[CONSOLIDATED] 柯文哲 Ko P Discussion Thread

mgx-alander

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1450, ur Lai P liao when demolish answer leh?

new taipei city gpgt already leh when demolish? :s13:
 

bongnino

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Ke P may end up lose deposit if the youth voters never turn up on voting day

In the 2022 9-in-1 elections, TPP only won 1 seat (高虹安) and only 4.7% of total votes. If this continues into 2024, he will lose big again
Yup… Ke simply doesn’t have the support some people think he has. Youth voters are outspoken and aggressive, but most of them not interested in politics at all, will not travel back to hometown to vote.

If they don’t feel passionate enough to turn up to vote, Ke might lose big time … at max max can only get 15% of voteshare.

It’s damn sad.
 

bongnino

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Ke P may end up lose deposit if the youth voters never turn up on voting day
Very high chance this might happen … Ke will definitely be no. 3 in this poll..

Their aggressive and forceful youth supporters are pissing fair-minded middle ground voters off.

People hate the “I am right and you are wrong” toxic politics .. that Ke and the whites are displaying.

It’s damn ironic because they want to put a stop to toxic blue/green fighting but Ke and the white themselves are much more toxic than blue/green.

Lol.
 

bongnino

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Very high chance this might happen … Ke will definitely be no. 3 in this poll..

Their aggressive and forceful youth supporters are pissing fair-minded middle ground voters off.

People hate the “I am right and you are wrong” toxic politics .. that Ke and the whites are displaying.

It’s damn ironic because they want to put a stop to toxic blue/green fighting but Ke and the white themselves are much more toxic than blue/green.

Lol.
As a matter of fact, there are many many former white supporters suddenly turn “Ke-hei” … and they can list a damn long list of legit, reasonable and valid criticism about Ke and why he and tpp are very problematic and not worth supporting.

That’s why you guys really need to read wider and be more fair-minded …

Go check out Grace Woo on facebook and find out more about how toxic Ke and tpp is and why they will be bad for tw politics.
 

bongnino

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Anyway right now there are at least four official properly done and credible opinion polls showing Ke as no. 3 ….

This means, in the last week leading up to polling day, a natural qi bao effect could happen.

If there are indeed enough people who really don’t want dpp to continue … people would automatically vote kmt because they are no. 2 according to current polls.

But chances are … vote will be so split Lai will still confirm win.
 

Kiwi8

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Anyway right now there are at least four official properly done and credible opinion polls showing Ke as no. 3 ….

This means, in the last week leading up to polling day, a natural qi bao effect could happen.

If there are indeed enough people who really don’t want dpp to continue … people would automatically vote kmt because they are no. 2 according to current polls.

But chances are … vote will be so split Lai will still confirm win.
According to the opinion polls now, the lead by Lai over Hou is too big. There may be some qi bao but probably not enough for Hou to overturn the odds.
 

regis6

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https://imgur.com/gallery/uK7LGMR

Most legit latest proper opinion surveys show Ke as no. 3 ….

There is little doubt about it. He doesn’t have that much support as people think.

His supporters are aggressive and vocal that’s why seems like it’s a substantial significant number but no, that sort of aggressive behaviours are pissing off a lot of middleground voters, which is a far larger number.

If Ke can pull off 25% of total vote it is already a big miracle and that’s largely at the expense of people hating a very horrible dpp.

If dpp isn’t so horrible Ke may only get less than 10% max max.

Current opinion polls showing Ke having more than 25% are the ones that add on to youth votes.. you all heard of jia quan? Go check it up. That’s what is making his poll look high. In actual fact without jia quan, it’s definitely less than 20%. Maybe max 15%.

This election is not for Ke. He is the reason why Tw has to live with a bad dpp in power.
Majority of kp's supporters rather support dpp instead of kmt thou. If not, dpp polling won't raise when kp popularity dropped.

This is the reason why kmt no longer want to whack kp
 

Stealth_PL

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Ke P may end up lose deposit if the youth voters never turn up on voting day
Taiwan election isn’t the same as ours.. each presidential vote can get 30 twd and each party vote can get 50 twd.. even if kp loses, he will still get a ton of money just buy having the votes..
 

Stealth_PL

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As a matter of fact, there are many many former white supporters suddenly turn “Ke-hei” … and they can list a damn long list of legit, reasonable and valid criticism about Ke and why he and tpp are very problematic and not worth supporting.

That’s why you guys really need to read wider and be more fair-minded …

Go check out Grace Woo on facebook and find out more about how toxic Ke and tpp is and why they will be bad for tw politics.
Even Wei han also now call kp supporter bai lian jiao and call them a religion liao.. the online Wang jun of kp really making enemy everywhere..
 

Stealth_PL

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Majority of kp's supporters rather support dpp instead of kmt thou. If not, dpp polling won't raise when kp popularity dropped.

This is the reason why kmt no longer want to whack kp
Most of them are the 817 who supported veg anyway.. it is easier for them to go back to dpp then to jump to the opposite side to support Hou
 

Stealth_PL

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According to the opinion polls now, the lead by Lai over Hou is too big. There may be some qi bao but probably not enough for Hou to overturn the odds.
The final tipping point now is probably guo, he might end up be the sole reason Hou win or not
 

bongnino

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According to the opinion polls now, the lead by Lai over Hou is too big. There may be some qi bao but probably not enough for Hou to overturn the odds.

Majority of kp's supporters rather support dpp instead of kmt thou. If not, dpp polling won't raise when kp popularity dropped.

This is the reason why kmt no longer want to whack kp
Yup… indeed. But kmt is nonetheless still no. 2 ..

That’s why dpp mostly focuses on whacking kmt because dpp knows very well too Hou is currently no. 2 …

And if enough tpp and Ke supporters really don’t want dpp to retain power.. they might vote Hou, for the sake of it, because Hou being no. 2 has a better chance than hopeless Ke.

That’s for the sake of preventing dpp from retaining power.

But of course hopes are not high at all. Chances are votes will be very split … dpp will retain power with around 38-43% votes or slightly more even possibly.

KMT and tpp will senselessly split their vote share uselessly and laughably.
 

feitz

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Yup… Ke simply doesn’t have the support some people think he has. Youth voters are outspoken and aggressive, but most of them not interested in politics at all, will not travel back to hometown to vote.
If they don’t feel passionate enough to turn up to vote, Ke might lose big time … at max max can only get 15% of voteshare.
It’s damn sad.

bongnino, number 1 柯黑 fan in edmw is back!


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Stroganoff

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