Buying time for what ?
What is certain is that PG is buying time. PG does not have liquid assets is the other certain thing. Now if you mean to make the deal with philippines, get the money and run away i really doubt that. I see no signs of cashing out and going away. But we can always assign a small probability to this. As of now is a company trying to survive, deferring payments-many times with stupid excuses as many said...
You need to study game theory. Lets assume this is the end of the game. UK land banking is declared a probable scam by the
UK Gov and the
MAS. Profitable Boron it seems
never existed. Now everyone is hanging on for a deal in the Philippines which nobody knows anything about. Assume none of those things are viable to new customers given all the bad press so the company cannot sell anything significant anymore.
At the end of the Game player one (Profitable Group) has taken S$100M + from UK Land Banking and who knows how much from Boron and the AAA stuff.
Player 2 the customers has a set of paperwork with numbers on it and some plots of useless Greenbelt Land.
Profitable Group have 4 choices
1: Pay everyone back (which i'm sure they cant because they will have had selling expenses and all those ESPN adverts to pay for)
2: Pay a few people back and hope the rest write it off
3: Do nothing at all and dont pay anyone back
4: Migrate to another location and dont pay anyone back anything
Most foreigners leave Singapore when they cant earn money here. They retire to places like the Philippines or Thailand or they go home.
If the Profitable Group directors really like living in Singapore they might chose option 2 or 3. With option 2 the risk is that once word gets around that they are paying the "troublemakers" they will find themselves with a lot more demanding trouble makers. With option 3 the risk is that someone will win a public court case (as Vocal Local got very close to doing) and that will open the floodgates for legal action.
With option 4 you lose your reputation (!) in Singapore and maybe have to abandon some assets. When UKLI failed after taking S$150M from investors the
owner moved from the UK to Dubai. leaving behind pennies on the pound according to this
BBC radio 4 interview. UKLI also "diversified" investing the land banking profits in a wide range of associated companies leaving no money to be refunded when it folded. Profitable Products anyone ?
The directors of PG are foreigners. I dont know if they have assets in Singapore but even if they do would it exceed an apartment mortgage and a car loan ?
My view is they wil run. The Government should do what the
UK did. Force them to offer refunds to those that want them. If they wont play ball freeze all the assets and return pro-rata to investors. It will only be a few cents on the dollar but better than nothing.
See also this post from the
Victims of Profitable Group blog . He is a Canada investor and Profitable changed the name of the company and he cant collect anymore. Yet the new company is still
selling Concorde Village offering between 12% and 18% per year.
Game theory is about utility - Financially option 4 is best for PG
The customer has 4 choices
1: Write it off. PG will take your money and go scam other people.
2: Do nothing and hope those good guys will pay out. Same as 1:
3: Sue quietly and make a deal. PG will delay and delay and make an offer but may pay out eventually. Or if they get many such claims they may run.Other people will still get scammed.
4: Sue with the backing of the press - PG may pay or they may run but at least not as many others will get scammed.
Game theory is about utility - Financially option 3 is best for the customer