Forex Cryptocurrency General Chit Chat Thread 2019

Mr. Wood

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Central banks around the world want to get into digital currencies—here’s why

MAR 6 2021

China has been in the lead in developing its own digital currency. It’s been working on the initiative since 2014. Chinese central bank officials have already conducted massive trials in major cities including Shenzhen, Chengdu and Hangzhou.

Advocates contend central bank digital currencies can make cross-border transactions easier, promote financial inclusion and provide payment system stability. There are also privacy and surveillance risks with government-issued digital currencies. And in times of economic uncertainty, people may be more likely to pull their funds from commercial banks, accelerating a bank run

if there is any country who will ban bitcoin and crypto, it is china.
 

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Asian Open: NFP buoys sentiment, the dollar hits new highs
March 8, 2021 6:09 AM

USD/CNH: Stand back to admire the view
Price action on the monthly chart of USD/CNH warrants a look, as it suggests we could be at a significant turning point. Whilst the monthly chart is too high a timeframe for most to participate in, it can help provide a directional bias over the coming month/s before a bullish trend gets underway.

20210308usdcnhw1ci.png

20210308usdcnhd1ci.png


Bulls could seek long entries with a break above Friday’s high, or wait to see if 0.6515 is respected as support, for a conservative entry.
Initial target is the 6.6100 – 6.6277 resistance zone.
A break beneath 6.4000 invalidates the turning point thesis. Whilst a dip back within the range would place it on the backburner temporarily.
 

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US Auctions will be closely monitored this week!
March 9, 2021 6:18 AM

This week, the US Treasury will be auctioning off the following:

Tuesday: 3-year notes
Wednesday: 10-year notes
Thursday: 30-year bonds
In addition, the Treasury will also be issuing a few short-term duration bills (less than 1 year). There is also a good deal of corporate bond supply this week.

Recall on February 25th when the Treasury auctioned 7-year notes. It did not go well. As a result, bond prices moved lower (on less demand) and yields moved higher (yields move inversely to bond prices):


Market Reaction: With the weak 7-year auction on February 25th, the markets sold bonds, sold stocks, and bought US Dollars ( as yields went higher). Traders could expect a similar reaction this week if they auctions are poor. Therefore, US Dollar counter currencies should move lower verse the US Dollar if results are poor.
 

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Gold gets up and dusts itself off
March 10, 2021 5:49 AM

after the precious metal was beaten down to the bottom trendline of the downward sloping channel which began in August 2020, Gold was able to bounce nearly 2%, back above 1700, to near 1715. Notice that the bottom channel line confluences with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the March 16th pandemic lows to the post-pandemic highs of August 7th, near 1692.2. In addition, the RSI was in oversold territory, which was another reason to expect the bounce.
69da2a2b48f348099db6316ae4a8084f.ashx
 

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Mon Mar 15
7:15am AUD RBA Gov Lowe Speaks at Melbourne Business School’s online conference
10:00am CNY Industrial Production y/y

Tue Mar 16
8:30pm USD Core Retail Sales m/m
USD Retail Sales m/m

Wed Mar 17
6:00pm EUR CPI y/y
8:30pm CAD CPI m/m

Thu Mar 18
2:00am USD FOMC Economic Projections
USD FOMC Statement
2:30am USD FOMC Press Conference
5:45am NZD GDP q/q
8:30am AUD Employment Change
AUD Unemployment Rate
8:00pm GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
GBP Monetary Policy Summary
GBP Official Bank Rate

Fri Mar 19
8:30pm CAD Core Retail Sales m/m
 

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Mon Mar 22
9:00am CNY PBoC Loan Prime Rate
9:00pm USD Fed Chair Powell participate in a virtual panel discussion about central bank innovation at an online event hosted by the Bank for International Settlements


Tue Mar 23
10:00pm USD Fed Chair Powell Testifies along with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, on the quarterly CARES Act report before the House Financial Services Committee

Wed Mar 24
3:00pm GBP CPI (YoY)
4:15pm EUR French Flash Services PMI
4:30pm EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI
EUR German Flash Services PMI
10:00pm USD Fed Chair Powell Testifies along with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, on the quarterly CARES Act report before the Senate Banking Committee

Thu Mar 25
4:30pm CHF SNB Monetary Policy Assessment
5:30pm CAD BOC Gov Macklem,
ECB President Lagarde and
GBP BOE Gov Bailey participate in a virtual panel discussion about central bank innovation at an online event hosted by the Bank for International Settlements

EUR EU Economic Summit Day 1 - due to discuss the response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Single Market, industrial policy, digital transformation and the economy, the situation in the Eastern Mediterranean, and relations with Russia

Fri Mar 26
All Day EUR Euro Summit - due to discuss how to strengthen the international role of the euro
EUR EU Economic Summit Day 2
 

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The US Fed Chairman and has to testify his policies, make decisions that affect the whole world and gets a salary of $201700 per annum. he oso cannot be an officer or director of any bank, banking institution, trust company, or Federal Reserve bank or hold stock in any bank, banking institution, or trust company.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chair_of_the_Federal_Reserve

meanwhile in sinkiepoor, yall hab parttimers who get $660k to show face, cutting ribbons, carry babies, take photos all brainless no sweat tasks. ownself take big money but refuse minimum salary to ordinary workers and old ppl hav to jian cardboard for exercise.
 

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Mon Apr 5
Easter Holiday

Tue Apr 6
12:30pm AUD RBA Rate Statement

Wed Apr 7
10:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories

Thu Apr 8
2:00am USD FOMC Meeting Minutes

Fri Apr 9
12:00am USD Fed Chair Powell Speaks in a panel discussion about the global economy at a virtual International Monetary Fund Seminar
8:30pm USD PPI (MoM) (Mar)
CAD Employment Change
Unemployment Rate
 

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Currency Pair of the Week: AUD/USD
April 5, 2021 8:43 PM

As with most central banks, the RBA is focusing on employment over inflation.
the US Federal Reserve is turning their attention almost entirely towards maximizing employment. Last week, the US released its Non-Farm Payroll report which showed the US added 916,000 jobs to the economy in March vs a consensus of 650,000.
meanwhile miw use taxpayers money to keep CEOs and directors rich but refuse to say anything about retrenchments.
****rs,
 

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Mon Apr 127:00amUSDFed Chair Powell to discuss the economy in an interview conducted by 60 Minutes
10:30pmCADBOC Business Outlook Survey
Tue Apr 132:00pmGBPGDP
4:30pmGBPManufacturing Production (MoM)
8:30pmUSDCPI m/m
USDCore CPI m/m
Wed Apr 1410:00amNZDRBNZ Rate Statement
10:30pmUSD
Crude Oil Inventories
Thu Apr 1512:00amUSDFed Chair Powell Speaks at the Economic Club of Washington, via satellite
9:30amAUDEmployment Change
AUDUnemployment Rate
8:30pmUSDCore Retail Sales m/m
USDRetail Sales m/m
Fri Apr 1610:00amCNYGDP q/y
5:00pmEURCPI (YoY)
8:30pmUSDBuilding Permits (Mar)
 

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Mon Apr 19
Tue Apr 20
9:30amAUD
RBA Meeting Minutes
Wed Apr 216:45amNZDCPI q/q
9:30amAUDRetail Sales m/m
2:00pmGBPCPI y/y
10:00pmCADBOC Monetary Policy Report
CADBOC Rate Statement
11:00pmCADBOC Press Conference
Thu Apr 227:45pmEURMonetary Policy Statement
8:30pmEURECB Press Conference
8:30pmUSDInitial Jobless Claims
Fri Apr 233:15pmEURFrench Flash Services PMI
3:30pmEURGerman Flash Manufacturing PMI
EURGerman Flash Services PMI
 
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