Ya...only second day and the dropout is so significant. I think the px is really a consideration. Hai...
I would think the high dropouts are due to the following factors (starting from most probable):
1. Pricing - Though HDB published the estimated price range but no one would expect that a decent unit will cost more than $550,000.
2. July BTO - As you can see there are really some good areas coming up e.g. Bedok and Punggol which cost much lesser and bigger floor sizes.
3. Lack of knowledge - At the time of application, these people do not have sufficient information to ensure that their purchase is gonna be a safe journey. There are altogether 3 stages, stage 1 option fee, stage 2 signing of lease agreement and stage 3 collection of keys, are they sure that they have the money to pay for all the down payment for all these 3 stages? Well, I would say they are not confident at all.
4. Change of plan - They might be thinking of staying near parents or whatever during the time of application but when the results are out, they start to think twice cos they feel lucky enough to go for the next ballot. Also, mature estates like this might discourage more youngsters to apply.
5. Testing of luck - As mentioned, they are just trying their luck. You may say these people are bo liao but they are really so bo liao. You cannot change them cos one type of rice make million types of people. So now they are hit the jackpot for selection but to them, they have already won something in terms of luck. Afterall $10 is all that they have got to lose.
6. Discouragement from friends, next of kins and relatives - You wouldn't believe me but the latters really play a part in my BTO selection too. Along the way, I kept hearing them saying it is a bad investment cos the property prices will go down, and I may lose money lah.... Also, what if I lose my job, how can I afford the loan etc. etc.