The bears den

[revhappy]

 

[MrHighlander]

This presumed that one can time the market. Just nibble in bits when market falls ..

The most difficult thing to do is sit on cash and not deploy it while watching the markets fall.

I wish someone can lock me away and my cash for 6 months. I am sure by then we will be in a full blown crisis and markets will be deep red. But waiting is the difficult thing to do.

 

[Merg91]

Buy then scared.
Don't buy no scare.

 

[Trader11]

Currency war is upon us. The USD/RMB rate has surged above 7 and this may well spark a round of competitive devaluation among exporting nations. In a sense, the Chinese are now open to using exchange rate as means to counter the effect of tariffs. The US would not sit idly by and one can be sure that Trump would pick this up and jaw bone the Fed to cut rates even further. This quiet currency war may well pop out into the open. I still think that the USD would end up being stronger unless the Fed cuts rates more aggressively. And as reluctant the Fed is, it may well be led by the Markets and by political forces to cut.
Bears should not be too happy so soon... while the sentiment has turned south, a rate cut would support the S&P and we may yet see another u - turn down the road.

For me, Euro and Yen are good bets....

 

[Trader11]

He is standing by his container (full of cash) to buy now ...

When Bear turns bullish, that's where the real bear begins

 

[LocalGod]

somehow i can feel the fear is here and there will be a reversal anytime and it will probably hit new high this week. anyone shares the same thought as me?

 

[Trader11]

somehow i can feel the fear is here and there will be a reversal anytime and it will probably hit new high this week. anyone shares the same thought as me?

This is like a unrealistic hope. Market Wil crash this week in anticipation of Trump tariff

 

[Dividends Warrior]

AREIT, FCT & MCT are my 3 veteran defenders

 

[stu4rt86]

what r ur take on this dw? will market crash as predicted?

AREIT, FCT & MCT are my 3 veteran defenders

 

[Dividends Warrior]

what r ur take on this dw? will market crash as predicted?

You mean 'crash' like GFC 2008/2009? Unlikely IMO.

Deep correction like 2013 or 2016, possibly.

Small & knee-jerk correction like May-Jun 2019, most probably.

 

[d9_lives]

Fear mongering.... again...

 

[Trader11]

Guys, any views on AUD/SGD ? Its currently in the 0.93-0.94 range and am getting tempted to buy some but not sure where to deploy the AUD. I dont want to buy any Australian property, so it has to be in some other asset.

I wouldn't touch AUD right now. Potentially going down even more if it breaks 93

 

[stu4rt86]

yup alot of fear mongering here...

You mean 'crash' like GFC 2008/2009? Unlikely IMO.

Deep correction like 2013 or 2016, possibly.

Small & knee-jerk correction like May-Jun 2019, most probably.

 

[Lasogette]

AREIT, FCT & MCT are my 3 veteran defenders

All "branded" and very expensive now.

 

[littleredboy]

I still believe this is a bull market. There are no significant catalysts to trigger a meltdown or crisis. All these uncertainties, fears, tweets etc sending panic selling/buying are self-fulfilling prophecies. The moment Trump send a tweet about trade war, the market goes crazy and are, well, momentary panic reactions. You still see stocks breaking out, surprise earnings, plants developing etc.

But of course, I love all these fears and uncertainties, the more the better, the more opportunities there are.

 

[yang_nastyman]

At this point, I'm putting on my tinfoil hat and think that trump is manipulating markets for some big players.

How many dips and new highs have we had in the past 12 months? And it's the same story each time. "impose tariffs" "tariffs on hold" "rate cuts"

The white house twitter is making this a dangerous game to play

 

[littleredboy]

Smlj is this fcs.

 

[Dividends Warrior]

Smlj is this fcs.

U must be new to this forum

 

[revhappy]

I still believe this is a bull market. There are no significant catalysts to trigger a meltdown or crisis. All these uncertainties, fears, tweets etc sending panic selling/buying are self-fulfilling prophecies. The moment Trump send a tweet about trade war, the market goes crazy and are, well, momentary panic reactions. You still see stocks breaking out, surprise earnings, plants developing etc.

But of course, I love all these fears and uncertainties, the more the better, the more opportunities there are.

You are not following what is happening in Europe and Asia. PMIs are in contraction, exports are down, auto sales are down. There is doom and gloom all around. The markets don't reflect that because of confidence in central banks. Raghuram Rajan just said, central bankers are mere human beings and we should not think they have extra ordinary powers to prevent a catastrophe.

 

[Lex1989]

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