*Official* MasterLeong Thread

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akwl88

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Hu Li Yang's theory:
1) If an index's price drops by 50% from its peak, it has entered an "fair value" price point
2) If an index's price drops to around 25% from its peak, it has entered a "extremely undervalue" price point
3) When recovering from the bottom, the index will always face selling pressure at 2x the bottom price
4) During a bear market rebound, you can forget about fundamentals and enjoy the collective rising stock prices.

https://investmentstab.blogspot.sg/2016/12/hu-li-yangs-half-by-half-theory.html
 
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zzz, feeling very itchy... but Target entry is 1.85

Sent from 穷小子 using GAGT
 
mazatsushi

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Sinkie said:
Oh you started 11 months ago? So you recovered quite a lot la until in the green?
Click to expand...

In terms of time frame, should be around 17~18 months since the portfolio was started near the peak of China's stock bubble.

Technically speaking, other than just prices recovering, it is perhaps also a combination of consistent DCA, rebalancing and a strong Yen during market turmoil.

onlybuyneversell said:
The 50% from peak as a 'fair value' seem correct. I think with the exception of nikkei 225. During the japanese asset price bubble, it peaked at ~40K. if you buy at 20 k, I think still gg. But any drop more than 50% is a buy.
Click to expand...

The Japanese asset bubble is history's most expensive lesson on the importance of consistent DCA :s22:
 
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Maeda_Toshiie

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mazatsushi said:
In terms of time frame, should be around 17~18 months since the portfolio was started near the peak of China's stock bubble.

Technically speaking, other than just prices recovering, it is perhaps also a combination of consistent DCA, rebalancing and a strong Yen during market turmoil.



The Japanese asset bubble is history's most expensive lesson on the importance of consistent DCA :s22:
Click to expand...

The 80s bubble was madness.
 
Sinkie

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mazatsushi said:
In terms of time frame, should be around 17~18 months since the portfolio was started near the peak of China's stock bubble.

Technically speaking, other than just prices recovering, it is perhaps also a combination of consistent DCA, rebalancing and a strong Yen during market turmoil.

The Japanese asset bubble is history's most expensive lesson on the importance of consistent DCA :s22:
Click to expand...

Icic, anyway how old are you now? How long more before u get your pr?
 
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Timmus

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STI index keeps dropping... All Sellers, no buyers

Dow up, Nasdaq up, Oil recovers slightly, BUT STI continues its decline :(
 
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