I'm in no way saying be overweight STI .... but for now there is a strong case to be invested in SGD denominated assets especially with STI displaying relative strength over other indexes.
Since you're residing in SG and all your expenditures are in SGD, it would make sense to stay overweight in SGD denominated assets. Global trends are super unpredictable due to currency and political risks so you can't really use that as a comparison to investing in local stocks (remember FED QE?) Local stocks on the other hand are excellent hedge against inflation so in the case of massive inflation or SGD devaluation, you will see local stocks rallying too. You have the safety of our local market and good dividend for a stable passive income, so why gamble for more?Not sure what you are trying to say here, but if you are like me, a vast proportion of your wealth should already be denominated in SGD, my primary residence + CPF + bond component of my portfolio are all denominated in SGD, there is no way to not be overweight SGD denominated assets unless I migrate to other countries.
No idea whats going to happen short term but long term I sure as heck wont want to further overweight SGD assets by investing in 3 local banks.
Btw I'm seeing a lot of short term trading on this thread, including yours. I've always thought that the whole point of passive index investing is to not time the market, these indices dun typically move much in a year, is there really a point in timing these 5-10% moves? Stocks on average (global average, not referring to STI specifically) grow earnings 8% a year, so the global average tends to double every 10 years, does a 5% move really make any difference?
Since you're residing in SG and all your expenditures are in SGD, it would make sense to stay overweight in SGD denominated assets. Global trends are super unpredictable due to currency and political risks so you can't really use that as a comparison to investing in local stocks (remember FED QE?) Local stocks on the other hand are excellent hedge against inflation so in the case of massive inflation or SGD devaluation, you will see local stocks rallying too. You have the safety of our local market and good dividend for a stable passive income, so why gamble for more?![]()
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Moreover, how the SGD will do over the next couple of decades or so doesn't really matter since you're living in SG and spending in SGD. But if you study the long-term trend against USD, it's clear as heck that it's been steadily appreciating. Think another debt ceiling is coming to bite the USD again with their massive 30T debt. On the contrary, it would be very different if most of your stocks are in USD. I'd imagine you will have many sleepless nights as you loose money on both fronts (FOREX & stock selloff)!![]()
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For the record, most of my overseas holdings are simply gambling fee and I don't do them long term. I only allocate 5% of my net-worth in US stocks![]()
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I thought with rate rise, banks will chiong more and since STI is heavy on banks, it will also chiong because of the banks.I support your move. Even if my sell call timing is too early, the remaining possible upside (gains) for STI ETF (3.40 to 3.60) is only 7%.
Right now the market is expecting at least 4 rate hikes. US economy is already enteringa recessionan economic growth deceleration as stimulus is being ramped down gradually. Also, for the largest trading partner with US: if China stocks are decoupled from US, then it wouldn't have crashed today. There is no evidence of China stocks decoupling from US stocks yet (note: I said China stocks, not China economy). I see this as a clear sign that stocks of trading partners with US will be hit hard.
If the Fed actually carries out fewer rate hikes this year, the SG bank stocks will topple. 17th March 2022 is the date the Fed will start announcing 1st rate hike.
The soon to be announced Singapore Budget 2022 on the 18th Feb 3.30pm is quite predictable: more taxes and wealth extraction from society to repay the spent govt reserves. Nothing stimulating from the Govt, because Govt cannof afford it anymore.
So if you know the banks will chiong when rates rise on 17 March 2022, when will you start queueing to buy the bank stocks? There are thousands of other people also eyeing the same bank stocks, including scalpers.I thought with rate rise, banks will chiong more and since STI is heavy on banks, it will also chiong because of the banks.
I have already bought it end of last year when the fed announced that they will be raising the rates this year. I predict STI should go back to 3600 this year.So if you know the banks will chiong when rates rise on 17 March 2022, when will you start queueing to buy the bank stocks? There are thousands of other people also eyeing the same bank stocks, including scalpers.
you may also consider dbs cashupfrotnt, abit more only at $10. but goes to your cdp.I am holding STI ETF in SCB, CDP, and CPF. If it hits $3,60, I will sell my SCB and CDP holdings, and buy back when it drops to $3.40 using FSMOne. So I lower my average cost and also move to a better broker - because of FSMOne $8.80 flat fee.
I tried but i dont see this option.you may also consider dbs cashupfrotnt, abit more only at $10. but goes to your cdp.
settlement mode need to change to cash upfront.I tried but i dont see this option.
STI ETF opens big gap down (-1.9%) to 3.405 from 3.471 yesterday.STI hit 3.46+ today and Fed haven’t even raise the rate.
What can I say? Every dog has its days
ES3 back down to your selling price.just sold all of my es3 a few minutes ago![]()
I thought XD was next Monday, but just realised today. XD is common cause for gap downs. Also means the stock has no power, no reason to hold the stock anymore until the next catalyst for upside.Not commenting on your sell call, but you are aware that ES3 just XD today, right?
STI ETF opens big gap down (-1.9%) to 3.405 from 3.471 yesterday.
Another sell signal.
Nice clapback. Quite hilarious to see the posts and antics of the other guy (thou I shall not name).Not commenting on your sell call, but you are aware that ES3 just XD today, right?