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- Jan 30, 2023
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Not sure if you got the direction wrong? If SGD depreciates, the SGS rates (and thus ssb) would likely rise (since they need to be compensated for the lower value of SGD when the bond matures) at least VS USD rates.The Singapore dollar is too strong.
A large part of our domestic employment isn't real, just foreign multinationals parking their business units staffed with mostly foreign staff due to our lax financial, environmental, labour regulations and ready infrastructure. As the infrastructure of India, Malaysia and Indonesia improves, office rental, expat rental and cost of living soar, they will be moving those business units out. In fact, some are already shifting to Malaysia and Indonesia. With wfh culture, VPN, Teams and WhatsApp, there's actually no need for an office here. The team can be in Malaysia or Jakarta and have 3 or 4 times a year meeting in Singapore for team bonding.
The issue with SSB is it is in SGD. If SGD depreciates, the value of SSB will decline.
What's keeping the SSB low now is actually a strong SGD.
The other factors you describe may be true prior to the recent events, but hints of deglobalisation is happening, and the move to chesper country would slow and that could put SG at risk, but not for the reasons you describe. To the extent possible, likely more onshoring for foreign companies back to their headquarters.
