[Official] 韓 國 瑜 Kaohsiung(高雄) city mayor candidate

ponpokku

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Not quite...
If you talk about the CLOSING-poll (taiwan law, as of 15 nov, no polls result to be mentioned), KP vs TTing is very close.

Xiao Ye 小野 shot a pro-CQM video under famous directors.... successfully dented KP's support.

KP was WHITE (pro-green) in 2014........ (depends on your view) some think he is RED now (the deep green is fiercely against), some think he is still white (but not pro-green, this is the view of Bad-English and pale-Green). Indeed, DPP is split now (as seen as the two rally, the HAPPY ISLAND喜樂島 rally in taipei vs DPP official rally in KaoShiung, think 28-oct(?).

Xiao Ye successfully also split the supporters of KP and HGY, initially both appeared to have large overlap. After Xiao Ye's video, HGY supporters become suspicious of KP, thinking KP is behind the video to support CQM.
You can see PRC-CCP support for KP also somewhat withdrawn in support for HGY. PRC-CCP is financially supporting HGY, even blind person can see that.........

closing poll ish always full of funny numbers in taiwan elections. becos 10 days b4 actual voting day, no more polls.

all camps will chut all sorts of polls to benefit themselves. the crux to looking at those polls ish whether they disclose questionaire and sequence of questions.

when u say KP ish red, it only shows that u are looking at specific taiwanese channels that promote party politics instead of looking at KP. u are therefore just a parrot.
 
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Clopixol

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closing poll ish always full of funny numbers in taiwan elections. becos 10 days b4 actual voting day, no more polls.

all camps will chut all sorts of polls to benefit themselves. the crux to looking at those polls ish whether they disclose questionaire and sequence of questions.

when u say KP ish red, it only shows that u are looking at specific taiwanese channels that promote party politics instead of looking at KP. u are therefore just a parrot.

This year ALL the closing polls are unreliable.......2014 at least some are sensible.
 

ponpokku

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KP will win by narrow margin because of 弃保效应

his situation now ish still dangerous, becos KMT ish gonna motivate all the old ppl to block him.

this time ish a clash btw the young and the old. the young ish overwhelmingly pro KP. if they can persuade their parents or grandparents, then KP will win. if not, he will lose.
 

ponpokku

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Well...there r alr rumours that d ruling dpp will use dirty tactics to hinder those north drifters from going back to vote.

they now spread fake news that han has enrolled in tiong university in the past, and ish therefore a tiong mole... :s22::s22:
 

Clopixol

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when stupid ppl bring in ECMO scandal, immediately can skip liao. :s22::s22:

ECMO scandal ish the line btw normal ppl and dumb ppl.

both KMT (pre 2016) and DPP (present) central govts all called for a stop on all allegations on ECMO scandal now, only some deep blue and deep green idiots kept talking about it and eventually lost all supporters.

NOT true..... DPP do not know how to attack.

Indeed as early as 2014, if you spoke to some people in medical profession esp those helping VWO (non singapore) you know, KP is actually dubious....

Just that KMT then and DPP now all attack wrongly.
 

gysiang

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Taiwanese old ppl is just like sinkie old ppl, Taiwan give u 1500NTD a year to buy votes, Sinkie give u pioneer package and Merdeka package to buy votes.
 

ponpokku

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This year ALL the closing polls are unreliable.......2014 at least some are sensible.

2014 ish still party vs party thats why the polls stick to the old model do have some accuracy.

KP revamped the election culture and ish breaking up the party politics in taiwan. old methods no longer working properly liao.
 

Clopixol

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they now spread fake news that han has enrolled in tiong university in the past, and ish therefore a tiong mole... :s22::s22:
This line of attack will not help. DPP should attack on the funding of HGY, it is so obvious that it is PRC-CCP.

There is a website blog analysing the internet activites, strangely, a large proportion of those post happen at 4am.....

Site of attack is not reliable, china will use VPN, so you cannot tell the source.
 

ponpokku

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NOT true..... DPP do not know how to attack.

Indeed as early as 2014, if you spoke to some people in medical profession esp those helping VWO (non singapore) you know, KP is actually dubious....

Just that KMT then and DPP now all attack wrongly.

not attacking wrongly, but attacked becos they dunno about medical practices. that ish why.

when layman try to attack an establish medical system, they made all the most idiotic mistakes and allegations that only make themselves look stupid.

KP ish not dubious, only those that attacked him ish ignorant, becos they dunno how the medical system function.
 

ponpokku

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This line of attack will not help. DPP should attack on the funding of HGY, it is so obvious that it is PRC-CCP.

There is a website blog analysing the internet activites, strangely, a large proportion of those post happen at 4am.....

Site of attack is not reliable, china will use VPN, so you cannot tell the source.

VPN can still be analyse. maybe not the exact IP but there ish a trend and can therefore be detected.

PTT and youtube are already doing that. they can unmask to some extent who their viewers and posters came from, at least from taiwan or out of taiwan can be made known.
 

P R N D

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KP will win by narrow margin because of 弃保效应

No, Ke P won't win.

DPP won't 弃 丁 保 柯,as it will cause Yao to insane and green supporters will pity Yao and vote for him.

Many green see thru Ke P motive to be Presidential candidate in 2020. DPP do not want it to happen to challenge president Cai to get re-elected.

Many said Ke P got no 政绩 in his last 4 yrs. He used the money to repay debt instead in development of Taipei.

Now Ke P scare liao, shoot Han's online high viewership is highly suspicious.

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ponpokku

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Ke P won't win liao.
Ke P wife and mother shoot Yao mother. Yao cried and said how much he in debt due to this election.

Yao green & light green vote will be back.

Han and xiao ye will help Ding to bring back blue and light blue vote.

Ke P in danger. He can only depend on youngster voters 20-40 but then Taipei old flolks is greater than any cities which will not vote for Ke P due to removing of old people 年金。

Taipei is blue camp majority.

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totally wrong analyse. the war of the mothers effectively kicked ding to the cold benches again. the problem with ding ish he has zero vision. any surge in other news will immediately flood him over. the one similar thing he and yao wenzhi can do, ish follow KP like mozzies and hopefully get some exposure time. this ish why both ding and yao ish copying what KP doing. working with youtubers, recruiting young female assistants, and yao even chut the mommy card in response to KP mother. both only do copycat.

in the last 24yrs, all ding did during elections ish scold ppl, scold his opponents, thats why he was never elected. from 1994, he kaopeh then candidate 黃大洲, who later became taipei mayor. later on, ding cheong with myj, scold myj just like he scold KP, but still lost. the next round, 郝龍斌, ding again use personal attacks on 郝龍斌 during internal selections, with support from 連戰. but in the end 郝龍斌 won party support. then in 2014, 連戰‘s son 連勝文 want to challenge KP for mayor, ding again want to cheong (all ding wants ish become taipei mayor), he flipped table on 連戰 and again, chut all personal attacks on 連勝文 during internal selections. in the end, KMT still choose 連 instead of ding.

all ding did in the last 24yrs ish cheong taipei mayor and hurl personal attacks on his opponents, be it his own party or other parties. he ish still doing the same thing in 2018, and taipei ppl already seen enuff. they seen the same dingdong stunts for 24yrs, not from a foreigner's point of view, a foreigner like u who dunno their background.
 
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P R N D

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totally wrong analyse. the war of the mothers effectively kicked ding to the cold benches again. the problem with ding ish he has zero vision. any surge in other news will immediately flood him over. the one similar thing he and yao wenzhi can do, ish follow KP like mozzies and hopefully get some exposure time. this ish why both ding and yao ish copying what KP doing. working with youtubers, recruiting young female assistants, and yao even chut the mommy card in response to KP mother. both only do copycat.

in the last 24yrs, all ding did during elections ish scold ppl, scold his opponents, thats why he was never elected. from 1994, he kaopeh then candidate 黃大洲, who later became taipei mayor. later on, ding cheong with myj, scold myj just like he scold KP, but still lost. the next round, 郝龍斌, ding again use personal attacks on 郝龍斌 during internal selections, with support from 連戰. but in the end 郝龍斌 won party support. then in 2014, 連戰‘s son 連勝文 want to challenge KP for mayor, ding again want to cheong (all ding wants ish become taipei mayor), he flipped table on 連戰 and again, chut all personal attacks on 連勝文 during internal selections. in the end, KMT still choose 連 instead of ding.

all ding did in the last 24yrs ish cheong taipei mayor and hurl personal attacks on his opponents, be it his own party or other parties. he ish still doing the same thing in 2018, and taipei ppl already seen enuff. they seen the same dingdong stunts for 24yrs, not from a foreigner's point of view, a foreigner like u who dunno their background.
The die hard green will still shamelessly support Yao.
Taking away vote for Ke P.

Remember Ke P won in 2014 votes are shamelessly from support green light blue and white camp.

Now they broke out, Ke P is in dangerous position till he started to realise recently. As Han bring back KMT support in whole of Taiwan.

My shamelessly 2 cents view.

Sent from Mercedes-Benz E250 using GAGT
 
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ponpokku

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Taiwanese old ppl is just like sinkie old ppl, Taiwan give u 1500NTD a year to buy votes, Sinkie give u pioneer package and Merdeka package to buy votes.

boh bian, they ish in the system too long, became the devil yet dont realise.

support for KP among the 60yo and above ish only 20% niah, compared to 60~70% among the 20-49yo.
 

ponpokku

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The die hard green will still shamelessly support Ding.
Taking away vote for Ke P.

Remember Ke P won in 2014 votes are shamelessly from support green light blue and white camp.

Now they broke out, Ke P is in dangerous position till he started to realise recently. As Han bring back KMT support in whole of Taiwan.

My shamelessly 2 cents view.

Sent from Mercedes-Benz E250 using GAGT



mai ah ni, pai gong hor. :s22::s22:
 
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