*Official* Shiny Things club - Part 2

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flowerpalms

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No.

I doubt you can get any answers here because we are just not into forex trading.

Unrelated but, anyone has a good brokerage to recommend for forex trading? Looking to do more of swing trades. The one I’m using currently has been increasing their commissions but quite abit

In fact does IBKR have a good forex trading platform?
 
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bassdance

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In order to best use my SRS
I plan to do RSP on MBH with DBS..
However it seem that MBH is not available for RSP...Does anyone know how to buy it with SRS account in monthly basis ?

It has mention in product sheet can be done by sgx st

afaik, SRS cannot be used for DBS's RSP (i.e. Invest Saver).
 

YM

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Hi,

Apologies if this has been asked before. I bought the book by Shiny Things and I have some doubts about STI ES3. The price of STI ES3 has been hovering in the $3 range since 2008. Is there a good reason why it is worth buying it for the long term since it is kind of stuck or appreciating so slowly? Thank you.
 

flowerpalms

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I have to put it to you that it is DCA.

So you saying is kind of stuck or appreciating slowly does not apply.

Do not time the market but time in the market.

Hi,

Apologies if this has been asked before. I bought the book by Shiny Things and I have some doubts about STI ES3. The price of STI ES3 has been hovering in the $3 range since 2008. Is there a good reason why it is worth buying it for the long term since it is kind of stuck or appreciating so slowly? Thank you.
 

tesarise

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Hi,

Apologies if this has been asked before. I bought the book by Shiny Things and I have some doubts about STI ES3. The price of STI ES3 has been hovering in the $3 range since 2008. Is there a good reason why it is worth buying it for the long term since it is kind of stuck or appreciating so slowly? Thank you.

STI is dividend heavy. Price hover around the same area but dividend about 3% a year. Flip side is that reits have similar characteristics, that's why some ppl argue for holding reits instead of sti etf
 

tesarise

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I have to put it to you that it is DCA.

So you saying is kind of stuck or appreciating slowly does not apply.

Do not time the market but time in the market.

Why does it not apply?
Will dca into a stock that goes nowhere magically make it profitable?

For stable and dividend heavy securities like sti, it is actually better to lump sum everything at the start and eat the dividends.

DCA is only good if you don't have the capital upfront or you scared the price plunge after you buy.
 

flowerpalms

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Just follow Shiny and do DCA

Why does it not apply?
Will dca into a stock that goes nowhere magically make it profitable?

For stable and dividend heavy securities like sti, it is actually better to lump sum everything at the start and eat the dividends.

DCA is only good if you don't have the capital upfront or you scared the price plunge after you buy.
 

Zombiewar

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bro you need to understand why Shiny recommends things to be done in a certain way rather than following on blind faith.
I agree. everyone's situation is different.
best to understand the rationale of any teachings and apply its principles accordingly.

I quote the below from drwealth.com/sti-etf/

This study done by Vanguard tells us that Lump Sum Investment (LSI) is better two-thirds of the time while DCA performed better merely one-third of the time. Sparing you from reading the whole paper, the gist of it is to tell you that.

Lump Sum Investment is better in a rising market
Dollar Cost Averaging is better in a down trending market
Because historically the market rises most of the time and collapses infrequently, LSI fared better than DCA
The findings can be understood intuitively – think of these scenarios:

In a rising market where share prices are increasing,

A lump sum investment will put all the capital at work immediately and reap the potential gains
DCA would result in buying lesser shares at higher prices as market trends up
In a downtrending market where share prices are decreasing,

A lump sum investment will attract the biggest loss while
DCA would continue to buy more shares at lower prices as the market declines
Hence, it boils down to whether you are bullish or bearish about the market.

But I will advise you not to rely on your intuition because most investors cannot accurately predict the market direction. As such, knowing this may not be helpful to investors at all.
 

Shiny Things

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Why does it not apply?
Will dca into a stock that goes nowhere magically make it profitable?

Actually... yeah, kind of! You’ll be reinvesting the dividends; and you’ll be buying more stock when the price is low; so even a rangebound stock would end up with an average price toward the lower end of the range.

For stable and dividend heavy securities like sti, it is actually better to lump sum everything at the start and eat the dividends.

We’ve spoken a few times here about the false dichotomy between DCA and lump-sum investing. The thing is that most people don’t have a lump-sum to invest - most people have a continuous stream of cash, coming from their paychecks. So most people will be naturally dollar-cost averaging.

Hi,

Apologies if this has been asked before. I bought the book by Shiny Things and I have some doubts about STI ES3. The price of STI ES3 has been hovering in the $3 range since 2008. Is there a good reason why it is worth buying it for the long term since it is kind of stuck or appreciating so slowly? Thank you.

Yes, there are two good reasons.

From a fundamental point of view, entirely independent of its price or its returns: you want to have some exposure to Singaporean equities. You live in Singapore; you’re presumably going to retire in Singapore. And that means you’ll need Singapore dollars to spend (which means Singapore-dollar bonds) and you’ll want protection against increases in the cost of living in Singapore (which means Singaporean equities).

From a more trading point of view: the Singaporean stock market’s price might not have gone anywhere, but it’s an absolute firehose of dividends: ES3 pays close to 4% dividends per annum, and you’re going to be diligently reinvesting those, which gives you a great head start.

Unrelated but, anyone has a good brokerage to recommend for forex trading? Looking to do more of swing trades. The one I’m using currently has been increasing their commissions but quite abit

In fact does IBKR have a good forex trading platform?

1) Don’t trade FX.
2) If you must trade FX, use IBKR and trade the CME FX futures.

Hi ST and fellow seniors,

Been lurking in HWZ for ages, finally registered for an account to express my thanks for the all the info; tip and tricks I received here.

Having just being automatically enrolled into Elder Shield; have sufficient term & medical insurance (I hope) for myself and 2 dependents. I think it's time to start my journey and hopefully be "Rich by Retirement"

After reading couple hundred pages of this thread and lately; ST's book.
These are what I've done:
1) Open DBS Vickers account (promised myself when much younger to never give SCB any business if I'm able to climb out of the hole I dug myself then) and IBKR.
2) Bought $5000 ES3 via Vickers - 1st trade*
3) Bought $5000 MBH Vickers - 2nd trade*
4) Bought $5000SGD worth of IDWA via IBKR
5) transferred 40K from CPFOA to SA to capitalise on the 4+1% interest [balance of 100+K of HDB loan @2.5+0.1% can slowly pay via monthly OA contribution; still short of ~18K after this 40K topup into SA to hit 2019's FRS. Cant do any voluntary contribution (VC) because my mandatory contribution (MC) have hit CPF Annual Limit of 37,740]

What I have currently:
50K in GE's Great270 maturing in yr2023
25K in Nov '18 SSB giving ~2.48% over 10yrs
202K COH

What I intend to do given that 110-age=70% in stocks, balance in bond:
a) buy another 45K ES3 via Vickers 3rd trade*
b) buy another 37K MBH via Vickers 4th trade*
c) buy another 45K SGD worth of IWDA via IBKR
d) to invest ~2K monthly to DCA the 3 position
this would leave me with an emergency fund of 75K that will sit in DBS multiplier account(50K) to earn ~2.2%pa and Citi's Maxigain (25K) to earn ~1.24% - 1.54% 6mths later
the 25K in Citi is basically to sit there and wait for better investment opportunity.

Honestly I think you’re in pretty good shape with your strategy. I think you might be a little too bond-heavy, yes; but you can solve that by just funneling a little more money into ES3 and IWDA. Keep it up!

Is it better to use Saxo Capital over SCB as the fees seems to be about the same but Saxo seems to have a much better brokerage site for research and analysing. Looking mostly to invest in IWDA and picking up a few stocks international and local stocks on my own.

No. Saxo is a bad broker - they charge hefty custody and dividend fees. Don’t use them.

Also is what is the difference from buying NIKKO AM STI ETF/ BOND ETF from the POSB regular savings plan unit trust/etf section as compared to buying it from a brokerage where there are commissions to be paid. Is it correct to say there are no commissions paid when using the POSB account to invest in the ETFS except for the managements fees?
Ah, no, that’s not correct. POSB IS has no minimum on its commissions; so you only ever pay 1% or 0.5% or whatever, even if you’re only buying $100 worth.

Hi ST,

My apology if this has been discussed before.

SPDR recently launched a SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (ticker: SWRD). The dividend is also accumulating and its Expense Ratio is 0.12%. This is also listed in LSE. What's your take on this? Would this be another alternatuve to IWDA?

Eh, we looked at it, but the spreads on SWRD are quite wide. I haven’t found a reason to switch my recommendation from IWDA yet.

Shiny things, can I put 1k a month into IWDA via SCB and transfer to IB when the IWDA reaches 100k?

Yes. That’s exactly what you should do.

Shiny, you suggested to invest our SRS into ES3. Can SRS be invested in stuff outside of SG? USD denominated stuff on SGX like J0P?
I don’t know, TBH, and I think it depends on the broker. I wouldn’t bother, though.

Because, to be clear, you shouldn’t just blindly buy ES3 in your SRS. The problem is that SRS accounts are kind of limited as to what they can buy. So, to be clear: Only if you were going to buy ES3 anyway, and only if you have money in your SRS to buy things, then buy ES3 with that spare money.

P.S. The Citibank Maxigain gravy train is over - for those who trumpeted high interest rate accounts vs those who insisted on SSB/A35/MBH. What next for funds in these accounts?
Aw man, Citibank Maxigain was the best of a bad bunch for those high-interest savings accounts. Is there anything good out there now?

I take what I can get, and I don't see much competition at this point for SRS qualified, global equities exposure.
Happy to be corrected.

So I posted this over in your other thread, but as BBCW pointed out, the thing that’s tripping you up is “SRS qualified”. There are plenty of good options for global equity exposure that are not SRS-eligible; there are plenty of good options for local equity exposure that are SRS-eligible; but there aren’t (as far as I can see) any good options for global equity exposure that are SRS-eligible.

The solution is that if you have an SRS account, use it for your local equity exposure. Keep your global equity exposure in your regular taxable account.

On a related note: hey, BBCW, question for you. Nobody seems to have done the math on tax-efficient asset placement for Singaporean investors, so I’m curious which is better: is it more tax-efficient to use an SRS account for bonds, or for equities?

Again, because TER is 0.36, I don't think the charges for these other funds will be channeled to the buyer?

It turns out I was wrong on this. I assumed (because fund companies are, generally, scum) that this was a wrap fee on top of the fees from the underlying funds; as BBCW pointed out, though, it looks like it’s a weighted average of the fees on the underlying funds (and whatever Lion might charge on top).

I still think this is a poor investment, because the underlying fund choices are still very poor and high-cost. That money could be going into your pocket, instead of going into a sub-fund that charges 1.5% (and instead of paying huge trailing fees - 40% to 100% of the management fee - to a financial advisor)
 

Okenba

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Yes, there are two good reasons.

From a fundamental point of view, entirely independent of its price or its returns: you want to have some exposure to Singaporean equities. You live in Singapore; you’re presumably going to retire in Singapore. And that means you’ll need Singapore dollars to spend (which means Singapore-dollar bonds) and you’ll want protection against increases in the cost of living in Singapore (which means Singaporean equities).

From a more trading point of view: the Singaporean stock market’s price might not have gone anywhere, but it’s an absolute firehose of dividends: ES3 pays close to 4% dividends per annum, and you’re going to be diligently reinvesting those, which gives you a great head start.

Seems to me that Singapore's stock market is heavily reliant on dividends.

In which case, would you consider REIT ETFs or Income ETFs instead or on top of the usual STI ETF?
 

Shiny Things

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Seems to me that Singapore's stock market is heavily reliant on dividends.

In which case, would you consider REIT ETFs or Income ETFs instead or on top of the usual STI ETF?

Nah, I wouldn’t. I’m saying that a big chunk of the return from the Singapore stock market has come from dividends in the past - I’m not passing any judgment on whether dividends are good or bad.

I will say that I’ve had a surprisingly large number of consulting clients come to me with portfolios stuffed full of dividend and high-yield investments when they’re nowhere near retirement. This is a bad thing: you don’t need to focus on income before you retire (and maybe not even then), because you don’t need to fixate on cashflow while you’re still working: that’s what your salary is for!
 

BBCWatcher

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On a related note: hey, BBCW, question for you. Nobody seems to have done the math on tax-efficient asset placement for Singaporean investors, so I’m curious which is better: is it more tax-efficient to use an SRS account for bonds, or for equities?
For most people it's not going to matter since they'll be able to pull as much as S$400,000 out of a Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) account completely Singapore tax free -- or even more with Manulife's fully SRS qualified single premium life annuity. But for those who have a lot of rental income and/or fat SRS account balances, there's a slight bit of merit keeping the lower yielding stuff within the SRS. Which is not to say you should change your target portfolio allocations.

It turns out I was wrong on this. I assumed (because fund companies are, generally, scum) that this was a wrap fee on top of the fees from the underlying funds; as BBCW pointed out, though, it looks like it’s a weighted average of the fees on the underlying funds (and whatever Lion might charge on top).

I still think this is a poor investment, because the underlying fund choices are still very poor and high-cost. That money could be going into your pocket, instead of going into a sub-fund that charges 1.5% (and instead of paying huge trailing fees - 40% to 100% of the management fee - to a financial advisor)
No, that's not actually how it works. The TER is the TER, capped at 0.50% (and currently a fair bit lower). According to the prospectus it appears that LionGlobal discounts the TERs on its sub-funds versus what investors in those individual funds are paying. This is pretty common; they're basically "institutional class" shares (with lower expenses) within their composite fund.

I'm somewhere in between. I think it's a "mediocre" fund. For those who already have enough "Singapore" overweighting (ES3/G3B, MBH), or for those who shouldn't overweight "Singapore" (non-citizens/non-PRs), and as a way to invest SRS dollars, that LionGlobal "All Seasons" fund is probably the best you can do....

....Although that begs the question whether the Supplementary Retirement Scheme is worth doing. If part of the deal is that you can only select among mediocre or worse investments, then you need to take that factor into account to decide whether the potential tax savings are valuable and reliably obtainable enough.
 
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Nah, I wouldn’t. I’m saying that a big chunk of the return from the Singapore stock market has come from dividends in the past - I’m not passing any judgment on whether dividends are good or bad.

I will say that I’ve had a surprisingly large number of consulting clients come to me with portfolios stuffed full of dividend and high-yield investments when they’re nowhere near retirement. This is a bad thing: you don’t need to focus on income before you retire (and maybe not even then), because you don’t need to fixate on cashflow while you’re still working: that’s what your salary is for!
whatever funds we use from our CPF OA account, we owe the gov a 2.5% annual interest and it's compounded.

I assume the CPF OA is growing on a 2.5% year on year, so if we borrow that sum of money out... we have to match it, when we return it.

BUT the money is still ours to use as home-purchase monies or eventual annuity.

I have seen many to-be-wrecked / wrecked singaporeans who never handled a "large sum" of monies before and so it's good that SG gov enforced the above. That way, it doesn't become a gov / society's problem to manage when they overspent and bang on the wall to demand to be taken care of.
 

tesarise

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Actually... yeah, kind of! You’ll be reinvesting the dividends; and you’ll be buying more stock when the price is low; so even a rangebound stock would end up with an average price toward the lower end of the range.



We’ve spoken a few times here about the false dichotomy between DCA and lump-sum investing. The thing is that most people don’t have a lump-sum to invest - most people have a continuous stream of cash, coming from their paychecks. So most people will be naturally dollar-cost averaging.

hey man i totally agree with your point. i might need to phrase it better, but this is what i meant when i say "unless you dont have the capital upfront".

But yet, that is due to circumstances, not because DCA is a magical solution like what flowerpalms makes it out to be.

My worry is that by recommending DCA without explaining the reason, a lot of people will take the advice on face value and DCA their cash on hand, when it is statistically better to lump sum cash on hand and DCA future income.
 

decibel.

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Is it recommended to using SRS for AXA Retire Happy Plus plan? The guarantee is at about 2.6% and it covers 3.5% inflation. Or we're still better off sticking with G3B from POSB invest in local ETF? I see the aggressive portfolio from POSB SRS got returns from 4% onwards is that better?

Sent from HUAWEI VOG-L29 using GAGT
 

swordsly

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hey man i totally agree with your point. i might need to phrase it better, but this is what i meant when i say "unless you dont have the capital upfront".

But yet, that is due to circumstances, not because DCA is a magical solution like what flowerpalms makes it out to be.

My worry is that by recommending DCA without explaining the reason, a lot of people will take the advice on face value and DCA their cash on hand, when it is statistically better to lump sum cash on hand and DCA future income.

Statistically, yes.
There is, however, the psychological aspect of it as well.

Just a few pages back, there are new folks who are worried that the current price is too high (and also due to the uncertainty of the current events). So if they lump-sum in and regret later, it'll be more difficult to handle.

TBF, what I've seen ST usually responds with (for such matters) is that one can split the initial lumpsum into smaller portions (eg X piles) and buy across X months.

Not lumpsuming is what flowerpalms recommends based on his own thinking (surprisingly).
 

kehyi4

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whatever funds we use from our CPF OA account, we owe the gov a 2.5% annual interest and it's compounded.

I assume the CPF OA is growing on a 2.5% year on year, so if we borrow that sum of money out... we have to match it, when we return it.
erm no, CPF Investment Scheme does not attract accrued interest. Only CPF withdrawn for housing does. Pls don't mix up the two schemes
 

lingalong

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1) Don’t trade FX.
2) If you must trade FX, use IBKR and trade the CME FX futures.

May I know your rationale why CME FX futures instead of FX spot? Is it because of the platform offering or just the volatility of FX spot?
 

haruto

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Just follow Shiny and do DCA

I hate to use this word but this is really 1 of the most stupid replies I've seen. Sadly, the substance of the reply is symptomatic of sg education system where ppl just want to memorize and follow rather than understand.

"U hear but u don't listen
U see but u don't read"

If u don't understand and can't explain, defer to others. U don't have to have the last word. Otherwise it just shows how much substance u have, or rather the lack of it

Finance and investment is all abt numbers and everyone shld understand the math behind it and not follow advice blindly
 
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