Stocks sells off in volatile afternoon trade as Fed points to 3 rate hikes in 2017
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‘May take some time for investors to digest,’ says analyst
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U.S. stocks fell in volatile trade on Wednesday, with major indexes falling to their lows of the session after the Federal Reserve signaled a faster pace of interest rate hikes than had been previously forecast.
The Fed also raised its key short-term rate, as had been universally expected. The rate moved to a range of 0.5%-0.75% from 0.25% to 0.5%. The Fed decision marks the central bank’s first increase in rates since December 2015, which itself was the first in about a decade.
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The U.S. central bank forecast three rate increases in 2017, compared with the two that had been anticipated at its previous meeting in September. While the revised outlook could be taken as a sign—the Fed has said it would only raise rates when it deems the economy strong enough to withstand such a move—it added an element of uncertainty to the market.
”Three rate increases next year is something of a surprise, and it may take some time for investors to digest that,” said Mike Loewengart, vice president of Investment Strategy at E*TRADE.
“It is indicative of a stronger economy, but with increased borrowing costs it won’t be as easy for companies that are reliant on debt. This is the next step in our transitioning back to an environment where fundamentals matter more than policy, and some investors may be pausing because of that.”
All three major indexes briefly traded higher after the announcement, but they turned lower as Yellen began a news conference.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.55% fell 147 points to 19,764, a move of 0.7%, while the S&P 500 index SPX, -0.77% dipped 21 points, or 0.9%, to trade at 2,250. The Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -0.44% lost 32 points, or 0.6%, to 5,432.
All 11 of the S&P 500’s primary sectors were lower in afternoon trading, but so-called defensive names were among the weakest of the day. The utilities, real estate, and consumer-staples sectors all fell more than 1%. Those industries have been favored in the current environment, as low rates make their dividend yields more attractive. Energy stocks were also lower, tracking a decline in the price of crude oil.
Financial stocks slumped, down 0.8%, erasing an initial move higher. Banks tend to be sensitive to rate hikes due to the impact it has on their business models.
The gyrations for stocks come as the Dow has been inching closer to the key psychological level of 20,000. The blue-chip index, along with other benchmarks, also have been on a tear since the election, with investors expecting President-elect Donald Trump’s policy proposals—including massive corporate tax cuts and environmental and financial deregulation—to accelerate growth and stoke inflation. Major indexes have hit a series of records, but were headed firmly lower Wednesday.