Would you place your annuity plan (lump sum paid) under bond component (using guaranteed interest) or leave it out entirely from your portfolio?
I wouldn't take out annuities in the first place (I reckon you can do better with bond ETFs), but if you've already got one, then yes, treat it like a bond.
how do we buy puts to short the local market?
I mean, first thing, are you sure you know what you're doing? Why do you want to short the Singapore market? And why do you want to do it via options?
That said, just eyeballing it real quick... for whatever weird reason, the landscape of Singapore index options is really not great!
You've got:
- The MSCI Singapore index options on the SGX, which do literally zero volume;
- Options on EWS, which has very little open interest except in the November series;
- There's actually a couple of STI index put warrants listed on the SGX, but the vol is horrifically expensive—you're going to be paying 22 or 24 vol for something that really only trades about 15 vol.
What are the updates between the second edition and third edition of Rich By Retirement? Worth to buy another copy?
I've updated a lot of the charts and data; updated the sections on bonds to talk about MBH... and, annoyingly, put a lot of work into talking about MBKE's Monthly Investment Program which they promptly cancelled. Can't win 'em all.
Is Singapore's swf temasek following the yale model more fervently than other prudent swf such as norway's?
I wouldn't say Temasek follows the Yale Model at all.
For anyone who's wondering what I'm talking about: the "Yale Model" was, for most of the 2000s and into the mid-2010s, the state-of-the-art in large endowment investing. Basically:
1) Diversify broadly across asset classes;
2) Aggressively trade off liquidity for returns (basically: use external fund managers to invest in alternative assets and private equity).
Both of these are relatively sensible by themselves, at least for an endowment with an infinite investment horizon (and access to higher-quality external fund managers; it doesn't make sense for individual investors to chase private-market returns because you'll never see any of the good private-market deals in the first place).
Temasek takes a different model. They chase the illiquidity premium by directly investing in unlisted companies (about 40% of their portfolio is unlisted), rather than by hiring external fund managers or investing in private-equity funds; and their portfolio is heavily concentrated in Singaporean equity (because Temasek was originally set up to manage the government's stakes in local companies).
Yale's portfolio is 75% in "alternatives" (hedge funds, VC, LBO funds, private equity); Temasek's portfolio is I think nearly 100% in equity, either listed or unlisted.
If an endowment called me in to consult for them, with parameters like those, I'd probably invite them to look at a model closer to Yale's (though maybe not
quite so aggressive with their use of external managers).