http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/rising-political-risks/2614314.html
AGAINST THE SING DOLLAR
Given the raft of domestic risks, analysts that Channel NewsAsia spoke to largely expect the ringgit to weaken against the Singapore dollar moving forward.
Expectations for the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to keep monetary policy steady at its policy review in April will also keep the Sing dollar fairly steady, according to ANZ’s FX strategist Irene Cheung.
“We are looking at no change given how previous appreciation policies have been modest. February’s downgrade in inflation forecast is also nothing expected hence our base scenario is for MAS to not do anything,” said Ms Cheung, who expects the Sing dollar to fetch 3.02 ringgit by the end of 2016.
NAB recommends investors to go into a long SGD/MYR position, given lingering political risks in Malaysia and how Singapore’s central bank will likely stand pat on monetary policy next month. “Fundamentally, the Singapore economy remains on a fairly strong footing. The unemployment rate remains very low at 1.9 per cent and fiscal policy remains very slightly expansionary.”
expects the Sing dollar to fetch 3.02 ringgit by the end of 2016