Mecisteus
Great Supremacy Member
- Joined
- Jun 16, 2002
- Messages
- 53,200
- Reaction score
- 10,876
are u vested?
the longer a stock is in a trend (be it up or down), the stronger it becomes, and the harder it is to "change direction"
just look at apple, starhub, Shanghai exchange for example
this is not true lah. even if its a clear uptrend, if you happen to buy at the peak, you are screwed. and if its a clear downtrend, if you happen to short at the bottom, you are screwed.
Biosensors is a very good example. The 3 years chart from 2009 to early 2012 was a very clear uptrend. But those people who bought at $1.50 to $1.60 are still screwed. And i hear chartists "forced" to be a long term holder and average down all the way.
Looking at just trends can be very dangerous. If you are late in the game, you can be screwed. The stock valuations are important.
Actually the stronger the trend becomes, the stronger the opposite reaction will be. ie a strong uptrend is more likely to cause a sharp fall and a strong downtrend is more likely to generate a sharp rebound.
