STI ETF

[JJJ010101]

Another "you don't know". It is a convenient excuse to give. When you invest I assume you wanna know something. Information is abundant and readily available in today's world. Synthesize those information and plan your moves accordingly.

Let me give you an example.

"You don't know how the market is going to react during this period of COVID-19 pandemic and oil price trade war".

If you belong to the above, well, good luck to you.

I don't think it's fair to say that.. The example you given is publicly available information.

The market is fairly informationally efficient, but it's not perfect. There are noises, speculators, insiders with superior information, irrational trades/behaviors, over/under reactions to news..

Just my opinion..

 

[culepico]

I don't think it's fair to say that.. The example you given is publicly available information.

The market is fairly informationally efficient, but it's not perfect. There are noises, speculators, insiders with superior information, irrational trades/behaviors, over/under reactions to news..

Just my opinion..

You are right. Of course there are other factors and the market might not move accordingly to current news. A very good example is the Feds pumping money and reducing interest rates but the markets continue to tank. However this is considered information as well and one should make sense of what is happening. I did say synthesize information and plan accordingly, and information is huge.

All these are better than "you don't know". One cannot be 100% sure in the market but you can have a good level of confidence.

 

[simon_84]

yup. Hope this virus situation will be done faster.
Need to go back to usual life.

Posted with fingers HardwareZone Forums app

Minister of foreign affairs already mentioned will take about a year to resolve this cornovirus issue.

Suggest to plan and have sufficient cf to average down throughout the year.

 

[George Soros]

Possible diff in liquidity, expense ratios and tracking drift.

Then buy es3 better or nikko??
Es3 also hav div?

 

[George Soros]

Shouldn’t you be shorting currencies?

LOL... Kana ban short selling

 

[SkyNinja]

Who camping at 2.30?

 

[Eraval]

Then buy es3 better or nikko??
Es3 also hav div?

Wah I got chance to guide George Soros, yes, ES3 have divis

 

[sanzhu]

Down Jones is limit down

1111 point down

 

[weng0202]

Bought a little @2.47 using CPF. Next stop 2.2?

 

[Pannawang]

Who camping at 2.30?

Me waiting for 2.2!

 

[JJJ010101]

You are right. Of course there are other factors and the market might not move accordingly to current news. A very good example is the Feds pumping money and reducing interest rates but the markets continue to tank. However this is considered information as well and one should make sense of what is happening. I did say synthesize information and plan accordingly, and information is huge.

All these are better than "you don't know". One cannot be 100% sure in the market but you can have a good level of confidence.

I kind of get what you mean.. Basically making fair assumptions are better than knowing nothing? Haha

 

[culepico]

I kind of get what you mean.. Basically making fair assumptions are better than knowing nothing? Haha

Yes that's what I meant. Making fair and clever assumptions (or predictions in the case of stock markets) is always better than "nobody knows" (or just being plain lazy to try to know).

In an exam, it is always better to make an educated guess than to just leave it blank.

If you want something, I am pretty sure that you will want to make an effort to make it work.

 

[George Soros]

Wah I got chance to guide George Soros, yes, ES3 have divis

LOL, hehe he....

 

[redglue23]

Scare? There will always be new cases. Rather it's good news we are addressing the issue head on by restricting entry

Anyway I still have 9 more months to deploy my reserve. Then my back up reserve. Then worse case my cpf OA. Plenty to go in for my early retirement in 6 years

I won't regret. I will buy 2x I bought at 2.48 if it hits 2.20. And if it hits 1.90, I'll buy 2x again. I only regret if I don't buy anything and it hits back to 3 in a years time.

Eh bro, mind sharing what is the % of your DCA vs non-DCA portfolio? I assume you allocate your CPF as part of your DCA portfolio?

For the non-DCA portfolio, it's 2.48x1, 2.20x2 and 1.90x4? Also, why STI and not IWDA or SPY?

 

[highsulphur]

Eh bro, mind sharing what is the % of your DCA vs non-DCA portfolio? I assume you allocate your CPF as part of your DCA portfolio?

For the non-DCA portfolio, it's 2.48x1, 2.20x2 and 1.90x4? Also, why STI and not IWDA or SPY?

I don't quite understand dca vs non dca part of the portfolio

I implemented a similar % plan for IWDA too. Down to 50% of peak price. If it goes lower than that then I need to beg steal borrow to buy liao!

 

[redglue23]

I don't quite understand dca vs non dca part of the portfolio

I implemented a similar % plan for IWDA too. Down to 50% of peak price. If it goes lower than that then I need to beg steal borrow to buy liao!

I was reading the Shiny thread and had the impression that you were on the DCA. Then saw this thread on the STI and concluded that there might be 2 part of your portfolio i.e.

• DCA - Discipline/Slow & Steady
• non-DCA - Speculative (there's a gambler in everyone afterall!)

So I was wondering what the % was? Is it maybe 70% DCA vs 30% Non-DCA

 

[commie_rick]

You are right. Of course there are other factors and the market might not move accordingly to current news. A very good example is the Feds pumping money and reducing interest rates but the markets continue to tank. However this is considered information as well and one should make sense of what is happening. I did say synthesize information and plan accordingly, and information is huge.

All these are better than "you don't know". One cannot be 100% sure in the market but you can have a good level of confidence.

How do you back your confidence? Just because you feel confident doesn’t mean the market will move in your favor. Since you are confident, why don’t you show us your trade history and earnings ? Else it’s all bs

I’m very confident that tomorrow a cure for corona virus will be ready and market will be bull . Do you believe ?

 

[XGZ1503]

Will some companies choose to delist if their share price drops too much?

Example if sembcorb marine drops to 20cents?

 

[culepico]

How do you back your confidence? Just because you feel confident doesn’t mean the market will move in your favor. Since you are confident, why don’t you show us your trade history and earnings ? Else it’s all bs

I’m very confident that tomorrow a cure for corona virus will be ready and market will be bull . Do you believe ?

LOL. I didn't say feel confident means market will move in my favour. I said it is not 100%. It might move against my prediction. But I am betting on an educated prediction. I back my confidence based on news, facts and data. And synthesize them in my brain.

And your second paragraph is just pure bullsh1t, not an educated prediction . No need to use this kind of examples to demean my argument.

I can give you an example of an educated prediction. The market is going down in the next few weeks or even months and is not gonna recover until the COVID-19 pandemic is contained.

This is an example of an educated prediction with confidence. Of course there is a chance that I will not be right. Only time will tell.

Touch your heart and ask yourself whether the market is more likely to go up or down in the near future? That is an educated prediction. Or are you still pretending to "not know"?

 

[commie_rick]

Another "you don't know". It is a convenient excuse to give. When you invest I assume you wanna know something. Information is abundant and readily available in today's world. Synthesize those information and plan your moves accordingly.

Let me give you an example.

"You don't know how the market is going to react during this period of COVID-19 pandemic and oil price trade war".

If you belong to the above, well, good luck to you.

What you know is based on expectations from history or textbook knowledge. Feds think they know that market will be bull after the quantitative easing and reduction in interest rates ,that’s economics 101, you flush cash into the economy, people will spend money.
and did the market react to their expectations? The circuit breaker has been triggered many times for the past few weeks . The market is wild .

Easy to say you know , he knows . But will your expectations become reality is a different thing .