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Smaller countries may ‘have to choose’ between the U.S. and China, warns author Robert Kaplan: ‘Great powers in decline can tend to be very aggressive’
With the return of Donald Trump to the White House, countries around the world are girding for revived tensions between the U.S. and China.
For decades, countries found it possible to work with both sides, particularly in Asia: Governments could trade with China while relying on the U.S. for security. But now, less powerful nations may find it tougher to navigate a more tense international system, author Robert Kaplan said in a late January interview with Fortune.
“Great powers in decline can tend to be very aggressive,” Kaplan explained. “For decades, countries like Singapore and Australia and others were able to essentially get rich off China, and be protected by the U.S. Navy. They didn’t have to choose.”
Several countries are already trying to hedge against Washington, as countries like Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia try to join organizations like the BRICS, an international grouping viewed as a counterweight to Western-led countries.
Other world leaders, like Singapore Prime Minister Lawrence Wong, have warned against being forced to choose between Washington and Beijing.
Yet Kaplan argues that “smaller countries may have to choose. That gets very difficult.”
https://fortune.com/asia/2025/02/10/us-china-great-powers-decline-robert-kaplan-interview/
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