*Official* MasterLeong Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.

Genosis

Arch-Supremacy Member
Joined
Nov 23, 2015
Messages
10,104
Reaction score
6
"The MAS stress test assessed the resilience of Reits in a situation where their earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation fell 35 per cent while interest rates rose three percentage points.

The result showed that office, industrial and retail Reits would still be able to generate earnings that were at least enough to cover their interest expense.

Still, Reits may have to trim their dividend payouts, given the economic headwinds and surge of new supply until 2018."

this is a very good point

WEAK REITS will see LOWER DPU ahead

GOOD QUALITY REITS may be able to maintain DPU or see less reduction to DPU


for now, i will only purchase the HIGHEST quality reits

CCT/CMT/SUN/FCT/MCT all high quality reits that have a track record of maintain DPU during downturns in 2008 2012

In terms of track record of surviving downturns, Suntec and FCT definitely take my vote for sure......not a single rights issue even during the GFC!!!:s12:
 

Genosis

Arch-Supremacy Member
Joined
Nov 23, 2015
Messages
10,104
Reaction score
6
The result showed that office, industrial and retail Reits would still be able to generate earnings that were at least enough to cover their interest expense.

Healthcare Reit cannot ar, why they not included?

Monday can sell parkwaylife reit/first reit to me liao ma?:):):)

Note: Not I say they cannot, it is MAS never talk about healthcare REIT.

MAS jin smart.....they know it is pointless to waste time stress-testing PLife because of 100% occupancy at Mount Elizabeth, Gleneagles Hospital and Parkway East Hospital with a master lease with IHH. Furthermore, this master lease is 15+15 years since 2007 with a triple net-lease and favourable CPI+1% lease structure.

And as one kind bro currently working in Japan mentioned yesterday, nursing homes in Japan are super packed to the brim.

Lastly and most importantly, the all-in cost of debt is just 1.4%, the lowest among all S-REITs! :D
 

yihao93

Arch-Supremacy Member
Joined
Nov 13, 2012
Messages
19,009
Reaction score
0
MAS jin smart.....they know it is pointless to waste time stress-testing PLife because of 100% occupancy at Mount Elizabeth, Gleneagles Hospital and Parkway East Hospital with a master lease with IHH. Furthermore, this master lease is 15+15 years since 2007 with a triple net-lease and favourable CPI+1% lease structure.

And as one kind bro currently working in Japan mentioned yesterday, nursing homes in Japan are super packed to the brim.

Lastly and most importantly, the all-in cost of debt is just 1.4%, the lowest among all S-REITs! :D

Win Liao Loh
Liddat say Monday consperm shoot up
 

Genosis

Arch-Supremacy Member
Joined
Nov 23, 2015
Messages
10,104
Reaction score
6
Win Liao Loh
Liddat say Monday consperm shoot up

Some hotshot from MAS on the phone, "Good morning Sir, we need to do an extreme stress test on PLife REIT in the event of a drastic drop in earnings and sharp rise in interest rates."

CEO of PLife, "Seriously? Unless Godzilla suddenly appeared in Japan and starts to spew radioactive beams, PLife is solid as a rock."

MAS hotshot, "I am still not convinced....."

CEO of PLife, "Go read Genosis' analysis at SSI forum now"

few minutes later.....

MAS hotshot, ".......wow...."

=:p:s13:
 

akwl88

Arch-Supremacy Member
Joined
Feb 15, 2016
Messages
10,697
Reaction score
1
Some hotshot from MAS on the phone, "Good morning Sir, we need to do an extreme stress test on PLife REIT in the event of a drastic drop in earnings and sharp rise in interest rates."

CEO of PLife, "Seriously? Unless Godzilla suddenly appeared in Japan and starts to spew radioactive beams, PLife is solid as a rock."

MAS hotshot, "I am still not convinced....."

CEO of PLife, "Go read Genosis' analysis at SSI forum now"

few minutes later.....

MAS hotshot, ".......wow...."

=:p:s13:

Power of DK!
 

Maeda_Toshiie

Supremacy Member
Joined
May 12, 2007
Messages
6,310
Reaction score
3
Thank You Master Leong and other users who have contributed to this thread. I have learnt a lot by reading this thread. Sadly I am too young to invest :( , I am only 16 and going to turn 17.

I will definitely save up $120 or more per month (except school holiday) so I can invest when I am able to sign up for a brokerage account!

I suggest that you focus on your studies first. Get a good job that you like and hopefully good income too. Save diligently and spend some of your spare time to learn more about financial matters.

Investing requires capital. 20% p.a. returns on $1000 isn't going to go very far. 20% p.a. returns on $10,000 is substantial. 20% p.a. returns on $100,000 and you are on your way towards financial freedom.
 

MasterLeong

Banned
Joined
Nov 27, 2016
Messages
5,754
Reaction score
0
my view is that the bottom is likely over already

hard to see telcos and reits crash further

my money is where my mouth is, very vested in reits telco banks already lol
 

Maeda_Toshiie

Supremacy Member
Joined
May 12, 2007
Messages
6,310
Reaction score
3
Noob question: how do people predict the impact of a particular event on stock prices? For example, was it possible for ppl to tell that this OPEC deal would have 1) affected o&g counter prices and 2) to this extent? What else much be factored in? For e.g. i can tell that the long term rally is dependent on compliance with the deal so if the nations start playing punk prices will continue falling. What about the impact of non-opec oil producing countries?

Art or science, essentially? Thanks in advance.

Investment firms do modelling and simulate scenarios to predict likely outcomes. Retail investors can try and estimate the impact if they know how to read financial statements.

It's both an art (picking the most likely scenarios) and science (understanding the finance).
 

[M]aiev

Arch-Supremacy Member
Joined
Jan 26, 2008
Messages
11,522
Reaction score
76
Some hotshot from MAS on the phone, "Good morning Sir, we need to do an extreme stress test on PLife REIT in the event of a drastic drop in earnings and sharp rise in interest rates."

CEO of PLife, "Seriously? Unless Godzilla suddenly appeared in Japan and starts to spew radioactive beams, PLife is solid as a rock."

MAS hotshot, "I am still not convinced....."

CEO of PLife, "Go read Genosis' analysis at SSI forum now"

few minutes later.....

MAS hotshot, ".......wow...."

=:p:s13:

:s13: :s13: :s13:
 

Maeda_Toshiie

Supremacy Member
Joined
May 12, 2007
Messages
6,310
Reaction score
3
I was inspired by you and the posts you have made in the general chit chat. That's why I started to save up more than 60% of my monthly allowance so as to invest.

When I was a student, I personally scrimp my own allowances to save. It's a habit I have to make myself

Now poly year 1, monthly allownace $200, for the month of november, I have saved $150. Only jiak school's chicken rice $2.30 LOL no sweet drink after reading the sugary thread hahaha.

I generally stay away from sodas because of their sugar content. That said, enjoy it once a while.

I actually wanted to wait till I am 30 when I have enough money like $100k or when it is in recession then I enter. But well I definitely gain a lot of knowledge by reading your thread and I am certain that when I reach 18, I will have some good knowledge to grow my money!

No, don't wait till you have $100k to start. $5000-$10000 is a good starting point. In addition, have a inflow of fresh funds from your job or side activities. From whatever you earn from investing, at least reinvest part of it for compounding.
 

Maeda_Toshiie

Supremacy Member
Joined
May 12, 2007
Messages
6,310
Reaction score
3
"The MAS stress test assessed the resilience of Reits in a situation where their earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation fell 35 per cent while interest rates rose three percentage points.

The result showed that office, industrial and retail Reits would still be able to generate earnings that were at least enough to cover their interest expense.

Still, Reits may have to trim their dividend payouts, given the economic headwinds and surge of new supply until 2018."

this is a very good point

WEAK REITS will see LOWER DPU ahead

GOOD QUALITY REITS may be able to maintain DPU or see less reduction to DPU


for now, i will only purchase the HIGHEST quality reits

CCT/CMT/SUN/FCT/MCT all high quality reits that have a track record of maintain DPU during downturns in 2008 2012

It's actually strange for me to see such confidence in commercial REITs. Conventional thinking is that logistics REITs are more resilient than commercial REITs.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Important Forum Advisory Note
This forum is moderated by volunteer moderators who will react only to members' feedback on posts. Moderators are not employees or representatives of HWZ Forums. Forum members and moderators are responsible for their own posts. Please refer to our Community Guidelines and Standards and Terms and Conditions for more information.
Top