[GE2025] Extensive changes to electoral boundaries due to population shifts; only 5 GRCs, 4 SMCs left intact

Ghost_is_here

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MIW has just removed 3900 voters from Aljunied GRC ,out of 147,000 voters.
Hougnag SMC and Sengkeng GRC remind unchanged .

so strong holds of WP almost intact.
why miw allow such happen.
why give WP a good chance to keep the seats?

2020 and 2025 boundary




https://www.eld.gov.sg/pdf/White_Pa...lectoral_Boundaries_Review_Committee_2020.pdf

https://www.eld.gov.sg/pdf/White_Pa...lectoral_Boundaries_Review_Committee_2025.pdf

This is shrink size... Not upsize.... And Hougang despite so many BTO flats being build only 2000+ increase in population.
 

Monstruo^

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5 years increase so many voters . Gg sinkies. Gg sinkieland :o
I saw the overall numbers, forgot how much liao must go to see the first page news / main article. But it is A LOT of increment. 6 digits if I’m not wrong.
 

chenaz

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If they Donnoe which area or which block majority not voting to PAP, I chop my head let u all sit.

Every time craft so nice one
 

boredom2012

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There were 2,753,226 voters on the electoral roll as of Feb 1 this year, an increase of 101,791 electors from 2,651,435 electors in the last contest, said the EBRC.
:o Wlwlsmdwl
1
Impact of 101,719 New Citizen Voters on GE2025 Projections

Key Considerations:

1. Total Electorate Size:

GE2020 had 2,653,942 voters.

GE2025 will have ~2.75 million voters (including new citizens).

New voters represent ~3.83% of total voters (101,719 / 2.65M).



2. Voting Patterns of New Citizens:

Historically, new citizens tend to favor PAP (estimated 65-75% PAP support).

Many new citizens come from countries with strong government control (China, India, Malaysia), making them more likely to support stability.

Impact varies by constituency: In opposition-leaning areas (e.g., Sengkang, Aljunied), they could shift the balance.





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Projected Vote Share Impact:

PAP could gain +1.5% to 2.5% more votes overall due to new citizens.

Opposition vote share could drop by 1.5% to 2.5%.

Battleground areas like Sengkang, West Coast, and Aljunied may see tighter races.



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Impact on Seats:

PAP could gain 2 more seats due to new citizen voters.

WP’s hold on Sengkang and Aljunied becomes more fragile.

PSP may struggle even more in battlegrounds like West Coast.



---

Conclusion:

New citizens are likely to boost PAP’s vote share by ~2% and give them 1-2 extra seats.

Opposition will find it harder to win new seats, and WP risks losing 1-2 seats.

The overall opposition vote may still be 35-37%, but fewer seats will be won.


Would
you like me to model the impact on specific constituencies?
 

Ethan_

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Its ok to import new citizens. But the redraw of the boundaries should only happen when they achieved more than 55% of the winning
Think should not even redraw in the first place. Seems an exercise in nothing much and a huge waste of resources and effort. Can't help give the impression of doing it for certain hidden agenda only.

Should just stick to fixed lines, and add or minus the representative seats accordingly if want to maintain certain representatives to population ratio. More simpler, easier and practical.
 
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