Upcoming Central Bank Meetings
This week, we’ll get to see which pages the Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of England are on in the book. The RBA has previously signaled they with the Fed and the ECB. As a matter of fact, after the last RBA meeting, the central bank started its second A$100 billion bond purchase program. Don’t expect much of a change from the RBA this week, however they may address the rise in the Aussie as commodity prices rise around the world. The BOE is another story. The UK is open for business! Retail sales for March were 5.4% vs an expectation of 1.5% and both the manufacturing and services PMIs were 60+, at best levels since the start of the pandemic. Vaccinations are continuing, with nearly two-thirds of the populations receiving at least 1 shot. There is talk that the BOE may mention the forbidden word in the US – TAPERING! (I’m old enough to remember when there was talk the UK would bring rates negative?) The BOE has a targeted 875 billion-Pound bond purchase program, which it was supposed to reach at the end of 2021. However, if they don’t slow the current pace, or taper, they will hit that limit sooner than expected. Of course, they can always expand the amount, as they have done twice before.