Is Forex Profitable?

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lchunl001

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anyone has been profitable so far in forex? for myself, is it still not so however will be working hard on it..:D
 

rayzzzz82

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How do you define profitable? Does having two and half years profit with 4 months loss with max drawdown of 15% and annual return from 50% to 150% deem profitable to u?
 

blurinvestor

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I never laugh nor question nor challenge how people trade, not because I am still learning but I learn to respect others.

Many stated that this guy will blow his account in a week but 17th weeks running -

EsNfLEs.png
 

blurinvestor

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As for me I am still learning to collect a couple of pips here and there.
Last trade for this week and sitting at the sideline because I have never experience Breexit before.

h7UwMfm.png
 

siaodong02

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I want to ask from people who are currently using it and not from backtesting. Past performance never guarantees future performance.

Let me reiterate what you mentioned.

1) You don't trust backtesting thats done over 5-10 years of historical data. Because past performance never guarantees future performance.
Ok, fair enough.

2) But you are asking people for their statistics, which I assume you believe them to be more accurate than backtesting using professional data.


You see the irony there?
You see why people say 90% of forex traders lose money due to irrational decision making?



When people say "Past data doesn't guarantee future performance", they're actually telling you that if your strategy does not even survive backtest, then don't use it for live trading. It's a form of filtering technique.

Do not use this saying as an excuse to be lazy :s13:

No offence above, guys, cheers

Edited by Mod: Unsolicited Content (Commercial solicitation / Ads / Referrals / Spam)
 
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zacattack

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Let me reiterate what you mentioned.

1) You don't trust backtesting thats done over 5-10 years of historical data. Because past performance never guarantees future performance.
Ok, fair enough.

2) But you are asking people for their statistics, which I assume you believe them to be more accurate than backtesting using professional data.


You see the irony there?
You see why people say 90% of forex traders lose money due to irrational decision making?



When people say "Past data doesn't guarantee future performance", they're actually telling you that if your strategy does not even survive backtest, then don't use it for live trading. It's a form of filtering technique.

Do not use this saying as an excuse to be lazy :s13:

You can find out more about importance of backtesting here.

No offence above, guys, cheers
Bro there is no irony. Anyone that has learnt econometrics will tell you that there's also such a thing as walk forward testing.

So please, statistics based on real trades made instead of applying rules and system to historical data. I believe that should be possible no? Common sense leh.

Not being lazy because I don't have the system and rules that the poster would be using. So just want to see.

No offence to you to. Hope you've learnt.

Sent from Huawei NEXUS 6P using GAGT
 

siaodong02

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So please, statistics based on real trades made instead of applying rules and system to historical data. I believe that should be possible no? Common sense leh.

I assume you have never seen backtest software that allows you to replay market and simulate the actual execution of every trade onto historical price data chart? If you test it properly, there is no difference between backtest or live trading. So tell me, in this way whats the diff between real trades statistics or test results?

My question to you:
If your strategy cannot even survive the backtest simulation account testing for 5 years of data, would you still trade it live? Common sense, no?

I understand its hard for people like you to believe in something that you haven't seen before. I hope I taught you something today.
 
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alexchia01

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History always repeat itself.

It always has been and it always will be.

You may think that whatever happens now is unique, but it really is not.

Boom and Crash and Boom and Crash and Boom and Crash.

It has been like this since the beginning.

The reason why you can't see it is because many of us don't stay long enough to see more than 1 cycle.

If you just observe history, you'll know.
 

zacattack

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I assume you have never seen backtest software that allows you to replay market and simulate the actual execution of every trade onto historical price data chart? If you test it properly, there is no difference between backtest or live trading. So tell me, in this way whats the diff between real trades statistics or test results?

My question to you:
If your strategy cannot even survive the backtest simulation account testing for 5 years of data, would you still trade it live? Common sense, no?

I understand its hard for people like you to believe in something that you haven't seen before. I hope I taught you something today.
Please. Backtest is different because you already know the moves. The emotion and trader psychology is already far removed from the equation.

Walk forward testing is different as there is still news that may affect price data. And back test whatever price you enter at, there would be no slippage. Walk forward testing, there is a chance of missing the trade due to slippage. So you tell me got difference anot la.

I've learnt from you. Hope you learnt from me too. Cheers.

Sent from Huawei NEXUS 6P using GAGT
 

blurinvestor

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fH7dZAq.png


have a map, trade your map.

if no plan no road map, then park one side don't anyhow drive, don't be trigger happy.
 

blurinvestor

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eMZLHrr.png


chart your map.
stare at the screen for six months, jot down your expectation - cheap price to buy or sell, which pair is for buy only, which pair is for sell only, etc. Something like USDSGD is only for buy only at 1.337XX - 1.336XX.

i don't back test. I used camstudio to capture price movement/action and reveal them for months. And i saw the light.

Always look at the left side of chart to look for possible areas for price to react or use weekly pivot.

no this is not the best method in the world; some make more money by knowing which broker to go to. well broker are there to make you broke.

if you are worry about swap, roll over, commission, etc. that will eat your account, then the safer method is don't open an account.
 

blurinvestor

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it is high time frame price action trading - combing weekly pivot, supply and demand zones, candle formation, and trend lines and patience.

understanding of - news, account balance, psychology, etc.

something like this
Supply and Demand
 
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