Next General Elections will be Interesting

[Mr Totoro 38]

where is the East Coast Plan from last GE?

In the air…..blows by the winds from sea from east coast park…

 

[CyberTan]

But but edmwers are blaming everyone except themselves everyday in edmw…so you mean we are daft too?

Of course

 

[WW1 Flying Ace]

where is the East Coast Plan from last GE?

Maybe this round become West Coast Plan

 

[Kohliemliem]

older generation are biggest supporter of incumbent because they benefit the most at the expense of the younger gen.

 

[Tatuho]

Will b the same. Dun b so naive.

 

[x1243x]

where is the East Coast Plan from last GE?

disappeared when minister heng realized his age

 

[tiger2013]

We have goldfish memory. Probably all forget the case by then, but they will hype up RK case and hope WP loses all the seats.

 

[large.]

This is what I think might happen:

Aljunied GRC - Safe WP

PAP has been less active there since the defeat of Lye in GE2020.



https://www.todayonline.com/big-rea...ng-tack-opposition-wards-signal-new-game-plan
Hougang SMC - Safe WP

Long-time opposition ward since 1991. If PAP could not win Hougang in a strong PAP wave year like GE2015, it is not going to do it in GE2025 which will be a less favourable year.

Sengkang GRC - Toss up but leans in favour of WP

WP got rid of RK early in the term, so it will not be an issue at the next GE. The incumbent advantage, especially if WP has a full five years will make it hard for PAP to win back the GRC. Furthermore, the younger demographic in Sengkang is not ideal for the PAP. Their team in Sengkang appears to Lam Pin Min + 3 grassroots leaders (https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/pap-sengkang-grc-new-faces-2589121) which is not very strong.

East Coast GRC - Toss up but leans in favour of PAP

East Coast GRC has been a battleground for a long time but WP gets stuck at around 45-47% even in good election years for opposition. The East Coast Planner is still there and WP may need more than just Nicole Seah to beat his team.

West Coast GRC - Pure toss up, can go either way

West Coast has a long history of being a PAP stronghold but Tan Cheng Bock is very well-liked. With SM Tharman running for president, it is very hard for PAP to find a popular anchor minister who can hold the GRC in S Iswaran's place. Because of the minority requirement, PAP may have no choice but to field a newbie minority race candidate and leave Desmond Lee to anchor the GRC alone. PSP got very close in GE2020 even though no rallies were allowed. This is going to be the main battleground for the next GE and all eyes will be on West Coast GRC

Your last paragraph is worrying. LMW better don't anyhow spout his words or he will spend all his rallies apologising to PAP.

 

[fatscaryuncle]

I tot wp was losing grip of hougang with vote share falling over past elections?

 

[virtualape]

if the national vote share for PAP drops below 60% they will lose many seats in one go

Vote share drop nevermind so long as still command 2/3 majority.

To unseat them, need at least 36 oppos iirc. That's at least 6 big grcs or a combo of big grcs and smcs. It's a very steep hill to climb.

 

[large.]

Sinkies only wake up when they are affected. 2011 is a good example, many young parents have trouble getting places in primary school for their children, competing with tons of prc and other ft kids, for years, pap did nothing, 2011 woke them up.

FTs taking over jobs in banks, IT and well paid job, soon these will once again come back to bite pap. There are only so much PA and grassloot can influence the ground.

Lol I have moved to my current estate coming to 4 years and I've yet to see even the grassroots / RC making house visits.

 

[icebleue]

if the national vote share for PAP drops below 60% they will lose many seats in one go

They ever hit 60.1% only 6 seats lost... Just create 20 more seats. Haha..

 

[vegaspace]

I tot wp was losing grip of hougang with vote share falling over past elections?

Dennis Tan won 15,451 votes, the highest number of votes a WP candidate has received in Hougang. Although in terms of percentage, it's only 61.2%, it's better than the 14,850 votes Yaw Shin Leong got in GE2011 which translated to 64.8% of the votes.

The percentage share decreased a bit because the total number of voters also increased and WP changed MPs in Hougang twice over the past 10 years. Long-time incumbents usually do better.

 

[WW1 Flying Ace]

Your last paragraph is worrying. LMW better don't anyhow spout his words or he will spend all his rallies apologising to PAP.

Agree, LMW better make sure everything is checked by the lawyers to make sure the t's are crossed and the i's are dotted.

Even his grammar better be improved otherwise Indranee will turn grammar nazi on him

 

[bombshell]

I predict SKTC will go back to PAP.

 

[killershot]

Remember what Xiasuay Chan Chun Sing said? Everytime elections, sure got something big big help PAP one. Last time is Ah Kong uplorry, then Covid. Next one sure got something big one. Dun worry.

So this latest scandal is the next big thing that will help PAP win the GE big big. See what I said. Something will come along the way and help them win. They will win big because they will say they are whiter than white, and will never let the system go corrupt.