Forex/Cryptocurrency General Chit Chat Thread

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Mr.Canberra

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PBOC

ah.... I see what u mean. yes, u right.:o
invisible hand at work. :s13:

Never go against central banks as surely will lose your pants.

Do you know PBOC learn from which central bank? I believe they study MAS monetary policies very carefully. Before CNY was included in IMF's SDR basket, PBOC implemented daily exchange rate set against a basket of currencies of trading partners.

The economists at MAS are really best of the best. This is the only zenghu statutory board that have my utmost respect.

Our less developed ASEAN neighbours and probably some other countries send their civil servants to Singapore and attend courses at MAS. MAS is Forex King sia!
 
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revhappy

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Never go against central banks as surely will lose your pants.

Do you know PBOC learn from which central bank? I believe they study MAS monetary policies very carefully. Before CNY was included in IMF's SDR basket, PBOC implemented daily exchange rate set against a basket of currencies of trading partners.

The economists at MAS are really best of the best. This is the only zenghu statutory board that have my utmost respect.

Our less developed ASEAN neighbours and probably some other countries send their civil servants to Singapore and attend courses at MAS. MAS is Forex King sia!
Well said. Indeed, the Singapore dollar is a very well managed currency. I guess Hong Kong will eventually give up the peg and follow SG model?

Sent from Xiaomi REDMI NOTE 4 using GAGT
 

Mr.Canberra

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Well said. Indeed, the Singapore dollar is a very well managed currency. I guess Hong Kong will eventually give up the peg and follow SG model?

SGD is very well managed but the yield sucks. I hold a basket of currencies to boost my purchasing power. Majority in CNY. I sell CNY to pay my Singapore expenses or other foreign currencies when I jiak hong. CNY has a higher yield. As you can see a strong CNY is beneficial to me.

Nowadays I become lazy and work less projects already. Just concentrate what I do best in Forex trading and currency management. Life is good haha because I live each day like the last day because we never know when we will leave this world. All the material possessions are useless when your time is up.

MAS's mandate is very consistent for many decades. That is to maintain a gradual appreciation of SGD. A strong currency attracts investments. Only during economic uncertainties the gradual appreciation will take a pause and change to a neutral stance.

Nobody knows what the HKMA will do in the future. I would rather hold CNY than HKD. My past belief pre-president Trump's term was holding HKD is as good as holding USD but not any more. Trump is too unpredictable so holding the following currencies will be very well hedged.

CNY (optional)
EUR
JPY
USD

You can sleep in peace every night with holding equal portions of EUR, JPY and USD.
 
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Mr.Canberra

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MAS' net profit declines to S$5.3 billion due to strong Singdollar

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/new...lines-to-s-5-3-billion-due-to-strong-10497996

About three-quarters of the MAS’ portfolio is denominated in the US dollar, euro, yen and British pound, with the greenback forming the bulk.

As I said previously hold EUR, JPY and USD will not go wrong. GBP I will not touch because my mandate is personal choice.

You can only hear MAS made less profits but no such thing as rugi money. Want to huat better learn from MAS. :s13:
 
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Mr. Wood

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:s13:
forgot today US holiday

but tml and Fri will be super interesting:s12:

Thu Jul 5 *
6:00pm GBP BOE Gov Carney Speaks
7:15pm EUR German Buba President Weidmann Speaks
8:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
8:30pm USD Unemployment Claims
10:00pm USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
11:00pm USD Crude Oil Inventories
 

Mr. Wood

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Mr. Wood

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U.S. 'opening fire' on world with tariff threats, says China

:s12::s12:
BEIJING (Reuters) - The United States is “opening fire” on the world with its threatened tariffs, China warned on Thursday, saying it will respond the instant U.S. measures go into effect as Beijing ramped up the rhetoric in a bitter trade dispute.

The Trump administration’s tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese imports are due to go into effect at 0401 GMT on Friday, which is just after midday in Beijing.

U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened to escalate the trade conflict with tariffs on as much as $450 billion worth of Chinese goods if China retaliates, with the row roiling financial markets including stocks, currencies and the global trade of commodities from soybeans to coal.

China has said it will not “fire the first shot”, but its customs agency made clear on Thursday that Chinese tariffs on U.S. goods would take effect immediately after U.S. duties on Chinese goods kick in.

Speaking at a weekly news conference, Commerce Ministry spokesman Gao Feng warned the proposed U.S. tariffs would hit international supply chains, including foreign companies in the world’s second-largest economy.

“If the U.S. implements tariffs, they will actually be adding tariffs on companies from all countries, including Chinese and U.S. companies,” Gao said.

“U.S. measures are essentially attacking global supply and value chains. To put it simply, the U.S. is opening fire on the entire world, including itself,” he said.

“China will not bow down in the face of threats and blackmail and will not falter from its determination to defend free trade and the multilateral system.”

Asked whether U.S. companies would be targeted with “qualitative measures” in China in a trade war, Gao said the government would protect the legal rights of all foreign companies in the country.

“We will continue to assess the potential impact of the U.S.-initiated trade war on companies and will help companies mitigate possible shocks.”

Gao said China’s foreign trade was expected to continue on a stable path in the second half of the year, though investors fear a full-blown Sino-U.S. trade war would deal a body blow to Chinese exports and its economy.

Foreign companies accounted for $20 billion, or 59 percent, of the $34 billion of exports from China that will be subject to new U.S. tariffs, with U.S. firms accounting for a significant part of that 59 percent, Gao said.

China’s plans to impose tariffs on hundreds of U.S. goods targets some top U.S. exports, including soybeans, sorghum and cotton, threatening U.S farmers in states that backed Trump, such as Texas and Iowa.

Chinese buying of soybeans has ground almost to a halt ahead of the duties, while Chinese farmers worry the penalties and tighter supplies will drive up costs, squeeze margins and ultimately inflate retail prices of pork, the country’s top-selling meat.

In the latest sign that the risk of penalties is hitting trade, a vessel carrying U.S. coal and heading for China was diverted on Wednesday to Singapore.

GLOBAL RISKS
The World Trade Organization warned on Wednesday that trade barriers being erected by major economies could jeopardize the global economic recovery, with their effects already starting to show.

Adding to the tensions, a Chinese court this week temporarily barred Micron Technology Inc from selling its main semiconductor products in the world’s biggest memory chip market, citing violation of patents held by Taiwan’s United Microelectronics Corp .

Beijing has made the semiconductor sector a key priority under its “Made in China 2025” strategy, which has shifted up a gear after a U.S. ban on sales to Chinese phone maker ZTE Corp underscored China’s lack of domestic chips.

Chinese stocks slipped on Thursday and the yuan gave back some of its recent gains against the dollar as a targeted cut of reserve requirements for banks took effect amid the heightened trade tensions.

China’s central bank moved to calm jittery markets on Tuesday after the yuan hit its lowest level in almost a year.

A trade war with the United States could hit China’s export machine. Second-quarter economic growth is expected to have slowed slightly, a Reuters poll showed, as Beijing seeks to mitigate the impact from a de-risking drive and the trade dispute with the United States.

CHINA MEDIA LAMBASTES U.S.
On Thursday, China’s state media continued to lambaste the United States.

The widely read Global Times tabloid said in an editorial that China must prepare for containment by the United States.

“With strong manufacturing capability and huge market potential, China’s development is difficult to suppress. But the country will encounter more barriers in future development, to which we should learn to adapt,” it said.

“While the Trump administration is anxious about gains and losses, Chinese people have unfaltering confidence in China’s future.”

Both Chinese and U.S. business sources in China said there appeared to be little hope that the tariffs could be averted.

“I’m afraid not, for now,” said Tu Xinquan, a trade expert at Beijing’s University of International Business and Economics, who has advised the Chinese government.

A U.S. industry source said: “There is a 99 percent chance that tariffs go into force on Friday.”

“Frankly, I don’t know what action China could take at the moment that would allow the U.S. to not impose tariffs,” the U.S. source said, adding that there was no evidence the two governments had any substantive engagement at the moment that could lead to the shelving of duties.

A senior Western diplomat told Reuters that there was no sign of any talks at the moment between the two countries, even via back channels.

The industry source said China had been unable to address the Trump administration’s concerns about Chinese trade policies in at least five key area, including forced technology transfers, Chinese industrial overcapacity, government subsidies, SOE reform, and Beijing’s restrictions in the cloud computing industry.
 

Mr.Canberra

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Grampa Xi jsm!

MAS jsm! Up ABSD again! :s13:

They also know the Fed funds target of 2% (neutral rate) has already arrived during June's rate hike and will hike more at least 4 more times into 2019. That's going to be 3%!

Government wants to prevent loan defaults as the implosion plays out globally. I think people are getting complacent and forgot what happened 10 years ago. The Fed's QE (Ponzi scam) experiment followed by ECB and BOJ has created the biggest asset inflation bubble ever. The unwinding of QE led by the Fed will have consequences.
 
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Mr.Canberra

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Ai zai from my analysis on some indicators, GST may not be raised as projected.

My forecast is at least 10 years. Both geopolitical and economical factors. Zenghu must gather support from super low income folks like me to receive their mandate.

Huat ahh GST Voucher S$300 cash lip lai in August. Jiak hong for the win! :s12:
 

Mr.Canberra

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FOMC MINUTES

Nothing new. In short gradual rate hikes are right on track. Fed is hasty in raising rates so they have buffer to cut rates if a recession happens.

Property, stocks and EM currencies negative. USD and currencies pegged to USD positive.

I have been doubted many times because most people believe in mainstream but not me. Want to make money you cannot follow mainstream. Go through my past postings and see my consistency. :s13:
 

murphys

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MAS jsm! Up ABSD again! :s13:

They also know the Fed funds target of 2% (neutral rate) has already arrived during June's rate hike and will hike more at least 4 more times into 2019. That's going to be 3%!

Government wants to prevent loan defaults as the implosion plays out globally. I think people are getting complacent and forgot what happened 10 years ago. The Fed's QE (Ponzi scam) experiment followed by ECB and BOJ has created the biggest asset inflation bubble ever. The unwinding of QE led by the Fed will have consequences.
History repeats itself... Monetary easing by Fed to deal with its domestic crisis in the early nineties resulted in a surge in liquidity driven investment in Asia. The subsequent withdrawal resulted in the Asian crisis. Today, we have the mother of QE with several Central banks involved. When the Ecb withdraws, we shall see another remake of 97. Now we have a trade war complicating the mix. It is going to be a mess.
 

havetheveryfun

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MAS jsm! Up ABSD again! :s13:

They also know the Fed funds target of 2% (neutral rate) has already arrived during June's rate hike and will hike more at least 4 more times into 2019. That's going to be 3%!

Government wants to prevent loan defaults as the implosion plays out globally. I think people are getting complacent and forgot what happened 10 years ago. The Fed's QE (Ponzi scam) experiment followed by ECB and BOJ has created the biggest asset inflation bubble ever. The unwinding of QE led by the Fed will have consequences.

but want to see people overcommit to properties and suffer leh, serves them right for doing so
 

havetheveryfun

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History repeats itself... Monetary easing by Fed to deal with its domestic crisis in the early nineties resulted in a surge in liquidity driven investment in Asia. The subsequent withdrawal resulted in the Asian crisis. Today, we have the mother of QE with several Central banks involved. When the Ecb withdraws, we shall see another remake of 97. Now we have a trade war complicating the mix. It is going to be a mess.

The trade war is actually here to help imo. Imagine if Dow Jones continued its climb all the way to 30k + and then all of a sudden drop to <20k.. many people will be bleeding and crying. compared to now where the trade war has helped to stoped the DJ from climbing in its track for quite a while, and a drop from 24k to <20k is much more easier to stomach
 

ExtremeWays

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History repeats itself... Monetary easing by Fed to deal with its domestic crisis in the early nineties resulted in a surge in liquidity driven investment in Asia. The subsequent withdrawal resulted in the Asian crisis. Today, we have the mother of QE with several Central banks involved. When the Ecb withdraws, we shall see another remake of 97. Now we have a trade war complicating the mix. It is going to be a mess.

Hope can buy cheap equities soon
 

Mr.Canberra

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History repeats itself... Monetary easing by Fed to deal with its domestic crisis in the early nineties resulted in a surge in liquidity driven investment in Asia. The subsequent withdrawal resulted in the Asian crisis. Today, we have the mother of QE with several Central banks involved. When the Ecb withdraws, we shall see another remake of 97. Now we have a trade war complicating the mix. It is going to be a mess.

History likely to repeat but in another form but consequences will be more disastrous when the next crisis happens. More QE nonsense again or IMF cone in to the rescue and create new world order. The global elite plan is to eliminate physical cash and go digital. Easier to deal with contagion and implement negative interest rates. If it happens the best way to park your cash by opening contracts of EUR/USD, USD/JPY and EUR/JPY.

but want to see people overcommit to properties and suffer leh, serves them right for doing so

Want to leverage big in real estate then be prepared to lose big also.
 
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