Perera, and librarian Mohamed Fairoz Shariff.

They will be up against the PAP slate headed by Manpower Minister Lim Swee Say, who has said he wants to return to the GRC. In his corner: office-holders Mohamad Maliki Osman and Lee Yi Shyan, plus Microsoft Singapore managing director Jessica Tan.

There was a buzz last night as about 80 activists and volunteers gathered at Mr Lim's Bedok ward for a pow-wow on election logistics.

The stakes are high for the PAP. Said its youth wing branch chairman Leong Yi Xing: "We see ourselves as one of the lines of defence.

"Imagine if East Coast and Aljunied both go that way (to the WP), then it opens up the way for them in the eastern region.

"Just adjacent to us, we have Pasir Ris-Punggol GRC, a lot of the SMCs. If we can hold the ground here, at least we can act as a buffer between Aljunied and the rest."

The PAP incumbents have been cautious about publicly commenting on the challenge, with the usually affable Mr Lim telling The Straits Times he will respond only after his team is formally introduced tomorrow.

Similarly, WP chairman Sylvia Lim said yesterday it would not be making any comments as yet. The party will begin introducing its candidates today.

Another hint that the ruling party had taken stock of the challenge: Fengshan ward - viewed as the GRC's weakest link - has been hived off as a single-seat constituency. The GRC is now the smallest, with 99,015 electors.

How the battle may go will depend on which narrative appeals to the hearts and minds of the voters.

The PAP team has emphasised its hard work on the ground, with residents praising the slew of new and upgraded projects.

Even Mr Giam has chimed in with bouquets for his rival, Ms Tan, saying in a Facebook post that "Jessica's work at the local and town level is certainly something we look to emulate".

But, in an indication that the WP team will fight the battle at the national level, he added, a general election is "about more than just voting for a local MP".

"It's also about ensuring that the people have bargaining power to make the government more responsive to people's needs," he wrote, arguing that new measures to improve citizens' welfare were a result of the last GE.

The argument however may not be as effective as in 2011, when the WP put all its top guns in Aljunied GRC, placing the onus on the residents to ensure opposition representation in Parliament.

This time, all its seven MPs are defending their constituencies.

But with half of East Coast GRC's voters from public housing and the other half in private homes - a group that traditionally is more sympathetic to the opposition's argument for greater checks and balances, it is likely to be GE 2015's hottest ward.
Click to expand...
 
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derazor

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Crazy hell for war said:
Ready for chiper, better and faster labours. :s13:
Click to expand...

GoodFastCheap-where-the-unicorn-lives.jpg


I believe in this triangle
 
ussr_1991

ussr_1991

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M Parade ppl only think of ESM ward only. Surprisingly.


Even if M Parade ward is hard, but it has around 30,000 voters per ward in the 5 men seat.

So the first 30,000 in ESM is hard to get but definitely not all vote for him and as one of the 30k voters there, I think the votes would be like 35% to 40% for WP.

Then I predict WP can get Joo Chiat & Braddell Heights (Serangoon MRT / Nex) around 55% and 60% respectively because Braddell Heights itself was absorbed into this GRC after Sin Kek Tong from CST's SDP won 47% in 1991.

So the key lies in Geylang Serai (Includes Haig Road all the way until the private estates after Lorong Ah Soo, along Upp Paya Lebar Road) and Kembangan ward (Probably includes Ubi estate).

Will WP win or not depends on these 2 wards, but WP should be able to do better than ESM ward itself.
 
derazor

derazor

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ussr_1991 said:
M Parade ppl only think of ESM ward only. Surprisingly.


Even if M Parade ward is hard, but it has around 30,000 voters per ward in the 5 men seat.

So the first 30,000 in ESM is hard to get but definitely not all vote for him and as one of the 30k voters there, I think the votes would be like 35% to 40% for WP.

Then I predict WP can get Joo Chiat & Braddell Heights (Serangoon MRT / Nex) around 55% and 60% respectively because Braddell Heights itself was absorbed into this GRC after Sin Kek Tong from CST's SDP won 47% in 1991.

So the key lies in Geylang Serai (Includes Haig Road all the way until the private estates after Lorong Ah Soo, along Upp Paya Lebar Road) and Kembangan ward (Probably includes Ubi estate).

Will WP win or not depends on these 2 wards, but WP should be able to do better than ESM ward itself.
Click to expand...

Feng Shan also tipping to WP?
 
ussr_1991

ussr_1991

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derazor said:
Feng Shan also tipping to WP?
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No idea, except according to archive website, Fengshan itself range from 34% to 42% (1984 VS 1988) for WP (Or DPP aka splinter WP back then).

Do note that Bedok GRC in 1991 is a mere 38% only, opposed to 45% in 1988 (Consist of Chai Chee, Bedok & Tanah Merah, where the lateral 2 got 31% for DPP and Chai Chee got 42% for DPP) as a result of inclusion of pro-PAP ward @ Siglap (Consistently > 75% of votes or uncontested since independence).


So whether WP will win East Coast GRC or nt, ask the 80% of the residents in Bedok South. They are clearly strong PAP as Ayer Rajah (With Ah Bock)
 
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