2022 Market Sentiment & Positioning

limster

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Bought Santander and Aviva early last night. Didn't manage to fill LSPU at my target price... saw it kept on going up as time passed.

Market looks like it is trying to build a sustainable rally.,

Since I have invested a pretty healthy amount of cash in July so far, I can sit tight now and see whether this is the summer rally we have all been waiting for, or a dead cat bounce 🐯
 

RedsYWNA

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Bought Santander and Aviva early last night. Didn't manage to fill LSPU at my target price... saw it kept on going up as time passed.

Market looks like it is trying to build a sustainable rally.,

Since I have invested a pretty healthy amount of cash in July so far, I can sit tight now and see whether this is the summer rally we have all been waiting for, or a dead cat bounce 🐯
I think the market is rallying based on improving inflation data. Inflation is coming down, but if inflation remains persistently high at say 5%, eventually it will take its toll on the market via higher int rates......

I am still invested in the market, but I am lightly adding to new positions via selling put options only...
 

Perisher

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I think the market is rallying based on improving inflation data. Inflation is coming down, but if inflation remains persistently high at say 5%, eventually it will take its toll on the market via higher int rates......

I am still invested in the market, but I am lightly adding to new positions via selling put options only...
July 26-27
FOMC meeting...

if the interest hike is 0.75, market should be taking it well...
anything more suggest a bloodbath...?
won't be expecting anything less...
 

limster

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If rates hike matches expectations, market will rally.

markets always over-react and think its worse than it actually is, and that's always a good time to buy.

VWRD is now above $100 which is a good sign, because I spent most of June and July buying it while it was under $100. 😅 Same for LSPU above $40, spent most of June and July buying it when it was under $40
 

gld998

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todays market mood

F657-C820-A85-A-40-C1-8-F65-4-D59-D5702849.gif
 

limster

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As an Interactive Brokers client, you are likely aware that client accounts receive credit interest on long-settled cash balances in their securities accounts. After recent increases in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve, Interactive Brokers now pays up to USD 1.08% on long-settled cash balances.1 If the Fed raises interest rates by 75 basis points at the end of the month, this rate will likely rise to USD 1.83% because the interest IBKR pays rises in tandem with Fed interest rate increases.

Accounts with a Net Asset Value (NAV) of USD 100,000 (or equivalent) or more are paid interest at the full rate for which they are eligible. Accounts with NAV of less than USD 100,000 (or equivalent) receive interest at rates proportional to the size of the account.

For example, an account with a NAV of USD 50,000 earns credit interest at a rate equal to one-half the rate paid by IBKR to accounts with a NAV of USD 100,000 or more.

Interest accrues and is payable daily. IBKR posts the interest payments monthly on the third business day of the following month. IBKR uses a blended rate based on the tiers outlined on our website. The tiers on which interest rates are based are subject to change without prior notification.

For balances held in CHF, DKK, EUR or SEK, IBKR may apply an effective negative rate to long balances held. The negative rate applied to accounts holding these currencies is the same regardless of account size. For other currencies in which the benchmark rate plus the interest rate paid is less than zero, the interest paid is 0%.

got the latest e-mail on US$ Interest on IBKR cash balances. But EUR is -0.794%!

Lucky my European stock investments, I'm buying either USD (ADR) or GBP (ETF) denominated... so I will never have EUR spare cash balances subject to negative rates....
 

Perisher

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got the latest e-mail on US$ Interest on IBKR cash balances. But EUR is -0.794%!

Lucky my European stock investments, I'm buying either USD (ADR) or GBP (ETF) denominated... so I will never have EUR spare cash balances subject to negative rates....
siao... means will lose $$ holding EUR cash...
 

revhappy

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markets always over-react and think its worse than it actually is, and that's always a good time to buy.

VWRD is now above $100 which is a good sign, because I spent most of June and July buying it while it was under $100. 😅 Same for LSPU above $40, spent most of June and July buying it when it was under $40
ECB raises rates by 50bps. Good for your EU banking stocks :)
 

revhappy

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What a nice bounce in the markets! and cheers to everyone who correctly said that markets are unlikely to go lower. I was kind of preparing for a long winter, lol. If this bounce sticks my July numbers are going to look a lot better compared to the horrible June.
 

sohguanh

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What a nice bounce in the markets! and cheers to everyone who correctly said that markets are unlikely to go lower. I was kind of preparing for a long winter, lol. If this bounce sticks my July numbers are going to look a lot better compared to the horrible June.
Only confirm after end of trading day and post market action. Red color galore for tech stock. Coming Monday red or green for tech stock?
 

limster

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yeah, I jinxed it 😬

Actually a realistic rally in these conditions, we would expect some red days but overall there will be more green days.

I only need market to rally 5% more to the end of the year for me to breakeven for 2022, which means that my 19.7% gain in 2021 is 'protected'...

But I'm even more optimistic and looking at market rallying about 10% to year end.... (even if the 10% rally is 'nominal' because most of it is eaten up by inflation... 10% nominal is still better than cash in bank account)
 

elvintay07

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Actually a realistic rally in these conditions, we would expect some red days but overall there will be more green days.

I only need market to rally 5% more to the end of the year for me to breakeven for 2022, which means that my 19.7% gain in 2021 is 'protected'...

But I'm even more optimistic and looking at market rallying about 10% to year end.... (even if the 10% rally is 'nominal' because most of it is eaten up by inflation... 10% nominal is still better than cash in bank account)
Actually not is good time to clear those cmi stocks. Try not to whack those Snapchat, Palantir, Sea this kind. 2022/ 2023 really not for these. Stick to those apple, Nike, etc
 

sohguanh

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Actually not is good time to clear those cmi stocks. Try not to whack those Snapchat, Palantir, Sea this kind. 2022/ 2023 really not for these. Stick to those apple, Nike, etc
I avoid tech stock. Exception given to aapl msft googl for me
 

elvintay07

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I avoid tech stock. Exception given to aapl msft googl for me
Tech refers to big tech or small tech? Future is about tech. So best is to have small position. In times of non crisis, ppl won’t remember food, argriculture etc
 

sohguanh

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Tech refers to big tech or small tech? Future is about tech. So best is to have small position. In times of non crisis, ppl won’t remember food, argriculture etc
There are many ETF comprising of tech stock which I already have so only for the exception I mention buy as individual stock.

I am buying consumer and some oddities as these are brands where I or my surrounding ppl see and use their products and services. levi nke yum qsr ko pg cl jnj mdlz bti deo mcd sbux dis has visa ma ndaq ice etc
 
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