Forex/Cryptocurrency General Chit Chat Thread

[ExtremeWays]

but be careful..

no stop loss doesn't work for everything.. e.g. if you short Brent Oil now.. better put stop loss.. even though its at its 2-3 years high .. cos once it go up.. god knows when it will come back down again..

also the sizing you use.. you still got to calculate how much you gonna lose if things go the wrong way.. so at least you can be mentally prepared and ready for it..

Personally, I rather buy an oil exposed stock like Keppel if I expect oil prices to rise. If wrong, I just hold with no stop losses. KEPPEL is PAP darling along with SingTel and DBS. Too Big to Fail

 

[Mr.Canberra]

I think uncle canberra only advocate no-stop-loss for forex?

No stop loss strategy only works for Forex trading.

 

[Mr.Canberra]

Been a lurker for 3 months, and glad to say that no stop loss works for me too, able to achieve 20% roi per month.
Positions from 2 months ago was closed, but still got stuck long UJ and a few..

Well done my fellow NO STOP LOSS strategy punter!

 

[Mr. Wood]

usd/cad spike

 

[Mr.Canberra]

usd/cad spike

Haha lately USD/CAD has some crazy moves.

Currently down by -US$1000 unrealised loss.

 

[havetheveryfun]

Personally, I rather buy an oil exposed stock like Keppel if I expect oil prices to rise. If wrong, I just hold with no stop losses. KEPPEL is PAP darling along with SingTel and DBS. Too Big to Fail

yes .. a lot of US oil stocks already double

 

[Mr. Wood]

Data releases. All times in SST

MonApr 23 *
3:00pm EUR French Flash Manufacturing PMI
EUR French Flash Services PMI
3:30pm EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI
EUR German Flash Services PMI
4:00pm EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI
EUR Flash Services PMI
10:00pm USD Existing Home Sales

TueApr 24
3:30am CAD BOC Gov Poloz Speaks
6:00am AUD RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks
9:30am AUD CPI q/q
AUD Trimmed Mean CPI q/q
4:00pm EUR German Ifo Business Climate
4:30pm GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing
10:00pm USD ** Consumer Confidence

WedApr 25
10:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories

ThuApr 26
4:15am CAD BOC Gov Poloz Speaks
3:00pm EUR Spanish Unemployment Rate
7:45pm EUR Minimum Bid Rate
8:30pm EUR ECB Press Conference
USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
USD Durable Goods Orders m/m
USD Unemployment Claims

FriApr 27
6:45am NZD Trade Balance
Tentative JPY BOJ Policy Rate
Tentative JPY Monetary Policy Statement
Tentative JPY BOJ Outlook Report
Tentative JPY BOJ Press Conference
3:00pm EUR Spanish Flash CPI y/y
EUR Spanish Flash GDP q/q
4:00pm CHF SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks
4:30pm GBP Prelim GDP q/q
8:30pm USD Advance GDP q/q
USD Advance GDP Price Index q/q
USD Employment Cost Index q/q
10:00pm GBP BOE Gov Carney Speaks
USD Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment

 

[Mr. Wood]

WEEKLY FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK: (APR 23-27, 2018)

EURUSD:

Technical Outlook: The EURUSD currency pair was seen mostly trading within the range of 1.2385 – 1.2320 level last week before price action posted strong declines by Friday’s close. The test of support near 1.2250 saw prices being rejected strongly before closing higher. In the near term, we expect EURUSD to potentially retrace back to the lower support level that was breached at 1.2323. A retest of this level could shift to resistance keeping the downside pressure as a result. However, if price action breaks out above 1.2323, the sideways range could once again be resumed. Overall, we expect EURUSD to retest the 1.2323 level and push lower to 1.2250.

Fundamental Outlook: The week ahead from the Eurozone will see a busy economic calendar. The flash services and manufacturing PMI numbers for the month of April will be coming out during the first part of the week. On Thursday, the ECB will be holding its monetary policy meeting. No changes are expected to the interest rates or the ECB’s QE purchases. However, investors will be paying close attention to any change in the language that could indicate the next policy action from the central bank. Flash GDP reports from Spain will be coming out on Friday.

 

[Mr. Wood]

WEEKLY FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK: (APR 23-27, 2018)

GBPUSD:

The GBPUSD managed to break to new yearly high levels touching 1.4347, but it has posted a strong bearish reversal bar. The big psychological number 1.4000 has stopped the downside and the fact that we haven’t been able to post a weekly close below it can signal that a pullback is in cards next week. The selloff was too quick and too fast which has brought the stochastic indicator in oversold territory.

On the downside, we can expect any sell off below the round number 1.4000 to be quickly bought. But the next important support levels come at 1.3900 which can be seen if we break and close below 1.4000 on a daily basis. On the upside, the first resistance is at 1.4086 followed by 1.4180 which can be tested if we have a deep retracement next week. There is only one notable risk event scheduled on the UK economic calendar. On Friday the UK economic growth rate is going to be released. The market consensus is for a modest reading of 0.4% GDP growth rate. The UK is the only economy that is slowing down and that is partially due to Brexit –related uncertainty. On Friday the BOE Governor Carney is due to speak at the launch of the BOE’s economic education program, in London.

 

[Mr. Wood]

WEEKLY FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK: (APR 23-27, 2018)

USDCHF:

Technical Outlook: The USDCHF currency has managed to post gradual gains with price action closing at the 0.9741 level of resistance. Prior to the rally to this level, USDCHF was seen facing resistance at 0.9629 level. Any downside corrections are likely to be limited to this level which could now turn as support. The bullish momentum in USDCHF comes at a risk of a larger correction. The main support level at 0.9461 remains a key area that could be retested at support. To the upside, we expect to see some consolidation taking place at the current levels ahead of further gains.

Fundamental Outlook: Data from Switzerland is quiet with focus shifting to the U.S. The economic calendar from the U.S. is somewhat quiet with only the preliminary GDP report for the first quarter of 2018 standing out. Investors will be looking at how the U.S. economy performed during the first quarter of the year after the U.S. GDP expanded at a pace of 2.9% in the fourth quarter ending 2017. Employment cost index will also give insights into wage growth. Besides the above data, other events over the week include the Richmond manufacturing index, the durable goods orders index and the conference board’s consumer confidence data.

 

[Mr. Wood]

WEEKLY FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK: (APR 23-27, 2018)

USDJPY:

Technical Outlook: The USDJPY currency pair was seen gradually posting gains. After price action closed above the support level near 107.014 – 106.85, the U.S. dollar maintained the gains. We expect this momentum to eventually push prices to test the upper resistance level at 108.43. However, with the Stochastic oscillator on the 4-hour chart currently in the overbought levels, we expect a modest correction. Any declines would be limited to the support level at 107 region. In the event of a breakout below this level USDJPY could be seen pushing lower toward the 105.80 level.

Fundamental Outlook: Data from Japan this week will see the release of the flash manufacturing PMI numbers. This is followed by the Bank of Japan’s core CPI data. A continued uptick in inflation could potentially sit well with the BoJ officials as they meet later in the week on Friday. The Bank of Japan is expected to hold its monetary policy unchanged although there could some change to the language. Some of the BoJ officials were already seen expressing their views that monetary policy could be tightened even though inflation remains below the BoJ’s 2% inflation target rate.

 

[Mr. Wood]

WEEKLY FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK: (APR 23-27, 2018)

USDCAD:

The USDCAD rallied strongly last week and it threatens the current bearish trend. However, as long as we trade and stay below the 1.2800 round numbers on a daily closing basis the bearish trend can still be intact. But a break and a daily close above 1.2800 will open the door for a retest of the big psychological number 1.3000. On the downside, the first level of interest comes at 1.2688 followed by 1.2570.

The stochastic indicator is already in oversold conditions which might suggest that the current rally can slow down at least during the first day of the week before the next move can happen. The Canadian economic calendar we only have some light news events. On Monday the BOC Governor Poloz is due to testify along with Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance, in Ottawa.

 

[Mr. Wood]

WEEKLY FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK: (APR 23-27, 2018)

AUDUSD:

The AUDUSD is on the verge to make new lows for the year, however, since we’re still trading above the previous swing low 0.7642, we can expect any sell offs below that swing to be short lived. Currently, the Aussie trades inside a wide consolidation between 0.7645 support level and 0.7773 resistance level and as long as we trade inside this price limits we should expect more consolidation.

The stochastic indicator is already in oversold territory and we should expect the sell off to slow down for the time being. However, a daily close below the current trading range can open the door for more weakness towards the big psychological number 0.7500. The Australian economic calendar will bring the CPI inflation figure which is expected to inch lower to 0.5% versus 0.6% previous reading. Thursday we have the ANZAC holiday which means that we should expect lower trading activity.

 

[Mr. Wood]

what u guys think if someone claims can teach forex course about $700, can bring a friend free. so works out about $350 1 person.
3 day course.
tempted to sign up coz he claims on first day will do live trade.

 

[havetheveryfun]

what u guys think if someone claims can teach forex course about $700, can bring a friend free. so works out about $350 1 person.
3 day course.
tempted to sign up coz he claims on first day will do live trade.

real forex traders wont claim to be able to do live trades anytime.. cos it requires waiting for the right set up before entering

350 just go lor if u interested, nothing to lose.. not like its 3.5k

 

[Mr. Wood]

real forex traders wont claim to be able to do live trades anytime.. cos it requires waiting for the right set up before entering

350 just go lor if u interested, nothing to lose.. not like its 3.5k

yah hor. u are very right. slipped my mind. maybe too excited when I hear it is $700

moi no frens. cannot split $700 fees.

 

[Mr. Wood]

moi attend free seminar so dat u all dun hav to

free sharing
very often here got some1 post how to select brokers....

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

 

[Mr. Wood]

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

 

[Takodoro]

real forex traders wont claim to be able to do live trades anytime.. cos it requires waiting for the right set up before entering

350 just go lor if u interested, nothing to lose.. not like its 3.5k

700 or 350 per head....assuming 10 person for 3 hrs = 3,500 / 3 hrs = 1167 per hr = approximately 100 pips profit on 1 standard lot UJ every 1 hr.

My humble opinion is the market always got opportunity. If no set-up then that mean can scalp. I would be more impressed if his first live trade for the course is a loss and then he slowly claw back during the session. That is assuming he really use live account and not demo account.

For 700, I humbly suggest you might as well organize a boot camp amongst us. I would be interested to see how uncle canberra and extremeways trade live.

 

[ExtremeWays]

700 or 350 per head....assuming 10 person for 3 hrs = 3,500 / 3 hrs = 1167 per hr = approximately 100 pips profit on 1 standard lot UJ every 1 hr.

My humble opinion is the market always got opportunity. If no set-up then that mean can scalp. I would be more impressed if his first live trade for the course is a loss and then he slowly claw back during the session. That is assuming he really use live account and not demo account.

For 700, I humbly suggest you might as well organize a boot camp amongst us. I would be interested to see how uncle canberra and extremeways trade live.

The most important thing is risk management. Prices have memory. Volatility brings more volatility. They come in clusters.