*Official* Shiny Things club - Part 2

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loveboon

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Hi Folks,

I will probably sell off MBH on Monday and buy IWDA. Can anyone talk me out of it?

Are you living in SG and contributing to CPF regularly? There are people who treat CPF as their bond component and hence go fully equities with their cash. Perhaps you can do the same?
 

BBCWatcher

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Many people may get retrench & jobless before 50, & majority would have significant pay cut thereafter, so working until 65 & with upward pay path is a myth?
No. The available data suggest what I've described is the typical pattern. I didn't say it was universal, and (moreover) saving and prudently investing monthly does not require an upward pay path through an entire working career (an assertion I did not make). That'd be nice, of course, but it's not required.

I have 90% invested in stocks, have profits over past years but the sharp drop is quickly eroding all profits, thinking of bailing out to preserve capital, should I?
Based on Friday's closing price and the previous intraday peak, the U.S. S&P 500 stock index has dropped about 13% recently. If you're going to sell stocks every time after a 13% (or more) drop, then I'm highly confident your decades of investing ahead (I assume) will not end well.

Will stock index drop another 20% in next few months?
It could! Or anything else could happen, consistent with a likely long-term appreciation trajectory.

This will turn my whole portfolio into loses! >10 years of profits all go into drain!
First of all, how do you figure that? Have you been buying monthly for >10 years (>120 months)? Second, what have you been buying? Third, "So what?" Are you planning to retire next week...with 90% of your portfolio in stocks?

By the way, you know what else declined in value this past week? Your house. True, there's no instantaneous price quotation on your house, but these same factors that took some value off stocks affect real estate, too. Are you going to sell your house on Monday?

Also considering job uncertainty, recession comes & may become jobless.
Yes, but that's always a risk, and it's always a greater risk if there's a recession. All of that is always known. That's why you maintain at least a 6 month (I prefer longer) emergency reserve fund.

I'll editorialize here that the risk varies considerably depending on your immigration status in Singapore. Foreigners run the greatest risk, other things being equal, since employers are highly motivated to release their foreign workers first if they have to cut back on headcount. But hopefully foreign employees already know that.
 

revhappy

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Hi Folks,

I will probably sell off MBH on Monday and buy IWDA. Can anyone talk me out of it?

Stick to your asset allocation and stress test your portfolio. Imagine, how will you feel if the equities part fall 50%. Sometimes it falls 50% and then people go all in and then it falls another 50%. It is within the realms of possibility although very rare. So you must always stick to allocation no matter how much equities fall. There is no reason to increase allocation so quickly. Rebalance once a year.
 
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unknownplayer

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Noob question on IBKR. Can I convert sgd to usd on weekends? And its usd 10 of fees per month charged in sgd equivalent right?
 

BBCWatcher

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Can I convert sgd to usd on weekends?
The foreign exchange markets (IDEAL PRO) operate according to the following hours (New York time):

Open for the week: Sunday at 17:15
Close for the week: Friday at 17:00

Currently (as I write this), with New York on Standard Time (13 hours behind Singapore), that means you can start buying and selling currencies at 6:15 a.m. Monday morning Singapore time, and the currency markets will close early Saturday morning at 6:00 a.m. So technically you can convert SGD to USD during the weekend but only very early Saturday morning.

Liquidity will vary somewhat depending on the days and hours, but for small amounts any time during market open should be fine.

And its usd 10 of fees per month charged in sgd equivalent right?
Yes, fees are charged based on the instant exchange rate but without a commission.
 

Maeda_Toshiie

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Fancy portfolio question: what is a good LSE listed ETF for the UK market?

VUKE tracks the FTSE 100, a large cap index which is badly unbalanced *cough* like the STI *cough*. VMID tracks the FTSE 250 index of "mid caps", which are 250 next largest after the FTSE 100 components. It is possible to get both, but the allocation is going to get a little too small for each counter and adds on more transaction costs.




Sorry, but IWDA is not the answer that I am looking for. I want some finer control over markets in different regions, but not to the extent of intra-market, unless it's a big one like the US.
 

Cheongster

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I would concentrate on using SRS for STI ETF and cash for global equities.
How much are you putting into VWRA regularly?



Why would you be? You don't have to sell off everything when you retire. You will most likely be doing "DCA, but in reverse", so there's still a lot of time for most of your holdings to recover.
I am looking at about 500 SGD per month for VWRA.
 

BBCWatcher

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Fancy portfolio question: what is a good LSE listed ETF for the UK market?

VUKE tracks the FTSE 100, a large cap index which is badly unbalanced *cough* like the STI *cough*. VMID tracks the FTSE 250 index of "mid caps", which are 250 next largest after the FTSE 100 components. It is possible to get both, but the allocation is going to get a little too small for each counter and adds on more transaction costs.
The FTSE 100 represents roughly 85% of the U.K. stock market last I checked (on a market capitalization basis), so there's not much more to it. As far as I know there's no broader ETF specifically for U.K. listed stocks. However, Vanguard U.K. offers the "Vanguard FTSE U.K. All Share Index Unit Trust," ISIN GB00B3X7QG63, which holds virtually all the stocks listed/traded in the U.K. It's an accumulating fund, and the expense ratio is 0.06%.

You'll have to investigate tax considerations and purchase pathways, but it looks like it is purchasable via Interactive Brokers with zero transaction fee as long as you have a minimum US$100,000 initial investment.
 

completenovice

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IBKR Stock Yield Enhancement Program
A Question for Shiny Things.

Many thanks for all of your help to date - your advice to me has proved to be right for several years now.

Deeply appreciated!

Regarding the IBKR stock yield enhancement program, can't see a good reason not to enroll;
  • stocks loaned are covered 102% by cash by IBKR so seems like no exposer to borrower?
  • tax implications seem to be negligible for retail investors like me?
  • all other risks seem to be between broker and IBKR?

Looks like small but easy money! Are there any risks that I have not understood please?

Completenovice
 

JuniorLion

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IBKR Stock Yield Enhancement Program
A Question for Shiny Things.

Many thanks for all of your help to date - your advice to me has proved to be right for several years now.

Deeply appreciated!

Regarding the IBKR stock yield enhancement program, can't see a good reason not to enroll;
  • stocks loaned are covered 102% by cash by IBKR so seems like no exposer to borrower?
  • tax implications seem to be negligible for retail investors like me?
  • all other risks seem to be between broker and IBKR?

Looks like small but easy money! Are there any risks that I have not understood please?

Completenovice

Only for US-listed stocks. Your typical LSE-listed ETFs cannot participate in this program.
 

voxvoxz

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Hi Shiny Things,

Which ETF do you recommend to purchase if I want to purchase S&P 500?
I am a Singaporean working in Singapore, hence prefer Ireland domiciled ETF.

VUSD - Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF
SPY5 - SPDR S&P 500 UCITS ETF
CSPX - iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF
S27 - SPDR S&P500 US$ in SGX

Which ETF would you recommend if I want to take short term? How about long term?

I am already vested in VWRD and IWDA on long term.

rgds
voxz
 

megdang

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Hi Shiny Things,

Which ETF do you recommend to purchase if I want to purchase S&P 500?
I am a Singaporean working in Singapore, hence prefer Ireland domiciled ETF.

VUSD - Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF
SPY5 - SPDR S&P 500 UCITS ETF
CSPX - iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF
S27 - SPDR S&P500 US$ in SGX

Which ETF would you recommend if I want to take short term? How about long term?

I am already vested in VWRD and IWDA on long term.

rgds
voxz

Shiny likely would NOT recommend you to buy any S&P 500 ETF since you have to pay withholding tax for US stocks and IWDA is already heavily weighted in US.
 

decibel.

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I thought VWRD tracks FTSE while IWDA tracks MSCI? Why vested in both at the same time with overlaps?

Sent from HUAWEI VOG-L29 using GAGT
 

crystalnox

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I thought VWRD tracks FTSE while IWDA tracks MSCI? Why vested in both at the same time with overlaps?

Sent from HUAWEI VOG-L29 using GAGT
Because both the FTSE All-World Index and the MSCI World Index track almost the same stocks?
 

limster

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Shiny likely would NOT recommend you to buy any S&P 500 ETF since you have to pay withholding tax for US stocks and IWDA is already heavily weighted in US.


You can buy S&P 500 ETFs without withholding tax, so that's hardly a good enough reason :s13:

Diversification seems to be a better reason
 

120602

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Hi Shiny Things,

I chanced upon your name when i was checking out some details on my axa pulsar policy today. YES, the one that people strongly are against. I bought it since 2015 and i dont see much growth from it and not sure how much i can take out on the 10th year. I''m contemplating to just surrender the policy and get back less than 12k and see what other investments would be more sound for me. (fyi i was on the lowest tier 3k/yr plan for pulsar)

I see that ETFs seem to be the way to go, but i need advice on how to start.

Thanks in advance!

Any other gurus here can also chip in on some ideas?
 

tangent314

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You can buy S&P 500 ETFs without withholding tax, so that's hardly a good enough reason :s13:

There is still withholding tax of 15%, just that it's paid by the fund managers in Dublin.

I chanced upon your name when i was checking out some details on my axa pulsar policy today. YES, the one that people strongly are against. I bought it since 2015 and i dont see much growth from it and not sure how much i can take out on the 10th year. I''m contemplating to just surrender the policy and get back less than 12k and see what other investments would be more sound for me. (fyi i was on the lowest tier 3k/yr plan for pulsar)

Yes, you should probably surrender. You're past the 18 months period, and from what I see there's no penalty for withdrawal. Yes you do lose the 10 year bonus, but they are already fleecing you for way more than that (1.5% per yar + 0.5% per year + bid/offer spread) for the period from now until those 10 years.
 
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Maeda_Toshiie

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Shiny likely would NOT recommend you to buy any S&P 500 ETF since you have to pay withholding tax for US stocks and IWDA is already heavily weighted in US.

You still pay for the 15% withholding tax for US stocks inside IWDA. Buying an Ireland domiciled S&P 500 index fund (VUSD or CSPX) also incurs the 15% WHT, same for IWDA.
 
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Maeda_Toshiie

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There is still withholding tax of 15%, just that it's paid by the fund managers in Dublin.

Synthetic ETFs do not attract WHT, but the downsides of synthetics are that the expense ratio is higher and you face the (frankly, rather small) risk of the counter-party blowing up.
 
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