I require help in trading options? Can some options experts clarify my queries? I have zero knowledge and experience about option trading and contemplating whether should I venture into option trading?
Is trading option more lucrative than trading stocks? Is trading options a safer option, if you know how to hedge your risk? Would you choose to be a nett buyer or nett seller in options? If one account is small, can we use option to trade, where options is a leverage to trade stocks or futures? As compared to stocks, where you need large capital? Buying stocks are extremely RISKY, do most of the investors lose money in stock market? Is there no way to hedge your risk for buying stocks except to set stop loss? Penny stocks are exteremly risky, will the company bust if you are not careful? Is it worth holding a stock when you have lost a lot of money, hoping it would bounce back? Hence, is trading options a safer option as risks are hedged?
Is trading futures like Crude Oil, S&P 500, Nasdaq, Coffee, Natural Gas profitable?
I frequently see these terms I read on the Options Book from Lawrence G. McMillan...but was quite unsure about it, hence making some wild, random guesses about it...Bear Call Spread, Bull Put Spread, Iron Condor, etc? Probability in the money (PITM)? Probability Out Of the Money (POTM)? Margin Requirements? Delta? Sell options? Repair strategies? Buying Power Effect (BPE)? Vertical Spread? VIX? Bollinger Band? Triple Top Breakout?
For instance, Crude Oil is bullish, we will go for Bull Put Spread? And for index like Dow Jones Index, do we go for Bull Put Spread only as this index is uptrending? Iron condor would not be suitable as this index is uptrending, and Bear Call Spread would not be suitable unless the trend reverses.. And is Iron Condor never suitable for Indexes like Nasdaq, Dow Jones as well as Crude Oil as they are uni-directional, meaning you either trade Bear Call Spread or Bull Put Spread?
Do we always sell options, and never go for naked options, must do "hedging" by buying an insurance to hedge our risk? For instance, when we sell a Put option of 36, we must also buy a Put options of 39, so as to hedge our risk, in the even the direction is wrong and not to our favour? We can minimise our losses and there is some sort of protection?
How much strike price difference for our vertical spread must we set? Is this very essential? For instance, for Crude Oil, must we set a strike price difference of $3 for our vertical spread? Will it affect our profits or losses?
And do we look out for the Probability In The Money (PITM) percentage? Let's say the PITM hits 30%, we start repairing early to prevent further losses, and so that the situation can be rectified rather than being too late? And what repair strategy would you use, roll to next calendar month, longer date to expiry?
And on the question on choosing which options chain to trade, is it the longer or shorter expiration date is better? Longer expiration date allows more time to react in case of repair? Shorter expiration dates trades may not allow sufficient time for us to repair in the event the stock price direction is not in our favour?
And it true that if the options in out of the money, and expire worthless, the options will not get exercised? And for instance, if an options is closed early, we have to pay for the commission fee, hence is it wise to let it expire worthless. And are we not allowed to close at 0.00, as nobody will be willing to buy at that mark price? So the lowest mark price we can close is 0.01, if let say we close early?
And at what profit would you close your trade? Would you allow your options to expire worthless or when you have amassed 75% of the profit, you close early?
And do you trade crude oil by Bear Call Spread, Bull Put Spread or Iron Condor? As Crude Oil price is largely one directional movement, would it be too risky to trade by Iron Condor? John Bollinger, a famous technical trader developed the Bollinger Band. For instance, let's say Crude Oil, if Crude oil touches the upper part of the Bollinger Band, do we bet that it will go back down, and will be bearish, and choose Bear Call Spread? And vice versa, if Crude Oil Price touches the Lower part of the Bollinger Band, do we bet that it will bounce back, and be bullish, and choose Bull Put Spread?
And when do we use Iron Condor? Is it suitable for stocks or futures that has no direction, directionless, very little movement up and down?
And do we use Triple Top Breakout to select stocks that are uptrending and enter Bull Put Spread and do we use Triple Bottom Breakout to select stocks that are downtrending and enter Bear Call Spread?
And do we trade all our capital into one option? As there is a buying power effect (BPE), which will vary as the stock prices moves up or down? Hence, the broker may charge you more margin and you may incur margin call, where you have to top up more money? So is it wise to leave some form of capital to prepare for repairs and to prevent margin call? And is it safe to trade too many lots into one particular stock or future? In the event, when a major event happens, a panic occurs, will you lose a lot of money? Hence, is it more wise to diversify your portfolio, and not trading many counters of the same industry. As if this particular industry has a problem, all the counters you are holding may be affected. Hence, is it wise to hold counters of different industries? For example Crude Oil, Ten Year Treasury Notes, Gold are the economy based futures. Soybeans, Corn are agricultural based futures. Hence, is it wise not to invest in the same industry based futures and diversify our porfolio. Just in case, when one industry is in trouble, we have the other to back up?
And for instance, a panic occurs, Nasdaq drops more than 10%. Do we close our sell put and just let the buy put run for us, so that we can minimise our loss and at the same time earn bigger profit? But how long does a panic event last, and let say it bounces back, do we have to repair again? And how much profit would we allow when a panic occurs, when do we realise our profit? We may not be able to sleep, thinking if tomorrow it bounces back, then my option will have a problem. And let say if I close now, it may drop even further, so what should we do?
And I realise that trading in commodities such as wheat, barley, sugar, maize, cotton, cocoa, coffee, milk products, soybeans are heavily dependent on weather and they are considered seasonal trades.. For example during rainy seasons, these crops may be heavily affected, hence do we avoid trading these commodities during these periods? Hence, when is the right time to trade these products? Is it by looking at the CBOE Volatility Index, when it is volatile, it it the best time to enter the trade?
And is it advisable to use only 30% of our capital on one product and use not more than 60% of our capital? Do we have to reserve 40% of out capital and leave it untouched to prepare for repairs,etc?
Is my above analysis correct or wrong? Any options expert to help? Do correct me if I am wrong in my statements above, I just read from an Options Book from Lawrence G. McMillan...
Have totally zero experience and no knowledge in options trading, and keen in it. Any experienced options trader can help me clarify my doubts that I have read from the book?
